Estrela at Braga

Updated

Estrela

8.0%15.1%76.9%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.67Projected Goals 2.47
1Final Score 1

Braga

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-145
L 0-4 at FC Vizela+105
T 0-0 at Arouca+230
L 3-0 vs SC Farense-110
T 1-1 at Boavista+170
Braga
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Porto+230
W 3-2 at Vitoria+120
W 3-4 vs Casa Pia AC-335
L 1-3 at Benfica+410
W 1-2 vs FC Vizela-410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+675-+550+550+569+550+569+604.2
Braga-290--225-233-229-233-225-182.3
Draw+400-+350+335+355+335+355+371.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+675----+575+575+604.2
Braga-270-----225-225-182.3
Draw+425----+375+375+371.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Braga: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +540 to +530
Braga ML moved from -227 to -233

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Braga: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +590 to +575
No Steam Moves On Braga ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115-o3+102o2¾-119o2¾-115o2¾-119o2¾-115o2¾-108
Underu3-105-u3-122u2¾-101u2¾-103u2¾-101u3-122u2¾+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-108
Under-----u2¾+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.34%
Exactly 221.36%
Exactly 417.52%
Exactly 65.75%
Exactly 81.01%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.62%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.99%
Exactly 72.58%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 051.26%
Exactly 134.25%
Exactly 211.44%
Exactly 32.55%
Exactly 40.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 08.47%
Exactly 120.90%
Exactly 225.81%
Exactly 321.24%
Exactly 413.11%
Exactly 56.47%
Exactly 62.66%
Exactly 70.94%
Exactly 80.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.40%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 44.34%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.99%
Exactly 311.95%
Exactly 51.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 073.39%
Exactly 122.70%
Exactly 23.51%
Exactly 30.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 031.88%
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 220.83%
Exactly 37.94%
Exactly 42.27%
Exactly 50.52%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals1.95%
Wins by 3+ goals0.34%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals54.44%
Wins by 3+ goals32.26%
Wins by 4+ goals16.07%
Wins by 5+ goals6.80%
Wins by 6+ goals2.45%
Wins by 7+ goals0.73%
Wins by 8+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal6.04%
Wins by 2 goals1.61%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal22.35%
Wins by 2 goals22.18%
Wins by 3 goals16.19%
Wins by 4 goals9.27%
Wins by 5 goals4.35%
Wins by 6 goals1.72%
Wins by 7 goals0.58%
Wins by 8 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.66%4.34%
1.582.04%17.96%
2.560.69%39.31%
3.538.35%61.65%
4.520.83%79.17%
5.59.84%90.16%
6.54.09%95.91%
7.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.548.74%51.26%
1.514.48%85.52%
2.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.53%8.47%
1.570.63%29.37%
2.544.82%55.18%
3.523.58%76.42%
4.510.47%89.53%
5.54.00%96.00%
6.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.60%23.40%
1.542.62%57.38%
2.517.93%82.07%
3.55.98%94.02%
4.51.64%98.36%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Braga
Score012345
0
4.34%
10.72%
13.23%
10.89%
6.72%
3.32%
1
2.90%
7.16%
8.84%
7.28%
4.49%
2.22%
2
0.97%
2.39%
2.95%
2.43%
1.50%
0.74%
3
0.22%
0.53%
0.66%
0.54%
0.33%
0.17%
Estrela
1-02.90%
2-00.97%
2-12.39%
3-00.22%
3-10.53%
3-20.66%
Draw
0-04.34%
1-17.16%
2-22.95%
3-30.54%
Braga
0-110.72%
0-213.23%
1-28.84%
0-310.89%
1-37.28%
2-32.43%
0-46.72%
1-44.49%
2-41.50%
3-40.33%
0-53.32%
1-52.22%
2-50.74%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Braga
Score012345
0
23.40%
26.75%
15.29%
5.83%
1.67%
0.38%
1
7.24%
8.27%
4.73%
1.80%
0.52%
0.12%
2
1.12%
1.28%
0.73%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.12%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Estrela
1-07.24%
2-01.12%
2-11.28%
3-00.12%
3-10.13%
Draw
0-023.40%
1-18.27%
2-20.73%
Braga
0-126.75%
0-215.29%
1-24.73%
0-35.83%
1-31.80%
2-30.28%
0-41.67%
1-40.52%
0-50.38%
1-50.12%
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