Braga at Arouca

Updated

Braga

67.0%19.3%13.7%
Braga WinDrawWin
2.14Projected Goals 0.85
6Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Maritimo-380
W 3-0 at Famalicao-105
T 3-3 vs Sporting CP+305
L 2-3 at Famalicao+125
W 0-1 vs Arouca-165
Arouca
Money Line
W 2-1 at Santa Clara+290
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+185
L 0-4 at Benfica+1750
T 0-0 vs Belenenses+120
L 0-1 at Braga+450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+105-195-190-217-208-217-190-178.7
Arouca+277+574+500+510+535+510+574+610.3
Draw+249+334+310+325+340+325+340+358.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-155-----200-200-178.7
Arouca+400----+550+550+610.3
Draw+310----+335+335+358.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 10.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -193 to -199
Arouca ML moved from +520 to +510

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 10.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -190 to -200
Arouca ML moved from +400 to +390

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-132o2½-130o2¾-105o2¾-104-o2¾-104o2½-130o2½-116
Underu2½+112u2½+110u2¾-115u2¾-116-u2¾-116u2¾-115u2½+116
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-116
Under-----u2½+116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.05%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 416.73%
Exactly 64.97%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.07%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.99%
Exactly 72.12%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 011.78%
Exactly 125.19%
Exactly 226.94%
Exactly 319.21%
Exactly 410.27%
Exactly 54.39%
Exactly 61.57%
Exactly 70.48%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 042.85%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 215.39%
Exactly 34.35%
Exactly 40.92%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.09%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 311.05%
Exactly 51.06%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 037.15%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.22%
Exactly 36.01%
Exactly 41.49%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 067.54%
Exactly 126.50%
Exactly 25.20%
Exactly 30.68%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals42.98%
Wins by 3+ goals22.67%
Wins by 4+ goals9.96%
Wins by 5+ goals3.70%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals4.14%
Wins by 3+ goals0.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Braga
Wins by 1 goal24.02%
Wins by 2 goals20.31%
Wins by 3 goals12.71%
Wins by 4 goals6.26%
Wins by 5 goals2.53%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal9.52%
Wins by 2 goals3.19%
Wins by 3 goals0.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.95%5.05%
1.579.88%20.12%
2.557.38%42.62%
3.534.97%65.03%
4.518.25%81.75%
5.58.26%91.74%
6.53.28%96.72%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.22%11.78%
1.563.03%36.97%
2.536.09%63.91%
3.516.88%83.12%
4.56.61%93.39%
5.52.21%97.79%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.15%42.85%
1.520.84%79.16%
2.55.45%94.55%
3.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.91%25.09%
1.540.22%59.78%
2.516.23%83.77%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Arouca
Score01234
0
5.05%
4.28%
1.81%
0.51%
0.11%
1
10.79%
9.15%
3.88%
1.10%
0.23%
2
11.54%
9.78%
4.15%
1.17%
0.25%
3
8.23%
6.98%
2.96%
0.84%
0.18%
4
4.40%
3.73%
1.58%
0.45%
0.09%
5
1.88%
1.60%
0.68%
0.19%
0.04%
Braga
1-010.79%
2-011.54%
2-19.78%
3-08.23%
3-16.98%
3-22.96%
4-04.40%
4-13.73%
4-21.58%
4-30.45%
5-01.88%
5-11.60%
5-20.68%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-05.05%
1-19.15%
2-24.15%
3-30.84%
Arouca
0-14.28%
0-21.81%
1-23.88%
0-30.51%
1-31.10%
2-31.17%
0-40.11%
1-40.23%
2-40.25%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Arouca
Score0123
0
25.09%
9.85%
1.93%
0.25%
1
24.85%
9.75%
1.91%
0.25%
2
12.30%
4.83%
0.95%
0.12%
3
4.06%
1.59%
0.31%
0.04%
4
1.01%
0.39%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.20%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Braga
1-024.85%
2-012.30%
2-14.83%
3-04.06%
3-11.59%
3-20.31%
4-01.01%
4-10.39%
5-00.20%
Draw
0-025.09%
1-19.75%
2-20.95%
Arouca
0-19.85%
0-21.93%
1-21.91%
0-30.25%
1-30.25%
2-30.12%