Portugal Primeira Liga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for January 3, 2025

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Porto
Nacional 		74.7%
9.1%		16.1%
-291
+828
-350
+880
2.37
0.70		3.07
o2½-138
u2¾-110

Sporting CP
Vitoria 		54.6%
20.8%		24.6%
+102
+285
-110
+285
1.65
0.91		2.56
o2¼-122
u2½-120

Volatility Bet Value Active
Games for Jan 2, 2025
Games for Jan 4, 2025

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Vitoria
Benfica		9.7%
73.8%		16.5%
+949
-332
+925
-340
0
1		-0.30271-0.30862-0.30370
Nacional
Gil Vicente FC		19.5%
56.4%		24.0%
+296
+108
+300
-105
1
2		-0.75858-0.71980-0.57206
Estoril
Braga		5.9%
81.2%		12.8%
+1055
-393
+1100
-425
2
2		-1.90865-1.88407-2.05362
Sporting CP
Moreirense		61.5%
16.3%		22.2%
-284
+861
-330
+900
1
2		-2.29531-2.35388-1.81296
Casa Pia AC
Porto		4.1%
85.5%		10.4%
+1508
-500
+1350
-500
0
2		-0.21432-0.23154-0.15696
Gil Vicente FC
Vitoria		14.1%
64.6%		21.3%
+424
-131
+420
-140
0
4		-0.60305-0.58742-0.43666
Braga
AVS		59.5%
17.9%		22.6%
-244
+745
-245
+750
1
0		-0.38528-0.39109-0.51953
Benfica
Arouca		73.9%
9.4%		16.7%
-433
+1200
-475
+1200
2
0		-0.24372-0.24095-0.30297
Famalicao
Estoril		41.6%
30.5%		27.9%
+140
+235
+130
+235
1
2		-1.24403-1.25846-1.18882
Santa Clara
Sporting CP		5.0%
83.4%		11.6%
+1135
-400
+1225
-500
1
0		-2.54925-2.63443-3.00296
Boavista
Nacional		25.2%
48.7%		26.1%
+300
+104
+300
-105
0
0		-1.27837-1.28910-1.34350
Moreirense
Rio Ave		38.7%
31.5%		29.8%
+176
+176
+160
+190
2
3		-1.05168-1.11541-1.15594
Estrela
SC Farense		34.4%
35.2%		30.4%
+234
+142
+190
+150
0
1		-0.91342-0.96748-1.04529
Porto
Benfica		24.4%
50.5%		25.1%
+310
-105
+295
-105
1
4		-0.70162-0.71885-0.68397
Sporting CP
Braga		48.3%
25.9%		25.8%
-156
+426
-175
+460
4
2		-0.52427-0.50099-0.72842
Vitoria
Santa Clara		39.6%
31.5%		28.9%
+188
+179
+185
+185
0
1		-1.06427-1.09862-1.15515
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Portuguese Liga (Primeira Liga) consists of 18 teams. As with many other European leagues, teams progress throughout the season using the process of promotion and relegation, with the two lowest teams relegated to Segunda Liga, and the two highest teams moving up to join the Primeira Liga. The league became official in 1938, after four years as an experimental league, and has since improved its reputation within the UEFA (Union of European Football Associations).