Vitória at Estrela

Updated

Vitoria

51.1%26.0%22.9%
Vitória WinDrawEstrela Win
1.51Projected Goals 0.92
2Final Score 2

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Boavista-275
T 1-1 at Casa Pia AC+100
L 3-0 vs Porto+325
W 2-0 at Braga+230
W 1-2 vs Famalicao-105
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-3 at Gil Vicente FC+350
W 1-2 vs Moreirense+210
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+400
T 2-2 vs Boavista-105
L 1-0 vs Casa Pia AC+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-115--135-139-138-139-135-116.7
Estrela+340-+400+380+405+380+405+418.3
Draw+225-+235+245+254+245+254+272.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-125-----130-130-116.7
Estrela+370----+425+425+418.3
Draw+255----+240+240+272.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Estrela: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from -133 to -139
Estrela ML moved from +370 to +355

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Estrela: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Estrela: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from -115 to -130
Estrela ML moved from +370 to +350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100-o2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼+101o2¼+100o2¼+102o2¼+109
Underu2¼-120-u2¼-122u2¼-120u2¼-123u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.78%
Exactly 225.98%
Exactly 412.81%
Exactly 62.53%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.36%
Exactly 321.07%
Exactly 56.23%
Exactly 70.88%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 022.01%
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 312.72%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 039.90%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.84%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.42%
Exactly 220.56%
Exactly 42.17%
 
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 37.72%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 049.61%
Exactly 134.77%
Exactly 212.19%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 065.35%
Exactly 127.80%
Exactly 25.91%
Exactly 30.84%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals26.11%
Wins by 3+ goals10.49%
Wins by 4+ goals3.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.86%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals7.71%
Wins by 3+ goals1.97%
Wins by 4+ goals0.38%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Estrela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal24.95%
Wins by 2 goals15.62%
Wins by 3 goals7.11%
Wins by 4 goals2.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.72%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal15.14%
Wins by 2 goals5.75%
Wins by 3 goals1.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.22%8.78%
1.569.86%30.14%
2.543.88%56.12%
3.522.81%77.19%
4.510.00%90.00%
5.53.77%96.23%
6.51.24%98.76%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.99%22.01%
1.544.68%55.32%
2.519.46%80.54%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.10%39.90%
1.523.44%76.56%
2.56.60%93.40%
3.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.58%32.42%
1.531.06%68.94%
2.510.49%89.51%
3.52.77%97.23%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Estrela
Score01234
0
8.78%
8.07%
3.71%
1.13%
0.26%
1
13.29%
12.21%
5.61%
1.72%
0.39%
2
10.06%
9.24%
4.25%
1.30%
0.30%
3
5.08%
4.66%
2.14%
0.66%
0.15%
4
1.92%
1.77%
0.81%
0.25%
0.06%
5
0.58%
0.53%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
Vitoria
1-013.29%
2-010.06%
2-19.24%
3-05.08%
3-14.66%
3-22.14%
4-01.92%
4-11.77%
4-20.81%
4-30.25%
5-00.58%
5-10.53%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-08.78%
1-112.21%
2-24.25%
3-30.66%
Estrela
0-18.07%
0-23.71%
1-25.61%
0-31.13%
1-31.72%
2-31.30%
0-40.26%
1-40.39%
2-40.30%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Estrela
Score0123
0
32.42%
13.79%
2.93%
0.42%
1
22.73%
9.67%
2.06%
0.29%
2
7.96%
3.39%
0.72%
0.10%
3
1.86%
0.79%
0.17%
0.02%
4
0.33%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-022.73%
2-07.96%
2-13.39%
3-01.86%
3-10.79%
3-20.17%
4-00.33%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-032.42%
1-19.67%
2-20.72%
Estrela
0-113.79%
0-22.93%
1-22.06%
0-30.42%
1-30.29%
2-30.10%