Casa Pia AC at Estoril

Updated

Casa Pia AC

30.3%29.2%40.5%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawEstoril Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.19
0Final Score 2

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Porto+785
W 2-1 at Portimonense+245
L 2-1 vs Chaves+115
W 1-0 at Braga+650
W 0-1 vs Rio Ave-105
Estoril
Money Line
L 0-2 at Arouca+225
L 1-3 at Santa Clara+260
L 5-1 vs Benfica+1000
T 1-1 at Portimonense+205
L 2-0 vs Braga+440

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+190+156+155+156+166+156+166+173.9
Estoril+160+211+200+193+203+193+211+212.0
Draw+195+205+200+187+209+187+209+218.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+160----+155+155+173.9
Estoril+185----+205+205+212.0
Draw+220----+205+205+218.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +156 to +150
Estoril ML moved from +200 to +191

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +150 to +140
Estoril ML moved from +215 to +205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+108o2-110o2-110o2-102o2-105o2-102o2-102o2+102
Underu2¼-128u2-108u2-110u2-118u2-110u2-118u2-108u2-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2+102
Under-----u2-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¼-121 to u2-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.5%
 
No56.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.40%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 410.56%
Exactly 61.66%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.76%
Exactly 319.45%
Exactly 54.59%
Exactly 70.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 037.33%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.12%
Exactly 35.95%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 030.55%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.48%
Exactly 38.49%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.59%
Exactly 218.49%
Exactly 41.56%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.20%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 063.37%
Exactly 128.91%
Exactly 26.59%
Exactly 31.00%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 057.75%
Exactly 131.71%
Exactly 28.71%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals11.08%
Wins by 3+ goals3.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals17.34%
Wins by 3+ goals5.70%
Wins by 4+ goals1.49%
Wins by 5+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal19.21%
Wins by 2 goals8.03%
Wins by 3 goals2.41%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal23.12%
Wins by 2 goals11.64%
Wins by 3 goals4.21%
Wins by 4 goals1.18%
Wins by 5 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.60%11.40%
1.563.84%36.16%
2.536.96%63.04%
3.517.50%82.50%
4.56.94%93.06%
5.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.67%37.33%
1.525.89%74.11%
2.57.76%92.24%
3.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.45%30.55%
1.533.23%66.77%
2.511.75%88.25%
3.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.41%36.59%
1.526.62%73.38%
2.58.13%91.87%
3.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Estoril
Score012345
0
11.40%
13.52%
8.02%
3.17%
0.94%
0.22%
1
11.24%
13.33%
7.90%
3.12%
0.93%
0.22%
2
5.54%
6.57%
3.89%
1.54%
0.46%
0.11%
3
1.82%
2.16%
1.28%
0.51%
0.15%
0.04%
4
0.45%
0.53%
0.31%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Casa Pia AC
1-011.24%
2-05.54%
2-16.57%
3-01.82%
3-12.16%
3-21.28%
4-00.45%
4-10.53%
4-20.31%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.40%
1-113.33%
2-23.89%
3-30.51%
Estoril
0-113.52%
0-28.02%
1-27.90%
0-33.17%
1-33.12%
2-31.54%
0-40.94%
1-40.93%
2-40.46%
3-40.15%
0-50.22%
1-50.22%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Estoril
Score01234
0
36.59%
20.09%
5.52%
1.01%
0.14%
1
16.69%
9.17%
2.52%
0.46%
0.06%
2
3.81%
2.09%
0.57%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.58%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-016.69%
2-03.81%
2-12.09%
3-00.58%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-036.59%
1-19.17%
2-20.57%
Estoril
0-120.09%
0-25.52%
1-22.52%
0-31.01%
1-30.46%
2-30.11%
0-40.14%
Famalicão at Porto
Vitória at Gil Vicente FC