Estrela at Santa Clara

Updated

Estrela

18.1%23.7%58.2%
WinDrawSanta Clara Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.71
0Final Score 1

Santa Clara

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Boavista-105
L 1-0 vs Casa Pia AC+130
L 0-1 at Benfica+1550
L 3-0 vs Famalicao+190
T 1-1 at Braga+575
Santa Clara
Money Line
L 1-4 at Benfica+1050
W 1-2 vs AVS-150
W 2-0 at Casa Pia AC+160
L 2-0 vs Porto+330
W 4-1 at Estoril+215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+275-+380+385+435+385+435+424.3
Santa Clara+100--130-141-142-141-130-117.9
Draw+225-+240+245+263+245+263+273.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+375----+400+400+424.3
Santa Clara-125-----130-130-117.9
Draw+250----+250+250+273.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 20.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +384 to +367
Santa Clara ML moved from -128 to -136

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santa Clara: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Santa Clara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
No Steam Moves On Santa Clara ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105-o2¼-102o2¼-102o2¼-101o2¼-102o2¼-101o2¼+107
Underu2¼-125-u2¼-118u2¼-118u2¼-117u2¼-118u2¼-117u2¼-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+107
Under-----u2¼-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.5%
 
No53.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.80%
Exactly 225.38%
Exactly 413.77%
Exactly 62.99%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.89%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 57.03%
Exactly 71.09%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 043.28%
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 215.18%
Exactly 34.24%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Santa Clara
Exactly 018.02%
Exactly 130.88%
Exactly 226.46%
Exactly 315.12%
Exactly 46.48%
Exactly 52.22%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.69%
Exactly 221.41%
Exactly 42.49%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.25%
Exactly 38.43%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 067.86%
Exactly 126.31%
Exactly 25.10%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santa Clara
Exactly 045.22%
Exactly 135.89%
Exactly 214.24%
Exactly 33.77%
Exactly 40.75%
Exactly 50.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals5.61%
Wins by 3+ goals1.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%
Santa Clara
Wins by 2+ goals32.59%
Wins by 3+ goals14.58%
Wins by 4+ goals5.32%
Wins by 5+ goals1.61%
Wins by 6+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Santa Clara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal12.48%
Wins by 2 goals4.30%
Wins by 3 goals1.08%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Santa Clara
Wins by 1 goal25.54%
Wins by 2 goals18.01%
Wins by 3 goals9.26%
Wins by 4 goals3.71%
Wins by 5 goals1.21%
Wins by 6 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.20%7.80%
1.572.31%27.69%
2.546.93%53.07%
3.525.35%74.65%
4.511.58%88.42%
5.54.55%95.45%
6.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.72%43.28%
1.520.48%79.52%
2.55.30%94.70%
3.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Santa Clara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.98%18.02%
1.551.11%48.89%
2.524.64%75.36%
3.59.53%90.47%
4.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.31%30.69%
1.533.06%66.94%
2.511.65%88.35%
3.53.22%96.78%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Santa Clara
Score012345
0
7.80%
13.36%
11.45%
6.54%
2.80%
0.96%
1
6.53%
11.19%
9.59%
5.48%
2.35%
0.80%
2
2.73%
4.69%
4.02%
2.29%
0.98%
0.34%
3
0.76%
1.31%
1.12%
0.64%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.16%
0.27%
0.23%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Estrela
1-06.53%
2-02.73%
2-14.69%
3-00.76%
3-11.31%
3-21.12%
4-00.16%
4-10.27%
4-20.23%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.80%
1-111.19%
2-24.02%
3-30.64%
Santa Clara
0-113.36%
0-211.45%
1-29.59%
0-36.54%
1-35.48%
2-32.29%
0-42.80%
1-42.35%
2-40.98%
3-40.27%
0-50.96%
1-50.80%
2-50.34%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Santa Clara
Score01234
0
30.69%
24.35%
9.66%
2.56%
0.51%
1
11.90%
9.44%
3.75%
0.99%
0.20%
2
2.31%
1.83%
0.73%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.30%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Estrela
1-011.90%
2-02.31%
2-11.83%
3-00.30%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-030.69%
1-19.44%
2-20.73%
Santa Clara
0-124.35%
0-29.66%
1-23.75%
0-32.56%
1-30.99%
2-30.19%
0-40.51%
1-40.20%
Estoril at Rio Ave
Porto at Vitória