Benfica at Moreirense

Updated

Benfica

69.7%18.5%11.8%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.18Projected Goals 0.77
1Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Estrela-600
W 0-3 vs Casa Pia AC-425
L 0-2 at Famalicao-205
T 1-1 at Rio Ave-245
W 0-5 vs Arouca-375
Moreirense
Money Line
L 1-3 at Braga+395
W 1-3 vs Arouca+115
W 2-1 at SC Farense+155
W 1-2 vs Estoril+120
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-215-222-230-250-238-250-222-196.4
Moreirense+575+638+600+620+623+620+638+676.1
Draw+320+365+330+345+360+345+365+379.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-225-----230-230-196.4
Moreirense+600----+620+620+676.1
Draw+365----+365+365+379.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -236 to -242
Moreirense ML moved from +636 to +623

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 10.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Benfica ML
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-129o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2¾-102o2½-129o2¾+107
Underu2½-102u2½+110u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-118u2¾-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+107
Under-----u2¾-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.23%
Exactly 222.77%
Exactly 416.52%
Exactly 64.80%
Exactly 80.75%
 
Exactly 115.43%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.75%
Exactly 72.02%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 011.29%
Exactly 124.63%
Exactly 226.86%
Exactly 319.53%
Exactly 410.65%
Exactly 54.65%
Exactly 61.69%
Exactly 70.53%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 046.31%
Exactly 135.65%
Exactly 213.72%
Exactly 33.52%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.50%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 43.70%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 310.84%
Exactly 51.01%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 036.42%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.58%
Exactly 36.25%
Exactly 41.58%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 070.02%
Exactly 124.95%
Exactly 24.45%
Exactly 30.53%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals45.60%
Wins by 3+ goals24.56%
Wins by 4+ goals11.02%
Wins by 5+ goals4.18%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals3.32%
Wins by 3+ goals0.71%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Moreirense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal24.07%
Wins by 2 goals21.04%
Wins by 3 goals13.54%
Wins by 4 goals6.84%
Wins by 5 goals2.83%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal8.49%
Wins by 2 goals2.62%
Wins by 3 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.77%5.23%
1.579.34%20.66%
2.556.58%43.42%
3.534.18%65.82%
4.517.66%82.34%
5.57.91%92.09%
6.53.11%96.89%
7.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.71%11.29%
1.564.09%35.91%
2.537.23%62.77%
3.517.70%82.30%
4.57.05%92.95%
5.52.40%97.60%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.69%46.31%
1.518.04%81.96%
2.54.32%95.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.50%25.50%
1.539.65%60.35%
2.515.84%84.16%
3.55.00%95.00%
4.51.30%98.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Moreirense
Score0123
0
5.23%
4.02%
1.55%
0.40%
1
11.41%
8.78%
3.38%
0.87%
2
12.44%
9.57%
3.68%
0.95%
3
9.04%
6.96%
2.68%
0.69%
4
4.93%
3.80%
1.46%
0.37%
5
2.15%
1.66%
0.64%
0.16%
Benfica
1-011.41%
2-012.44%
2-19.57%
3-09.04%
3-16.96%
3-22.68%
4-04.93%
4-13.80%
4-21.46%
4-30.37%
5-02.15%
5-11.66%
5-20.64%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-05.23%
1-18.78%
2-23.68%
3-30.69%
Moreirense
0-14.02%
0-21.55%
1-23.38%
0-30.40%
1-30.87%
2-30.95%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Moreirense
Score0123
0
25.50%
9.09%
1.62%
0.19%
1
25.76%
9.18%
1.64%
0.19%
2
13.01%
4.64%
0.83%
0.10%
3
4.38%
1.56%
0.28%
0.03%
4
1.11%
0.39%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.22%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-025.76%
2-013.01%
2-14.64%
3-04.38%
3-11.56%
3-20.28%
4-01.11%
4-10.39%
5-00.22%
Draw
0-025.50%
1-19.18%
2-20.83%
Moreirense
0-19.09%
0-21.62%
1-21.64%
0-30.19%
1-30.19%