Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for May 10, 2025

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Rio Ave
Nacional 		25.5%
47.3%		27.1%
+287
-103
+295
-105
0.95
1.40		2.35
o2½-110
u2½-107

Famalicao
Santa Clara 		27.5%
45.8%		26.7%
+259
+126
+275
+115
1.04
1.42		2.46
o2-108
u2-103

Sporting CP
Benfica 		25.0%
49.6%		25.4%
+234
+123
+245
+115
1.03
1.56		2.59
o2½-139
u2¾-108

Braga
Casa Pia AC 		52.1%
22.8%		25.0%
-157
+475
-175
+515
1.59
0.97		2.56
o2½+104
u2½-120

Arouca
Gil Vicente FC 		28.2%
42.7%		29.0%
+213
+140
+215
+140
0.94
1.22		2.16
o2¼-111
u2½-135

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for May 9, 2025
Games for May 11, 2025

Completed Games

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TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Benfica
Vitoria		60.5%
17.4%		22.1%
-184
+505
-170
+460
3
0		-0.47369-0.51341-0.50281
Braga
Estoril		56.7%
19.6%		23.7%
-130
+383
-130
+375
2
0		-0.61011-0.61906-0.56725
Estrela
Arouca		26.6%
45.1%		28.3%
+300
+111
+275
+110
0
1		-0.77783-0.79125-0.79573
Gil Vicente FC
Nacional		27.0%
45.7%		27.3%
+208
+153
+210
+150
3
0		-1.16066-1.18061-1.31085
Casa Pia AC
AVS		35.5%
34.7%		29.7%
+147
+202
+150
+205
1
1		-1.19501-1.18061-1.21258
Moreirense
Sporting CP		5.9%
81.0%		13.0%
+1700
-554
+1775
-535
1
3		-0.20664-0.21986-0.21018
Famalicao
Porto		8.7%
76.0%		15.3%
+520
-188
+625
-230
1
2		-0.46506-0.41198-0.27477
Boavista
SC Farense		19.5%
55.7%		24.8%
+404
-130
+420
-140
1
0		-1.65947-1.70068-1.63424
Santa Clara
Rio Ave		34.5%
34.9%		30.6%
+107
+304
+115
+275
1
1		-1.22054-1.19548-1.18469
Rio Ave
Moreirense		19.2%
55.8%		25.1%
+249
+127
+235
+135
2
0		-1.28964-1.25956-1.65250
AVS
Braga		7.9%
77.3%		14.8%
+691
-217
+775
-280
1
4		-0.41023-0.35525-0.25753
Arouca
Benfica		4.0%
85.8%		10.2%
+2059
-799
+1900
-800
2
2		-2.29372-2.24602-2.28681
SC Farense
Estrela		20.9%
53.3%		25.8%
+198
+155
+190
+165
1
0		-1.13613-1.11355-1.56681
Porto
Casa Pia AC		60.2%
17.0%		22.8%
-154
+471
-150
+450
1
0		-0.53816-0.55818-0.50775
Sporting CP
Santa Clara		63.6%
15.1%		21.3%
-180
+612
-180
+570
1
0		-0.48078-0.49238-0.45334
Nacional
Boavista		38.4%
33.2%		28.4%
+135
+218
+145
+205
1
0		-0.90560-0.94348-0.95750
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Season Prediction Results

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 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).