Porto at Benfica

Updated

Porto

31.0%26.9%42.1%
Porto WinDrawBenfica Win
1.12Projected Goals 1.36
1Final Score 0

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Porto
Money Line
W 2-4 vs FC Vizela-600
L 0-1 at Braga-130
W 0-7 vs Portimonense-800
W 1-0 at Vitoria-260
W 0-3 vs Santa Clara-525
Benfica
Money Line
W 1-0 at Maritimo-165
T 0-0 vs Famalicao-300
W 2-0 at Sporting CP+295
W 1-3 vs Belenenses-310
L 2-3 at Braga+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+130+135+135+141+133+135+141+147.5
Benfica+190+195+178+199+185+178+199+208.3
Draw+245+230+240+261+258+240+261+268.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto+120----+135+135+147.5
Benfica+205----+195+195+208.3
Draw+270----+250+250+268.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from +126 to +120
Benfica ML moved from +201 to +195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 0.0%
Benfica: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Porto ML
No Steam Moves On Benfica ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-110o2¾-108o2¾-109o2½-129-o2¾-109o2½-129o2½-124
Underu2¾-110u2¾-112u2¾-111u2½+114-u2¾-111u2¾-111u2½+124
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-124
Under-----u2½+124

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.39%
Exactly 225.76%
Exactly 413.18%
Exactly 62.70%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.80%
Exactly 321.28%
Exactly 56.53%
Exactly 70.95%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 032.54%
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 220.51%
Exactly 37.67%
Exactly 42.15%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 025.79%
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 223.68%
Exactly 310.70%
Exactly 43.62%
Exactly 50.98%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.75%
Exactly 220.89%
Exactly 42.29%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 37.99%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 059.47%
Exactly 130.91%
Exactly 28.03%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 053.40%
Exactly 133.50%
Exactly 210.51%
Exactly 32.20%
Exactly 40.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals12.23%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals19.52%
Wins by 3+ goals7.08%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Benfica
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Porto
Wins by 1 goal18.66%
Wins by 2 goals8.53%
Wins by 3 goals2.85%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal22.52%
Wins by 2 goals12.44%
Wins by 3 goals5.02%
Wins by 4 goals1.58%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.61%8.39%
1.570.81%29.19%
2.545.04%54.96%
3.523.77%76.23%
4.510.59%89.41%
5.54.05%95.95%
6.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.46%32.54%
1.530.92%69.08%
2.510.42%89.58%
3.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.21%25.79%
1.539.25%60.75%
2.515.57%84.43%
3.54.88%95.12%
4.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.25%31.75%
1.531.82%68.18%
2.510.93%89.07%
3.52.94%97.06%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Benfica
Score012345
0
8.39%
11.37%
7.71%
3.48%
1.18%
0.32%
1
9.42%
12.77%
8.65%
3.91%
1.32%
0.36%
2
5.29%
7.17%
4.86%
2.19%
0.74%
0.20%
3
1.98%
2.68%
1.82%
0.82%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.56%
0.75%
0.51%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.12%
0.17%
0.11%
0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
Porto
1-09.42%
2-05.29%
2-17.17%
3-01.98%
3-12.68%
3-21.82%
4-00.56%
4-10.75%
4-20.51%
4-30.23%
5-00.12%
5-10.17%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-08.39%
1-112.77%
2-24.86%
3-30.82%
Benfica
0-111.37%
0-27.71%
1-28.65%
0-33.48%
1-33.91%
2-32.19%
0-41.18%
1-41.32%
2-40.74%
3-40.28%
0-50.32%
1-50.36%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Benfica
Score01234
0
31.75%
19.92%
6.25%
1.31%
0.20%
1
16.50%
10.35%
3.25%
0.68%
0.11%
2
4.29%
2.69%
0.84%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.74%
0.47%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Porto
1-016.50%
2-04.29%
2-12.69%
3-00.74%
3-10.47%
3-20.15%
Draw
0-031.75%
1-110.35%
2-20.84%
Benfica
0-119.92%
0-26.25%
1-23.25%
0-31.31%
1-30.68%
2-30.18%
0-40.20%
1-40.11%
Moreirense at Estoril
Sporting CP at Portimonense