Braga at Porto

Updated

Braga

16.8%21.6%61.6%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.92
1Final Score 4

Porto

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 0-2 vs FC Vizela-275
W 3-2 at Rio Ave-180
W 0-1 vs Vitoria-275
W 6-0 at Arouca-200
W 0-5 vs Maritimo-380
Porto
Money Line
T 1-1 at Estoril-275
W 0-3 vs Chaves-600
W 2-0 at Gil Vicente FC-340
L 1-3 at Rio Ave-315
W 0-3 vs Sporting CP-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+350+298+310+255+320+255+310+318.2
Porto-140-108-120-108-128-108-108-101.6
Draw+285+271+260+255+284+255+284+289.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+365----+330+330+318.2
Porto-140-----125-125-101.6
Draw+295----+280+280+289.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Porto: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +255 to +245
Porto ML moved from +102 to -101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Porto: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 40.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +350 to +330
No Steam Moves On Porto ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o2½-134o2¾-108o2¾+100-o2¾+100o2¾+100o2½-117
Underu2¾-108u2½+114u2¾-112u2¾-120-u2¾-120u2¾-112u2½+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-117
Under-----u2½+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.02%
Exactly 223.77%
Exactly 415.64%
Exactly 64.11%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.93%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.79%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 041.13%
Exactly 136.54%
Exactly 216.23%
Exactly 34.81%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 014.65%
Exactly 128.14%
Exactly 227.02%
Exactly 317.30%
Exactly 48.31%
Exactly 53.19%
Exactly 61.02%
Exactly 70.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.23%
Exactly 223.04%
Exactly 43.25%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.42%
Exactly 39.99%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 066.28%
Exactly 127.26%
Exactly 25.61%
Exactly 30.77%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 041.09%
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 216.25%
Exactly 34.82%
Exactly 41.07%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals5.34%
Wins by 3+ goals1.29%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals36.81%
Wins by 3+ goals17.86%
Wins by 4+ goals7.13%
Wins by 5+ goals2.37%
Wins by 6+ goals0.64%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Porto
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Braga
Wins by 1 goal11.42%
Wins by 2 goals4.05%
Wins by 3 goals1.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal24.69%
Wins by 2 goals18.95%
Wins by 3 goals10.72%
Wins by 4 goals4.76%
Wins by 5 goals1.73%
Wins by 6 goals0.52%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.98%6.02%
1.577.05%22.95%
2.553.28%46.72%
3.531.01%68.99%
4.515.38%84.62%
5.56.59%93.41%
6.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.87%41.13%
1.522.33%77.67%
2.56.10%93.90%
3.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.35%14.65%
1.557.22%42.78%
2.530.19%69.81%
3.512.89%87.11%
4.54.58%95.42%
5.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.77%27.23%
1.537.34%62.66%
2.514.31%85.69%
3.54.32%95.68%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Porto
Score012345
0
6.02%
11.57%
11.12%
7.12%
3.42%
1.31%
1
5.35%
10.28%
9.87%
6.32%
3.04%
1.17%
2
2.38%
4.57%
4.39%
2.81%
1.35%
0.52%
3
0.70%
1.35%
1.30%
0.83%
0.40%
0.15%
4
0.16%
0.30%
0.29%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
Braga
1-05.35%
2-02.38%
2-14.57%
3-00.70%
3-11.35%
3-21.30%
4-00.16%
4-10.30%
4-20.29%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-06.02%
1-110.28%
2-24.39%
3-30.83%
Porto
0-111.57%
0-211.12%
1-29.87%
0-37.12%
1-36.32%
2-32.81%
0-43.42%
1-43.04%
2-41.35%
3-40.40%
0-51.31%
1-51.17%
2-50.52%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Porto
Score012345
0
27.23%
24.22%
10.77%
3.19%
0.71%
0.13%
1
11.20%
9.96%
4.43%
1.31%
0.29%
0.05%
2
2.30%
2.05%
0.91%
0.27%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.32%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-011.20%
2-02.30%
2-12.05%
3-00.32%
3-10.28%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-027.23%
1-19.96%
2-20.91%
Porto
0-124.22%
0-210.77%
1-24.43%
0-33.19%
1-31.31%
2-30.27%
0-40.71%
1-40.29%
0-50.13%
Gil Vicente FC at Sporting CP
Portimonense at FC Vizela