Casa Pia AC at Estrela

Updated

Casa Pia AC

25.7%27.2%47.1%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawEstrela Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.39
1Final Score 0

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Santa Clara+200
L 0-3 at Benfica+1125
L 1-0 vs Boavista-105
W 2-1 at Famalicao+390
L 1-0 vs Moreirense+165
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-1 at Benfica+1550
L 3-0 vs Famalicao+190
T 1-1 at Braga+575
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-145
L 0-4 at FC Vizela+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+230-+185+172+198+172+198+193.4
Estrela+120-+145+151+145+151+151+170.7
Draw+230-+210+220+226+220+226+245.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+240----+230+230+193.4
Estrela+120----+130+130+170.7
Draw+230----+220+220+245.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estrela: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 30.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +181 to +172
No Steam Moves On Estrela ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Estrela: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 80.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +240 to +230
No Steam Moves On Estrela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102-o2¼-102o2¼+100o2¼-102o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+109
Underu2¼-122-u2¼-118u2¼-120u2¼-116u2¼-120u2¼-116u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.63%
Exactly 226.37%
Exactly 412.03%
Exactly 62.20%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.54%
Exactly 320.57%
Exactly 55.63%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 038.67%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.53%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 024.91%
Exactly 134.62%
Exactly 224.06%
Exactly 311.15%
Exactly 43.87%
Exactly 51.08%
Exactly 60.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.84%
Exactly 219.86%
Exactly 41.94%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.17%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 064.41%
Exactly 128.33%
Exactly 26.23%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 052.54%
Exactly 133.81%
Exactly 210.88%
Exactly 32.33%
Exactly 40.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals8.97%
Wins by 3+ goals2.37%
Wins by 4+ goals0.48%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals22.62%
Wins by 3+ goals8.48%
Wins by 4+ goals2.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.60%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal16.68%
Wins by 2 goals6.60%
Wins by 3 goals1.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.41%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal24.40%
Wins by 2 goals14.14%
Wins by 3 goals5.94%
Wins by 4 goals1.94%
Wins by 5 goals0.51%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.37%9.63%
1.567.83%32.17%
2.541.45%58.55%
3.520.88%79.12%
4.58.85%91.15%
5.53.22%96.78%
6.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.33%38.67%
1.524.59%75.41%
2.57.13%92.87%
3.51.61%98.39%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.09%24.91%
1.540.47%59.53%
2.516.41%83.59%
3.55.26%94.74%
4.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.16%33.84%
1.529.49%70.51%
2.59.63%90.37%
3.52.45%97.55%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Estrela
Score012345
0
9.63%
13.39%
9.31%
4.31%
1.50%
0.42%
1
9.15%
12.72%
8.84%
4.10%
1.42%
0.40%
2
4.35%
6.04%
4.20%
1.95%
0.68%
0.19%
3
1.38%
1.91%
1.33%
0.62%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.33%
0.45%
0.32%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Casa Pia AC
1-09.15%
2-04.35%
2-16.04%
3-01.38%
3-11.91%
3-21.33%
4-00.33%
4-10.45%
4-20.32%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.63%
1-112.72%
2-24.20%
3-30.62%
Estrela
0-113.39%
0-29.31%
1-28.84%
0-34.31%
1-34.10%
2-31.95%
0-41.50%
1-41.42%
2-40.68%
3-40.21%
0-50.42%
1-50.40%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Estrela
Score01234
0
33.84%
21.78%
7.01%
1.50%
0.24%
1
14.89%
9.58%
3.08%
0.66%
0.11%
2
3.27%
2.11%
0.68%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.48%
0.31%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-014.89%
2-03.27%
2-12.11%
3-00.48%
3-10.31%
Draw
0-033.84%
1-19.58%
2-20.68%
Estrela
0-121.78%
0-27.01%
1-23.08%
0-31.50%
1-30.66%
2-30.15%
0-40.24%
1-40.11%
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