Braga at Estoril

Updated

Braga

53.8%24.9%21.3%
Braga WinDrawEstoril Win
1.61Projected Goals 0.91
2Final Score 0

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Chaves-280
L 1-4 at Porto+330
W 0-2 vs FC Vizela-275
W 3-2 at Rio Ave-180
W 0-1 vs Vitoria-275
Estoril
Money Line
W 1-0 at Gil Vicente FC+245
T 1-1 at Chaves+240
T 1-1 vs Porto+800
W 1-0 at FC Vizela+265
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-128-160-165-169--169-160-149.2
Estoril+367+461+440+410-+410+461+493.4
Draw+279+307+285+290-+290+307+329.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-135-----155-155-149.2
Estoril+375----+440+440+493.4
Draw+275----+290+290+329.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -161 to -169
Estoril ML moved from +355 to +345

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -140 to -150
Estoril ML moved from +380 to +365

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-117o2½-136o2¾-108o2¾-107-o2¾-107o2½-136o2½-122
Underu2½-101u2½+116u2¾-112u2¾-113-u2¾-113u2¾-112u2½+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-122
Under-----u2½+122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.9%
 
No52.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.03%
Exactly 225.54%
Exactly 413.53%
Exactly 62.87%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.26%
Exactly 321.47%
Exactly 56.82%
Exactly 71.03%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 019.99%
Exactly 132.18%
Exactly 225.91%
Exactly 313.90%
Exactly 45.60%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 040.20%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.69%
Exactly 35.07%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.12%
Exactly 221.20%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 38.25%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 047.45%
Exactly 135.37%
Exactly 213.18%
Exactly 33.28%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 065.57%
Exactly 127.67%
Exactly 25.84%
Exactly 30.82%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals28.70%
Wins by 3+ goals12.16%
Wins by 4+ goals4.20%
Wins by 5+ goals1.20%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals7.08%
Wins by 3+ goals1.78%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Estoril
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Braga
Wins by 1 goal25.05%
Wins by 2 goals16.54%
Wins by 3 goals7.97%
Wins by 4 goals3.00%
Wins by 5 goals0.92%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal14.18%
Wins by 2 goals5.30%
Wins by 3 goals1.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.97%8.03%
1.571.71%28.29%
2.546.17%53.83%
3.524.70%75.30%
4.511.17%88.83%
5.54.35%95.65%
6.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.01%19.99%
1.547.83%52.17%
2.521.92%78.08%
3.58.02%91.98%
4.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.80%40.20%
1.523.17%76.83%
2.56.48%93.52%
3.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.88%31.12%
1.532.56%67.44%
2.511.35%88.65%
3.53.10%96.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Estoril
Score01234
0
8.03%
7.32%
3.34%
1.01%
0.23%
1
12.94%
11.79%
5.37%
1.63%
0.37%
2
10.41%
9.49%
4.33%
1.31%
0.30%
3
5.59%
5.09%
2.32%
0.71%
0.16%
4
2.25%
2.05%
0.93%
0.28%
0.06%
5
0.72%
0.66%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
Braga
1-012.94%
2-010.41%
2-19.49%
3-05.59%
3-15.09%
3-22.32%
4-02.25%
4-12.05%
4-20.93%
4-30.28%
5-00.72%
5-10.66%
5-20.30%
Draw
0-08.03%
1-111.79%
2-24.33%
3-30.71%
Estoril
0-17.32%
0-23.34%
1-25.37%
0-31.01%
1-31.63%
2-31.31%
0-40.23%
1-40.37%
2-40.30%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Estoril
Score0123
0
31.12%
13.13%
2.77%
0.39%
1
23.20%
9.79%
2.07%
0.29%
2
8.65%
3.65%
0.77%
0.11%
3
2.15%
0.91%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.40%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Braga
1-023.20%
2-08.65%
2-13.65%
3-02.15%
3-10.91%
3-20.19%
4-00.40%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-031.12%
1-19.79%
2-20.77%
Estoril
0-113.13%
0-22.77%
1-22.07%
0-30.39%
1-30.29%
2-30.11%