Estoril at Chaves

Updated

Estoril

34.5%30.2%35.3%
Estoril WinDrawChaves Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.04
1Final Score 1

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Porto+800
W 1-0 at FC Vizela+265
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP
W 3-0 at Pacos+185
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+115
Chaves
Money Line
L 0-1 at Portimonense+260
L 0-3 at Porto+1600
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+135
W 2-0 at Sporting CP+1500
T 1-1 vs FC Vizela+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+224+243+230+210+246+210+246+256.9
Chaves+135+124+125+121+120+121+125+133.8
Draw+226+230+210+230+220+230+230+242.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+225----+240+240+256.9
Chaves+130----+120+120+133.8
Draw+225----+230+230+242.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 30.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
Chaves ML moved from +129 to +121

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 30.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
No Steam Moves On Chaves ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2½+107o2¼-122o2¼-120-o2¼-120o2¼-120o2½+117
Underu2½-140u2½-125u2¼+102u2¼+100-u2¼+100u2½-125u2½-117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+117
Under-----u2½-117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.5%
 
No58.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.66%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 49.62%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.16%
Exactly 318.63%
Exactly 53.98%
Exactly 70.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 035.87%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.85%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 035.29%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.14%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.41%
Exactly 217.58%
Exactly 41.34%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 062.21%
Exactly 129.53%
Exactly 27.01%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 061.74%
Exactly 129.77%
Exactly 27.18%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals13.13%
Wins by 3+ goals3.77%
Wins by 4+ goals0.83%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals13.63%
Wins by 3+ goals3.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Chaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal21.26%
Wins by 2 goals9.36%
Wins by 3 goals2.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal21.59%
Wins by 2 goals9.66%
Wins by 3 goals3.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.34%12.66%
1.561.18%38.82%
2.534.14%65.86%
3.515.51%84.49%
4.55.89%94.11%
5.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.13%35.87%
1.527.36%72.64%
2.58.50%91.50%
3.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.71%35.29%
1.527.95%72.05%
2.58.81%91.19%
3.52.16%97.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.59%38.41%
1.524.84%75.16%
2.57.26%92.74%
3.51.65%98.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Chaves
Score012345
0
12.66%
13.18%
6.87%
2.38%
0.62%
0.13%
1
12.98%
13.52%
7.04%
2.44%
0.64%
0.13%
2
6.65%
6.93%
3.61%
1.25%
0.33%
0.07%
3
2.27%
2.37%
1.23%
0.43%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.58%
0.61%
0.32%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Estoril
1-012.98%
2-06.65%
2-16.93%
3-02.27%
3-12.37%
3-21.23%
4-00.58%
4-10.61%
4-20.32%
4-30.11%
5-00.12%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-012.66%
1-113.52%
2-23.61%
3-30.43%
Chaves
0-113.18%
0-26.87%
1-27.04%
0-32.38%
1-32.44%
2-31.25%
0-40.62%
1-40.64%
2-40.33%
3-40.11%
0-50.13%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Chaves
Score0123
0
38.41%
18.52%
4.46%
0.72%
1
18.23%
8.79%
2.12%
0.34%
2
4.33%
2.09%
0.50%
0.08%
3
0.68%
0.33%
0.08%
0.01%
Estoril
1-018.23%
2-04.33%
2-12.09%
3-00.68%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-038.41%
1-18.79%
2-20.50%
Chaves
0-118.52%
0-24.46%
1-22.12%
0-30.72%
1-30.34%