Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 11, 2025

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
AVS
Estrela 		22.3%
52.0%		25.7%
+280
-109

0.91
1.54		2.45
o2¼-108
u2¼-112

Estoril
Moreirense 		19.3%
56.0%		24.7%
+202
+143

0.84
1.63		2.47
o2¼-117
u2½-128

Volatility Bet Value Active
SC Farense
Vitoria 		10.7%
70.3%		19.0%
+475
-162

0.66
2.07		2.73
o2½+100
u2½-117

Porto
Boavista 		76.3%
8.2%		15.5%
-256
+650

2.41
0.65		3.06
o2¾-103
u2¾-115

Games for May 10, 2025
Games for May 12, 2025

Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Boavista
AVS		18.3%
58.2%		23.5%
+205
+149
+220
+135
2
1		-1.15722-1.21244-1.69761
Gil Vicente FC
Sporting CP		4.2%
85.0%		10.7%
+1810
-657
+1950
-750
1
2		-0.18092-0.17481-0.16212
Casa Pia AC
Arouca		32.0%
38.1%		29.9%
+277
+113
+285
+105
0
0		-1.26475-1.24327-1.20724
Benfica
Estoril		78.0%
7.5%		14.5%
-513
+1200
-530
+1200
2
1		-0.21705-0.22308-0.24801
Santa Clara
Braga		12.7%
68.2%		19.2%
+390
-125
+380
-125
1
1		-1.31156-1.30122-1.65177
Vitoria
Nacional		48.7%
25.1%		26.2%
-104
+309
-115
+300
2
1		-0.69659-0.67598-0.71900
Famalicao
SC Farense		39.7%
31.8%		28.5%
+160
+194
+160
+190
1
2		-1.10942-1.11541-1.14655
Moreirense
Porto		7.7%
77.0%		15.2%
+831
-299
+935
-325
1
3		-0.32800-0.31706-0.26101
Estoril
Casa Pia AC		18.3%
57.6%		24.1%
+210
+145
+220
+150
3
1		-1.19349-1.21335-1.69723
Sporting CP
Boavista		80.5%
6.3%		13.2%
-667
+1566
-700
+1800
5
0		-0.18985-0.17983-0.21726
Rio Ave
Vitoria		12.0%
67.9%		20.1%
+623
-218
+610
-225
0
3		-0.41661-0.41703-0.38762
AVS
Benfica		3.2%
88.3%		8.4%
+2550
-1429
+2800
-1550
0
6		-0.12262-0.11350-0.12434
Porto
Estrela		63.7%
14.9%		21.4%
-175
+549
-170
+510
0
2		-1.90994-1.85707-1.90059
SC Farense
Gil Vicente FC		23.9%
48.6%		27.5%
+224
+147
+240
+135
0
1		-0.94371-0.90604-0.72249
Arouca
Santa Clara		19.8%
54.9%		25.3%
+381
-110
+395
-115
0
2		-0.68528-0.67393-0.60037
Braga
Famalicao		44.1%
29.5%		26.4%
+112
+268
+120
+240
1
1		-1.26273-1.24434-1.33264
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).