Estrela at Benfica

Updated

Estrela

3.9%9.5%86.6%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.54Projected Goals 3.06
0Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Famalicao+190
T 1-1 at Braga+575
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-145
L 0-4 at FC Vizela+105
T 0-0 at Arouca+230
Benfica
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Casa Pia AC-425
L 0-2 at Famalicao-205
T 1-1 at Rio Ave-245
W 0-5 vs Arouca-375
L 0-2 at Famalicao-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+1900-+1400+1200+1249+1200+1500+1309.1
Benfica-675--675-625-612-625-612-388.6
Draw+600-+675+590+608+590+675+647.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+1400----+1550+1550+1309.1
Benfica-575-----600-600-388.6
Draw+650----+650+650+647.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 40.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +1300 to +1200
Benfica ML moved from -588 to -625

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 40.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
Benfica ML moved from -575 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108-o3¼-105o3¼-106o3¼-102o3¼-106o3¼-102o3¼+104
Underu3-112-u3¼-115u3¼-114u3¼-116u3¼-114u3¼-114u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+104
Under-----u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.9%
 
No60.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.74%
Exactly 217.73%
Exactly 419.12%
Exactly 68.25%
Exactly 81.91%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.86%
Exactly 321.26%
Exactly 513.75%
Exactly 74.24%
Exactly 90.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 058.18%
Exactly 131.51%
Exactly 28.54%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 04.71%
Exactly 114.39%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.10%
Exactly 510.45%
Exactly 65.32%
Exactly 72.32%
Exactly 80.89%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.91%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 46.06%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 314.56%
Exactly 52.02%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 077.82%
Exactly 119.52%
Exactly 22.45%
Exactly 30.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 024.30%
Exactly 134.38%
Exactly 224.32%
Exactly 311.47%
Exactly 44.06%
Exactly 51.15%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals0.78%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals68.94%
Wins by 3+ goals47.46%
Wins by 4+ goals28.06%
Wins by 5+ goals14.32%
Wins by 6+ goals6.35%
Wins by 7+ goals2.44%
Wins by 8+ goals0.79%
Wins by 9+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal3.10%
Wins by 2 goals0.67%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal17.50%
Wins by 2 goals21.48%
Wins by 3 goals19.40%
Wins by 4 goals13.74%
Wins by 5 goals7.97%
Wins by 6 goals3.91%
Wins by 7 goals1.66%
Wins by 8 goals0.61%
Wins by 9 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.26%2.74%
1.587.40%12.60%
2.569.67%30.33%
3.548.42%51.58%
4.529.30%70.70%
5.515.55%84.45%
6.57.30%92.70%
7.53.07%96.93%
8.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.82%58.18%
1.510.31%89.69%
2.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.29%4.71%
1.580.90%19.10%
2.558.91%41.09%
3.536.52%63.48%
4.519.41%80.59%
5.58.96%91.04%
6.53.64%96.36%
7.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.09%18.91%
1.549.60%50.40%
2.523.37%76.63%
3.58.81%91.19%
4.52.75%97.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Benfica
Score012345
0
2.74%
8.37%
12.79%
13.03%
9.95%
6.08%
1
1.48%
4.54%
6.93%
7.06%
5.39%
3.29%
2
0.40%
1.23%
1.88%
1.91%
1.46%
0.89%
Estrela
1-01.48%
2-00.40%
2-11.23%
Draw
0-02.74%
1-14.54%
2-21.88%
3-30.35%
Benfica
0-18.37%
0-212.79%
1-26.93%
0-313.03%
1-37.06%
2-31.91%
0-49.95%
1-45.39%
2-41.46%
3-40.26%
0-56.08%
1-53.29%
2-50.89%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Benfica
Score0123456
0
18.91%
26.75%
18.92%
8.92%
3.16%
0.89%
0.21%
1
4.74%
6.71%
4.75%
2.24%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.59%
0.84%
0.60%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Estrela
1-04.74%
2-00.59%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-018.91%
1-16.71%
2-20.60%
Benfica
0-126.75%
0-218.92%
1-24.75%
0-38.92%
1-32.24%
2-30.28%
0-43.16%
1-40.79%
0-50.89%
1-50.22%
0-60.21%
Boavista at Famalicão
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