Moreirense at Estrela

Updated

Moreirense

34.7%29.8%35.4%
Moreirense WinDrawEstrela Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.07
1Final Score 2

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Famalicao+195
L 1-3 at Casa Pia AC+165
T 1-1 vs Benfica+620
L 1-3 at Braga+395
W 1-3 vs Arouca+115
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+400
T 2-2 vs Boavista-105
L 1-0 vs Casa Pia AC+130
L 0-1 at Benfica+1550
L 3-0 vs Famalicao+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+149-+145+128+145+128+145+145.9
Estrela+177-+190+215+208+215+215+239.8
Draw+215-+205+210+215+210+215+234.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+170----+140+140+145.9
Estrela+185----+210+210+239.8
Draw+205----+220+220+234.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estrela: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +147 to +136
Estrela ML moved from +195 to +188

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estrela: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +150 to +140
No Steam Moves On Estrela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+103-o2¼+108o2¼+110o2-128o2¼+110o2-128o2¼+119
Underu2¼-123-u2¼-128u2¼-130u2+108u2¼-130u2¼-128u2¼-119
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+119
Under-----u2¼-119

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.7%
 
No57.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.02%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 410.09%
Exactly 61.51%
Exactly 80.12%
 
Exactly 125.47%
Exactly 319.05%
Exactly 54.28%
Exactly 70.46%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 034.91%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.33%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 034.43%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 36.95%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.50%
Exactly 218.04%
Exactly 41.45%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 35.90%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 061.43%
Exactly 129.93%
Exactly 27.29%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 061.04%
Exactly 130.13%
Exactly 27.44%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals13.47%
Wins by 3+ goals3.95%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals13.89%
Wins by 3+ goals4.11%
Wins by 4+ goals0.93%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Estrela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal21.21%
Wins by 2 goals9.52%
Wins by 3 goals3.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal21.48%
Wins by 2 goals9.77%
Wins by 3 goals3.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.79%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.98%12.02%
1.562.52%37.48%
2.535.54%64.46%
3.516.49%83.51%
4.56.40%93.60%
5.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.09%34.91%
1.528.36%71.64%
2.59.02%90.98%
3.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.57%34.43%
1.528.85%71.15%
2.59.29%90.71%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.50%37.50%
1.525.72%74.28%
2.57.68%92.32%
3.51.78%98.22%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Estrela
Score012345
0
12.02%
12.81%
6.83%
2.43%
0.65%
0.14%
1
12.65%
13.49%
7.19%
2.55%
0.68%
0.15%
2
6.66%
7.10%
3.78%
1.34%
0.36%
0.08%
3
2.34%
2.49%
1.33%
0.47%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.61%
0.66%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-012.65%
2-06.66%
2-17.10%
3-02.34%
3-12.49%
3-21.33%
4-00.61%
4-10.66%
4-20.35%
4-30.12%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-012.02%
1-113.49%
2-23.78%
3-30.47%
Estrela
0-112.81%
0-26.83%
1-27.19%
0-32.43%
1-32.55%
2-31.34%
0-40.65%
1-40.68%
2-40.36%
3-40.13%
0-50.14%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Estrela
Score0123
0
37.50%
18.51%
4.57%
0.75%
1
18.27%
9.02%
2.23%
0.37%
2
4.45%
2.20%
0.54%
0.09%
3
0.72%
0.36%
0.09%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-018.27%
2-04.45%
2-12.20%
3-00.72%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-037.50%
1-19.02%
2-20.54%
Estrela
0-118.51%
0-24.57%
1-22.23%
0-30.75%
1-30.37%
Sporting CP at Estoril
Vitória at Casa Pia AC