Famalicão at Estrela

Updated

Famalicao

28.0%26.7%45.3%
Famalicão WinDrawEstrela Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.41
3Final Score 0

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Famalicao
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Benfica+525
L 2-1 vs Casa Pia AC-150
W 1-0 at Chaves+145
W 0-2 vs Benfica+625
L 0-1 at Estoril+205
Estrela
Money Line
T 1-1 at Braga+575
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-145
L 0-4 at FC Vizela+105
T 0-0 at Arouca+230
L 3-0 vs SC Farense-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Famalicão+180-+145+135+142+135+145+148.0
Estrela+155-+190+215+209+215+215+232.5
Draw+200-+210+220+228+220+228+237.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Famalicão+205----+160+160+148.0
Estrela+140----+190+190+232.5
Draw+225----+210+210+237.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Famalicão: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Famalicão: 0.0%
Estrela: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Famalicão: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Famalicão: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Famalicão ML moved from +153 to +139
Estrela ML moved from +215 to +209

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Famalicão: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Famalicão: 0.0%
Estrela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Famalicão: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Famalicão: 70.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Famalicão ML moved from +175 to +165
No Steam Moves On Estrela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-114o2¼-110o2¼-104
Underu2¼-110-u2¼-110u2¼-106u2¼-104u2¼-106u2¼-104u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.53%
Exactly 225.84%
Exactly 413.05%
Exactly 62.64%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 121.00%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 56.42%
Exactly 70.93%
Exact Goals Scored - Famalicao
Exactly 035.00%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 36.75%
Exactly 41.77%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 024.38%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 224.29%
Exactly 311.43%
Exactly 44.03%
Exactly 51.14%
Exactly 60.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.99%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.89%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Famalicao
Exactly 061.50%
Exactly 129.90%
Exactly 27.27%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 052.02%
Exactly 134.00%
Exactly 211.11%
Exactly 32.42%
Exactly 40.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Famalicao
Wins by 2+ goals10.49%
Wins by 3+ goals3.00%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals21.75%
Wins by 3+ goals8.19%
Wins by 4+ goals2.47%
Wins by 5+ goals0.59%

Exact Winning Margin

Famalicao
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Famalicao
Wins by 1 goal17.45%
Wins by 2 goals7.50%
Wins by 3 goals2.35%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal23.46%
Wins by 2 goals13.56%
Wins by 3 goals5.72%
Wins by 4 goals1.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.47%8.53%
1.570.47%29.53%
2.544.63%55.37%
3.523.42%76.58%
4.510.37%89.63%
5.53.95%96.05%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Famalicao Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.00%35.00%
1.528.26%71.74%
2.58.97%91.03%
3.52.22%97.78%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.62%24.38%
1.541.22%58.78%
2.516.93%83.07%
3.55.50%94.50%
4.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.01%31.99%
1.531.55%68.45%
2.510.77%89.23%
3.52.88%97.12%

Score Props

Correct Score

Famalicão
Estrela
Score012345
0
8.53%
12.04%
8.50%
4.00%
1.41%
0.40%
1
8.96%
12.64%
8.92%
4.20%
1.48%
0.42%
2
4.70%
6.64%
4.68%
2.20%
0.78%
0.22%
3
1.65%
2.32%
1.64%
0.77%
0.27%
0.08%
4
0.43%
0.61%
0.43%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
Famalicao
1-08.96%
2-04.70%
2-16.64%
3-01.65%
3-12.32%
3-21.64%
4-00.43%
4-10.61%
4-20.43%
4-30.20%
Draw
0-08.53%
1-112.64%
2-24.68%
3-30.77%
Estrela
0-112.04%
0-28.50%
1-28.92%
0-34.00%
1-34.20%
2-32.20%
0-41.41%
1-41.48%
2-40.78%
3-40.27%
0-50.40%
1-50.42%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Famalicão
Estrela
Score01234
0
31.99%
20.91%
6.83%
1.49%
0.24%
1
15.55%
10.16%
3.32%
0.72%
0.12%
2
3.78%
2.47%
0.81%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.61%
0.40%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Famalicao
1-015.55%
2-03.78%
2-12.47%
3-00.61%
3-10.40%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-031.99%
1-110.16%
2-20.81%
Estrela
0-120.91%
0-26.83%
1-23.32%
0-31.49%
1-30.72%
2-30.18%
0-40.24%
1-40.12%
Braga at Boavista
Sporting CP at SC Farense