Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 17, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Famalicao
Benfica 		5.6%
83.0%		11.4%
+1300
-479
+1350
-565
0.66
2.91		3.57
o3-118
u3+102

Games for Jan 16, 2025
Games for Jan 18, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Estoril
Santa Clara		26.7%
45.1%		28.1%
+272
+130
+260
+120
1
3		-0.84793-0.83704-0.79551
Sporting CP
Famalicao		70.3%
11.7%		18.0%
-166
+573
-165
+490
2
1		-0.49699-0.52118-0.35270
Gil Vicente FC
Benfica		6.2%
81.0%		12.9%
+2352
-968
+2000
-1050
1
3		-0.12827-0.14126-0.21118
Braga
Portimonense		48.4%
24.6%		27.0%
+113
+260
-110
+290
2
1		-0.78086-0.69589-0.72610
Chaves
Casa Pia AC		25.9%
46.8%		27.3%
+275
+116
+260
+115
2
1		-1.34777-1.33029-1.34962
FC Vizela
Pacos		24.9%
49.0%		26.1%
+109
+290
+125
+230
2
0		-0.76325-0.86022-1.39147
Maritimo
Vitoria		14.6%
63.5%		21.8%
+309
+112
+315
-105
0
1		-0.76690-0.71943-0.45339
Porto
Boavista		68.6%
12.2%		19.3%
-387
+1283
-400
+1200
4
1		-0.26027-0.27273-0.37745
Rio Ave
Arouca		27.9%
42.9%		29.2%
+242
+138
+240
+130
1
0		-1.25632-1.27397-1.27791
Santa Clara
Chaves		27.0%
45.3%		27.7%
+235
+145
+220
+140
0
0		-1.17341-1.18185-1.28526
Benfica
Estoril		70.3%
11.3%		18.4%
-375
+1299
-400
+1000
5
1		-0.25540-0.27403-0.35253
Famalicao
Maritimo		37.0%
34.2%		28.8%
+179
+179
+170
+170
0
0		-1.19422-1.21503-1.24448
Casa Pia AC
Braga		8.3%
76.4%		15.4%
+742
-233
+650
-240
1
0		-2.15132-2.06349-2.49387
Boavista
Rio Ave		27.1%
44.0%		28.9%
+223
+146
+195
+160
0
1		-0.93029-1.00570-0.82030
Vitoria
Sporting CP		5.8%
81.7%		12.5%
+680
-228
+700
-250
0
3		-0.39193-0.38509-0.20242
Pacos
Porto		5.2%
82.6%		12.2%
+2598
-768
+2250
-900
0
4		-0.14632-0.15478-0.19151
Load More Games

Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).