Estrela at SC Farense

Updated

Estrela

34.4%30.4%35.2%
Estrela WinDrawSC Farense Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.03
0Final Score 1

SC Farense

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Nacional+120
L 1-5 at Sporting CP+2600
T 2-2 vs Vitoria+425
L 0-3 at Gil Vicente FC+350
W 1-2 vs Moreirense+210
SC Farense
Money Line
T 1-1 at Casa Pia AC+405
L 2-1 vs Benfica+1625
L 0-2 at Braga+800
W 0-1 vs Estoril+115
T 0-0 at AVS+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+180-+220+196+234+196+234+219.4
SC Farense+145-+130+142+126+142+142+161.1
Draw+225-+205+205+215+205+215+229.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+190----+190+190+219.4
SC Farense+150----+150+150+161.1
Draw+225----+225+225+229.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 20.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 50.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +200 to +191
SC Farense ML moved from +140 to +130

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 20.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
No Steam Moves On SC Farense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2-128o2-124o2-125o2-124o2-124o2-113
Underu2¼-122-u2+108u2+104u2+103u2+104u2+108u2+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-113
Under-----u2+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.0%
 
No59.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.94%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 49.43%
Exactly 61.31%
 
Exactly 126.46%
Exactly 318.44%
Exactly 53.85%
Exactly 70.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 036.25%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - SC Farense
Exactly 035.71%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.93%
Exactly 36.50%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.80%
Exactly 217.39%
Exactly 41.30%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 35.49%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 062.51%
Exactly 129.37%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - SC Farense
Exactly 062.08%
Exactly 129.60%
Exactly 27.06%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals13.02%
Wins by 3+ goals3.71%
Wins by 4+ goals0.81%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
SC Farense
Wins by 2+ goals13.48%
Wins by 3+ goals3.89%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
SC Farense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal21.30%
Wins by 2 goals9.31%
Wins by 3 goals2.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
SC Farense
Wins by 1 goal21.62%
Wins by 2 goals9.59%
Wins by 3 goals3.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.06%12.94%
1.560.60%39.40%
2.533.54%66.46%
3.515.10%84.90%
4.55.68%94.32%
5.51.82%98.18%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.75%36.25%
1.526.97%73.03%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals SC Farense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.29%35.71%
1.527.52%72.48%
2.58.59%91.41%
3.52.09%97.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.20%38.80%
1.524.46%75.54%
2.57.08%92.92%
3.51.59%98.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
SC Farense
Score012345
0
12.94%
13.33%
6.86%
2.36%
0.61%
0.12%
1
13.13%
13.53%
6.96%
2.39%
0.62%
0.13%
2
6.66%
6.86%
3.53%
1.21%
0.31%
0.06%
3
2.25%
2.32%
1.20%
0.41%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.57%
0.59%
0.30%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.12%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Estrela
1-013.13%
2-06.66%
2-16.86%
3-02.25%
3-12.32%
3-21.20%
4-00.57%
4-10.59%
4-20.30%
4-30.10%
5-00.12%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-012.94%
1-113.53%
2-23.53%
3-30.41%
SC Farense
0-113.33%
0-26.86%
1-26.96%
0-32.36%
1-32.39%
2-31.21%
0-40.61%
1-40.62%
2-40.31%
3-40.11%
0-50.12%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
SC Farense
Score0123
0
38.80%
18.50%
4.41%
0.70%
1
18.23%
8.69%
2.07%
0.33%
2
4.28%
2.04%
0.49%
0.08%
3
0.67%
0.32%
0.08%
0.01%
Estrela
1-018.23%
2-04.28%
2-12.04%
3-00.67%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-038.80%
1-18.69%
2-20.49%
SC Farense
0-118.50%
0-24.41%
1-22.07%
0-30.70%
1-30.33%
Porto at Benfica
Moreirense at Rio Ave