Estrela at Benfica

Updated

Estrela

3.9%9.5%86.6%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.54Projected Goals 3.06
0Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Famalicao+190
T 1-1 at Braga+575
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-145
L 0-4 at FC Vizela+105
T 0-0 at Arouca+230
Benfica
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Casa Pia AC-425
L 0-2 at Famalicao-205
T 1-1 at Rio Ave-245
W 0-5 vs Arouca-375
L 0-2 at Famalicao-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+1900-+1400+1200+1249+1200+1500+1309.1
Benfica-675--675-625-612-625-612-388.6
Draw+600-+675+590+608+590+675+647.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+1400----+1550+1550+1309.1
Benfica-575-----600-600-388.6
Draw+650----+650+650+647.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 40.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +1300 to +1200
Benfica ML moved from -588 to -625

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 40.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
Benfica ML moved from -575 to -600

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-108-o3¼-105o3¼-106o3¼-102o3¼-106o3¼-102o3¼+104
Underu3-112-u3¼-115u3¼-114u3¼-116u3¼-114u3¼-114u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+104
Under-----u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.9%
 
No60.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.74%
Exactly 217.73%
Exactly 419.12%
Exactly 68.25%
Exactly 81.91%
Exactly 100.27%
 
Exactly 19.86%
Exactly 321.26%
Exactly 513.75%
Exactly 74.24%
Exactly 90.76%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 058.18%
Exactly 131.51%
Exactly 28.54%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 04.71%
Exactly 114.39%
Exactly 221.99%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 417.10%
Exactly 510.45%
Exactly 65.32%
Exactly 72.32%
Exactly 80.89%
Exactly 90.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.91%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 46.06%
Exactly 60.56%
 
Exactly 131.49%
Exactly 314.56%
Exactly 52.02%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 077.82%
Exactly 119.52%
Exactly 22.45%
Exactly 30.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 024.30%
Exactly 134.38%
Exactly 224.32%
Exactly 311.47%
Exactly 44.06%
Exactly 51.15%
Exactly 60.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals0.78%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals68.94%
Wins by 3+ goals47.46%
Wins by 4+ goals28.06%
Wins by 5+ goals14.32%
Wins by 6+ goals6.35%
Wins by 7+ goals2.44%
Wins by 8+ goals0.79%
Wins by 9+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal3.10%
Wins by 2 goals0.67%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal17.50%
Wins by 2 goals21.48%
Wins by 3 goals19.40%
Wins by 4 goals13.74%
Wins by 5 goals7.97%
Wins by 6 goals3.91%
Wins by 7 goals1.66%
Wins by 8 goals0.61%
Wins by 9 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.26%2.74%
1.587.40%12.60%
2.569.67%30.33%
3.548.42%51.58%
4.529.30%70.70%
5.515.55%84.45%
6.57.30%92.70%
7.53.07%96.93%
8.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.541.82%58.18%
1.510.31%89.69%
2.51.77%98.23%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.29%4.71%
1.580.90%19.10%
2.558.91%41.09%
3.536.52%63.48%
4.519.41%80.59%
5.58.96%91.04%
6.53.64%96.36%
7.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.09%18.91%
1.549.60%50.40%
2.523.37%76.63%
3.58.81%91.19%
4.52.75%97.25%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Benfica
Score012345
0
2.74%
8.37%
12.79%
13.03%
9.95%
6.08%
1
1.48%
4.54%
6.93%
7.06%
5.39%
3.29%
2
0.40%
1.23%
1.88%
1.91%
1.46%
0.89%
Estrela
1-01.48%
2-00.40%
2-11.23%
Draw
0-02.74%
1-14.54%
2-21.88%
3-30.35%
Benfica
0-18.37%
0-212.79%
1-26.93%
0-313.03%
1-37.06%
2-31.91%
0-49.95%
1-45.39%
2-41.46%
3-40.26%
0-56.08%
1-53.29%
2-50.89%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Benfica
Score0123456
0
18.91%
26.75%
18.92%
8.92%
3.16%
0.89%
0.21%
1
4.74%
6.71%
4.75%
2.24%
0.79%
0.22%
0.05%
2
0.59%
0.84%
0.60%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Estrela
1-04.74%
2-00.59%
2-10.84%
Draw
0-018.91%
1-16.71%
2-20.60%
Benfica
0-126.75%
0-218.92%
1-24.75%
0-38.92%
1-32.24%
2-30.28%
0-43.16%
1-40.79%
0-50.89%
1-50.22%
0-60.21%