Moreirense at Braga

Updated

Moreirense

10.6%17.6%71.8%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.73Projected Goals 2.25
1Final Score 3

Braga

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Arouca+115
W 2-1 at SC Farense+155
W 1-2 vs Estoril+120
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+190
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+125
Braga
Money Line
W 1-0 at Boavista-200
T 1-1 vs Estrela-225
L 1-0 vs Porto+230
W 3-2 at Vitoria+120
W 3-4 vs Casa Pia AC-335

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+500+378+360+320+375+320+378+353.4
Braga-190-137-145-139-143-139-137-116.8
Draw+310+295+280+285+297+285+297+315.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+510----+395+395+353.4
Braga-185-----150-150-116.8
Draw+320----+300+300+315.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Braga: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 20.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +330 to +320
Braga ML moved from -133 to -143

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Braga: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 40.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +510 to +395
No Steam Moves On Braga ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o2½-116o2½-112o2½-110o2½-111o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½-105u2½-101u2½-108u2½-110u2½-107u2½-110u2½-101u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.06%
Exactly 222.53%
Exactly 416.71%
Exactly 64.96%
Exactly 80.79%
 
Exactly 115.10%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 59.97%
Exactly 72.11%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 048.04%
Exactly 135.22%
Exactly 212.91%
Exactly 33.16%
Exactly 40.58%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 010.54%
Exactly 123.71%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 320.01%
Exactly 411.26%
Exactly 55.07%
Exactly 61.90%
Exactly 70.61%
Exactly 80.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.13%
Exactly 223.97%
Exactly 43.81%
Exactly 60.24%
 
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 311.04%
Exactly 51.05%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 071.22%
Exactly 124.17%
Exactly 24.10%
Exactly 30.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 035.28%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.15%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals2.79%
Wins by 3+ goals0.53%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals48.01%
Wins by 3+ goals26.52%
Wins by 4+ goals12.23%
Wins by 5+ goals4.77%
Wins by 6+ goals1.59%
Wins by 7+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal7.73%
Wins by 2 goals2.26%
Wins by 3 goals0.47%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal23.76%
Wins by 2 goals21.49%
Wins by 3 goals14.29%
Wins by 4 goals7.46%
Wins by 5 goals3.19%
Wins by 6 goals1.15%
Wins by 7 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.94%5.06%
1.579.83%20.17%
2.557.30%42.70%
3.534.90%65.10%
4.518.19%81.81%
5.58.22%91.78%
6.53.27%96.73%
7.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.96%48.04%
1.516.74%83.26%
2.53.83%96.17%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.46%10.54%
1.565.75%34.25%
2.539.07%60.93%
3.519.06%80.94%
4.57.80%92.20%
5.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.87%25.13%
1.540.17%59.83%
2.516.20%83.80%
3.55.16%94.84%
4.51.35%98.65%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Braga
Score012345
0
5.06%
11.39%
12.82%
9.61%
5.41%
2.43%
1
3.71%
8.35%
9.40%
7.05%
3.96%
1.78%
2
1.36%
3.06%
3.44%
2.58%
1.45%
0.65%
3
0.33%
0.75%
0.84%
0.63%
0.36%
0.16%
Moreirense
1-03.71%
2-01.36%
2-13.06%
3-00.33%
3-10.75%
3-20.84%
Draw
0-05.06%
1-18.35%
2-23.44%
3-30.63%
Braga
0-111.39%
0-212.82%
1-29.40%
0-39.61%
1-37.05%
2-32.58%
0-45.41%
1-43.96%
2-41.45%
3-40.36%
0-52.43%
1-51.78%
2-50.65%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Braga
Score012345
0
25.13%
26.18%
13.63%
4.73%
1.23%
0.26%
1
8.53%
8.89%
4.63%
1.61%
0.42%
0.09%
2
1.45%
1.51%
0.79%
0.27%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-08.53%
2-01.45%
2-11.51%
3-00.16%
3-10.17%
Draw
0-025.13%
1-18.89%
2-20.79%
Braga
0-126.18%
0-213.63%
1-24.63%
0-34.73%
1-31.61%
2-30.27%
0-41.23%
1-40.42%
0-50.26%
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