Arouca at Benfica

Updated

Arouca

3.2%7.9%88.9%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.56Projected Goals 3.35
0Final Score 4

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Belenenses+120
L 0-1 at Braga+450
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-105
L 1-2 at FC Vizela+255
T 1-1 vs Santa Clara+135
Benfica
Money Line
W 2-0 at Pacos-115
L 1-0 vs Porto+195
W 1-0 at Maritimo-165
T 0-0 vs Famalicao-300
W 2-0 at Sporting CP+295

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1500+2038+1700+1400+1777+1400+2038+2399.8
Benfica-575-679-675-769-688-769-675-589.6
Draw+550+722+625+660+691+660+722+852.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1500----+1750+1750+2399.8
Benfica-560-----700-700-589.6
Draw+600----+700+700+852.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +2101 to +2038
Benfica ML moved from -665 to -694

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
Benfica ML moved from -650 to -700

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3½+113o3¼+102o3¼-113-o3¼-113o3¼+102o3-122
Underu3-122u3½-133u3¼-122u3¼-107-u3¼-107u3½-133u3+122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-122
Under-----u3+122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.1%
 
No58.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.01%
Exactly 215.35%
Exactly 419.51%
Exactly 69.92%
Exactly 82.70%
Exactly 100.46%
 
Exactly 17.86%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 515.24%
Exactly 75.53%
Exactly 91.17%
Exactly 110.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 057.43%
Exactly 131.85%
Exactly 28.83%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 03.51%
Exactly 111.75%
Exactly 219.68%
Exactly 321.98%
Exactly 418.41%
Exactly 512.34%
Exactly 66.89%
Exactly 73.30%
Exactly 81.38%
Exactly 90.51%
Exactly 100.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 016.40%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 47.30%
Exactly 60.80%
 
Exactly 129.65%
Exactly 316.15%
Exactly 52.64%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 077.36%
Exactly 119.86%
Exactly 22.55%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 021.20%
Exactly 132.88%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 313.19%
Exactly 45.12%
Exactly 51.59%
Exactly 60.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals0.64%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals73.56%
Wins by 3+ goals53.41%
Wins by 4+ goals33.71%
Wins by 5+ goals18.54%
Wins by 6+ goals8.94%
Wins by 7+ goals3.80%
Wins by 8+ goals1.42%
Wins by 9+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal2.52%
Wins by 2 goals0.55%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal15.28%
Wins by 2 goals20.15%
Wins by 3 goals19.70%
Wins by 4 goals15.17%
Wins by 5 goals9.60%
Wins by 6 goals5.14%
Wins by 7 goals2.38%
Wins by 8 goals0.97%
Wins by 9 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.99%2.01%
1.590.12%9.88%
2.574.77%25.23%
3.554.78%45.22%
4.535.27%64.73%
5.520.02%79.98%
6.510.10%89.90%
7.54.57%95.43%
8.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.57%57.43%
1.510.72%89.28%
2.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.49%3.51%
1.584.75%15.25%
2.565.07%34.93%
3.543.08%56.92%
4.524.67%75.33%
5.512.33%87.67%
6.55.44%94.56%
7.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.60%16.40%
1.553.96%46.04%
2.527.16%72.84%
3.511.00%89.00%
4.53.70%96.30%
5.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Benfica
Score012345
0
2.01%
6.75%
11.30%
12.63%
10.58%
7.09%
1
1.12%
3.74%
6.27%
7.00%
5.86%
3.93%
2
0.31%
1.04%
1.74%
1.94%
1.63%
1.09%
Arouca
1-01.12%
2-00.31%
2-11.04%
Draw
0-02.01%
1-13.74%
2-21.74%
3-30.36%
Benfica
0-16.75%
0-211.30%
1-26.27%
0-312.63%
1-37.00%
2-31.94%
0-410.58%
1-45.86%
2-41.63%
3-40.30%
0-57.09%
1-53.93%
2-51.09%
3-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Benfica
Score0123456
0
16.40%
25.44%
19.73%
10.20%
3.96%
1.23%
0.32%
1
4.21%
6.53%
5.07%
2.62%
1.02%
0.32%
0.08%
2
0.54%
0.84%
0.65%
0.34%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-04.21%
2-00.54%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-016.40%
1-16.53%
2-20.65%
Benfica
0-125.44%
0-219.73%
1-25.07%
0-310.20%
1-32.62%
2-30.34%
0-43.96%
1-41.02%
2-40.13%
0-51.23%
1-50.32%
0-60.32%
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