Arouca at Santa Clara

Updated

Arouca

15.5%21.4%63.1%
WinDrawSanta Clara Win
0.83Projected Goals 1.93
2Final Score 1

Santa Clara

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+185
L 0-4 at Benfica+1750
T 0-0 vs Belenenses+120
L 0-1 at Braga+450
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-105
Santa Clara
Money Line
L 1-2 at Boavista+215
T 0-0 vs Casa Pia AC+115
L 0-4 at Sporting CP+950
W 0-2 vs Pacos-130
T 1-1 at Vitoria+410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+285+307+290+275+295+275+307+347.7
Santa Clara+100+103+105+100-104+100+105+108.4
Draw+220+232+215+210+236+210+236+236.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+290----+290+290+347.7
Santa Clara+100----+105+105+108.4
Draw+240----+225+225+236.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +300 to +280
Santa Clara ML moved from +102 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +290 to +270
Santa Clara ML moved from +110 to +100

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2-139o2¼-102o2¼+113-o2¼+113o2¼+113o2-122
Underu2¼-120u2+117u2¼-118u2¼-133-u2¼-133u2¼-118u2+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-122
Under-----u2+122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.3%
 
No51.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.33%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 415.30%
Exactly 63.89%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.47%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.45%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 043.49%
Exactly 136.21%
Exactly 215.08%
Exactly 34.18%
Exactly 40.87%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Santa Clara
Exactly 014.55%
Exactly 128.05%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.36%
Exactly 48.37%
Exactly 53.22%
Exactly 61.04%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.86%
Exactly 222.75%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 39.69%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 068.01%
Exactly 126.22%
Exactly 25.05%
Exactly 30.65%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santa Clara
Exactly 040.97%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.31%
Exactly 34.85%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals4.71%
Wins by 3+ goals1.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Santa Clara
Wins by 2+ goals38.04%
Wins by 3+ goals18.59%
Wins by 4+ goals7.47%
Wins by 5+ goals2.50%
Wins by 6+ goals0.68%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Santa Clara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal10.79%
Wins by 2 goals3.63%
Wins by 3 goals0.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Santa Clara
Wins by 1 goal24.98%
Wins by 2 goals19.45%
Wins by 3 goals11.11%
Wins by 4 goals4.97%
Wins by 5 goals1.82%
Wins by 6 goals0.55%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.67%6.33%
1.576.20%23.80%
2.552.09%47.91%
3.529.92%70.08%
4.514.61%85.39%
5.56.17%93.83%
6.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.51%43.49%
1.520.30%79.70%
2.55.22%94.78%
3.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Santa Clara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.45%14.55%
1.557.40%42.60%
2.530.36%69.64%
3.513.00%87.00%
4.54.63%95.37%
5.51.41%98.59%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.14%27.86%
1.536.53%63.47%
2.513.78%86.22%
3.54.09%95.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Santa Clara
Score012345
0
6.33%
12.20%
11.76%
7.55%
3.64%
1.40%
1
5.27%
10.16%
9.79%
6.29%
3.03%
1.17%
2
2.19%
4.23%
4.07%
2.62%
1.26%
0.49%
3
0.61%
1.17%
1.13%
0.73%
0.35%
0.13%
4
0.13%
0.24%
0.24%
0.15%
0.07%
0.03%
Arouca
1-05.27%
2-02.19%
2-14.23%
3-00.61%
3-11.17%
3-21.13%
4-00.13%
4-10.24%
4-20.24%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-06.33%
1-110.16%
2-24.07%
3-30.73%
Santa Clara
0-112.20%
0-211.76%
1-29.79%
0-37.55%
1-36.29%
2-32.62%
0-43.64%
1-43.03%
2-41.26%
3-40.35%
0-51.40%
1-51.17%
2-50.49%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Santa Clara
Score012345
0
27.86%
24.86%
11.09%
3.30%
0.74%
0.13%
1
10.74%
9.59%
4.28%
1.27%
0.28%
0.05%
2
2.07%
1.85%
0.82%
0.25%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.24%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-010.74%
2-02.07%
2-11.85%
3-00.27%
3-10.24%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-027.86%
1-19.59%
2-20.82%
Santa Clara
0-124.86%
0-211.09%
1-24.28%
0-33.30%
1-31.27%
2-30.25%
0-40.74%
1-40.28%
0-50.13%
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