Benfica at Moreirense

Updated

Benfica

69.7%18.5%11.8%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.18Projected Goals 0.77
1Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Estrela-600
W 0-3 vs Casa Pia AC-425
L 0-2 at Famalicao-205
T 1-1 at Rio Ave-245
W 0-5 vs Arouca-375
Moreirense
Money Line
L 1-3 at Braga+395
W 1-3 vs Arouca+115
W 2-1 at SC Farense+155
W 1-2 vs Estoril+120
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-215-222-230-250-238-250-222-196.4
Moreirense+575+638+600+620+623+620+638+676.1
Draw+320+365+330+345+360+345+365+379.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-225-----230-230-196.4
Moreirense+600----+620+620+676.1
Draw+365----+365+365+379.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Benfica: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -236 to -242
Moreirense ML moved from +636 to +623

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Benfica: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Benfica ML
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-129o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2½-129o2¾+107
Underu2½-102u2½+110u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.23%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 416.52%
Exactly 64.80%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.43%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.75%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 011.29%
Exactly 124.63%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 319.53%
Exactly 410.65%
Exactly 54.65%
Exactly 61.69%
Exactly 70.53%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 046.31%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 213.72%
Exactly 33.52%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.50%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 310.84%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 036.42%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.58%
Exactly 36.25%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 070.02%
Exactly 124.95%
Exactly 24.45%
Exactly 30.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals45.60%
Wins by 3+ goals24.56%
Wins by 4+ goals11.02%
Wins by 5+ goals4.18%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals3.32%
Wins by 3+ goals0.71%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Moreirense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.07%
Wins by 2 goals21.04%
Wins by 3 goals13.54%
Wins by 4 goals6.84%
Wins by 5 goals2.83%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal8.49%
Wins by 2 goals2.62%
Wins by 3 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.77%5.23%
1.579.34%20.66%
2.556.58%43.42%
3.534.18%65.82%
4.517.66%82.34%
5.57.91%92.09%
6.53.11%96.89%
7.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.71%11.29%
1.564.09%35.91%
2.537.23%62.77%
3.517.70%82.30%
4.57.05%92.95%
5.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.69%46.31%
1.518.04%81.96%
2.54.32%95.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.50%25.50%
1.539.65%60.35%
2.515.84%84.16%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Moreirense
Score0123
0
5.23%
4.02%
1.55%
0.40%
1
11.41%
8.78%
3.38%
0.87%
2
12.44%
9.57%
3.68%
0.95%
3
9.04%
6.96%
2.68%
0.69%
4
4.93%
3.80%
1.46%
0.37%
5
2.15%
1.66%
0.64%
0.16%
Benfica
1-011.41%
2-012.44%
2-19.57%
3-09.04%
3-16.96%
3-22.68%
4-04.93%
4-13.80%
4-21.46%
4-30.37%
5-02.15%
5-11.66%
5-20.64%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.23%
1-18.78%
2-23.68%
3-30.69%
Moreirense
0-14.02%
0-21.55%
1-23.38%
0-30.40%
1-30.87%
2-30.95%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Moreirense
Score0123
0
25.50%
9.09%
1.62%
0.19%
1
25.76%
9.18%
1.64%
0.19%
2
13.01%
4.64%
0.83%
0.10%
3
4.38%
1.56%
0.28%
0.03%
4
1.11%
0.39%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-025.76%
2-013.01%
2-14.64%
3-04.38%
3-11.56%
3-20.28%
4-01.11%
4-10.39%
5-00.22%
Draw
0-025.50%
1-19.18%
2-20.83%
Moreirense
0-19.09%
0-21.62%
1-21.64%
0-30.19%
1-30.19%
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