Rio Ave at Paços

Updated

Rio Ave

32.0%30.7%37.3%
Rio Ave WinDrawPaços Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.06
1Final Score 3

Pacos

Last 5 Games

Rio Ave
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+210
T 2-2 at Maritimo+275
W 0-1 vs Arouca+140
L 2-3 at Boavista+225
T 1-1 vs Casa Pia AC+120
Pacos
Money Line
L 0-2 at Chaves+250
L 4-0 vs Sporting CP+875
W 2-1 at FC Vizela+335
L 2-0 vs Porto+1030
L 1-3 at Maritimo+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave+229+196+190+204+192+204+204+219.0
Paços+125+149+150+138+152+138+152+149.8
Draw+242+233+215+233+238+233+238+249.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Rio Ave+220----+200+200+219.0
Paços+120----+140+140+149.8
Draw+250----+230+230+249.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 10.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rio Ave: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 10.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rio Ave ML moved from +199 to +193
Paços ML moved from +150 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Paços: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Rio Ave: 20.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Rio Ave: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Rio Ave: 0.0%
Paços: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Rio Ave ML moved from +220 to +175
Paços ML moved from +150 to +140

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-107o2½-103o2½+105o2½+103o2½+100o2½+103o2½+105o2½+112
Underu2½-109u2½-115u2½-125u2½-123u2½-115u2½-123u2½-115u2½-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+112
Under-----u2½-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-118 to u2¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.2%
 
No59.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.35%
Exactly 227.07%
Exactly 49.14%
Exactly 61.24%
 
Exactly 126.89%
Exactly 318.16%
Exactly 53.68%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Rio Ave
Exactly 038.45%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.56%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Pacos
Exactly 034.73%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 219.42%
Exactly 36.85%
Exactly 41.81%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.37%
Exactly 217.10%
Exactly 41.24%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 35.31%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rio Ave
Exactly 064.24%
Exactly 128.43%
Exactly 26.29%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Pacos
Exactly 061.29%
Exactly 130.01%
Exactly 27.35%
Exactly 31.20%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Rio Ave
Wins by 2+ goals11.56%
Wins by 3+ goals3.13%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Pacos
Wins by 2+ goals14.67%
Wins by 3+ goals4.35%
Wins by 4+ goals0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Rio Ave
Pacos
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Rio Ave
Wins by 1 goal20.40%
Wins by 2 goals8.43%
Wins by 3 goals2.48%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Pacos
Wins by 1 goal22.57%
Wins by 2 goals10.32%
Wins by 3 goals3.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.84%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.65%13.35%
1.559.76%40.24%
2.532.69%67.31%
3.514.53%85.47%
4.55.39%94.61%
5.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Rio Ave Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.55%38.45%
1.524.80%75.20%
2.57.24%92.76%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Pacos Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.27%34.73%
1.528.54%71.46%
2.59.12%90.88%
3.52.27%97.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.63%39.37%
1.523.93%76.07%
2.56.83%93.17%
3.51.51%98.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Rio Ave
Pacos
Score012345
0
13.35%
14.12%
7.47%
2.63%
0.70%
0.15%
1
12.76%
13.50%
7.14%
2.52%
0.67%
0.14%
2
6.10%
6.45%
3.41%
1.20%
0.32%
0.07%
3
1.94%
2.06%
1.09%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.46%
0.49%
0.26%
0.09%
0.02%
0.01%
Rio Ave
1-012.76%
2-06.10%
2-16.45%
3-01.94%
3-12.06%
3-21.09%
4-00.46%
4-10.49%
4-20.26%
Draw
0-013.35%
1-113.50%
2-23.41%
3-30.38%
Pacos
0-114.12%
0-27.47%
1-27.14%
0-32.63%
1-32.52%
2-31.20%
0-40.70%
1-40.67%
2-40.32%
3-40.10%
0-50.15%
1-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Rio Ave
Pacos
Score0123
0
39.37%
19.28%
4.72%
0.77%
1
17.42%
8.53%
2.09%
0.34%
2
3.86%
1.89%
0.46%
0.08%
3
0.57%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
Rio Ave
1-017.42%
2-03.86%
2-11.89%
3-00.57%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-039.37%
1-18.53%
2-20.46%
Pacos
0-119.28%
0-24.72%
1-22.09%
0-30.77%
1-30.34%
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