Moreirense at Casa Pia AC

Updated

Moreirense

31.9%29.0%39.1%
Moreirense WinDrawCasa Pia AC Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.17
1Final Score 3

Casa Pia AC

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Benfica+620
L 1-3 at Braga+395
W 1-3 vs Arouca+115
W 2-1 at SC Farense+155
W 1-2 vs Estoril+120
Casa Pia AC
Money Line
W 1-0 at Estrela+230
L 2-0 vs Santa Clara+200
L 0-3 at Benfica+1125
L 1-0 vs Boavista-105
W 2-1 at Famalicao+390

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+185+171+165+155+151+155+171+175.3
Casa Pia AC+175+195+185+174+201+174+201+195.8
Draw+208+201+190+210+200+210+210+234.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+180----+165+165+175.3
Casa Pia AC+170----+180+180+195.8
Draw+210----+215+215+234.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +165 to +155
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +195 to +174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +180 to +165
No Steam Moves On Casa Pia AC ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-121o2-120o2-120o2-120o2-118o2-120o2-118o2-109
Underu2+103u2+102u2+100u2+100u2-102u2+100u2+102u2+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-109
Under-----u2+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.10%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 410.80%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.40%
Exactly 319.65%
Exactly 54.75%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 035.79%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.90%
Exactly 36.47%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 031.01%
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 221.25%
Exactly 38.29%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 50.57%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.14%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 41.62%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 062.14%
Exactly 129.57%
Exactly 27.03%
Exactly 31.12%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 058.16%
Exactly 131.52%
Exactly 28.54%
Exactly 31.54%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals12.02%
Wins by 3+ goals3.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals16.51%
Wins by 3+ goals5.36%
Wins by 4+ goals1.38%
Wins by 5+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Casa Pia AC
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal19.79%
Wins by 2 goals8.59%
Wins by 3 goals2.68%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal22.54%
Wins by 2 goals11.15%
Wins by 3 goals3.98%
Wins by 4 goals1.10%
Wins by 5 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.90%11.10%
1.564.50%35.50%
2.537.69%62.31%
3.518.03%81.97%
4.57.23%92.77%
5.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.21%35.79%
1.527.44%72.56%
2.58.55%91.45%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.99%31.01%
1.532.68%67.32%
2.511.42%88.58%
3.53.13%96.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.86%36.14%
1.527.08%72.92%
2.58.36%91.64%
3.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Casa Pia AC
Score012345
0
11.10%
12.99%
7.61%
2.97%
0.87%
0.20%
1
11.40%
13.35%
7.82%
3.05%
0.89%
0.21%
2
5.86%
6.86%
4.02%
1.57%
0.46%
0.11%
3
2.01%
2.35%
1.38%
0.54%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.52%
0.60%
0.35%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.12%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-011.40%
2-05.86%
2-16.86%
3-02.01%
3-12.35%
3-21.38%
4-00.52%
4-10.60%
4-20.35%
4-30.14%
5-00.11%
5-10.12%
Draw
0-011.10%
1-113.35%
2-24.02%
3-30.54%
Casa Pia AC
0-112.99%
0-27.61%
1-27.82%
0-32.97%
1-33.05%
2-31.57%
0-40.87%
1-40.89%
2-40.46%
3-40.16%
0-50.20%
1-50.21%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Casa Pia AC
Score01234
0
36.14%
19.59%
5.31%
0.96%
0.13%
1
17.19%
9.32%
2.53%
0.46%
0.06%
2
4.09%
2.22%
0.60%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.65%
0.35%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-017.19%
2-04.09%
2-12.22%
3-00.65%
3-10.35%
Draw
0-036.14%
1-19.32%
2-20.60%
Casa Pia AC
0-119.59%
0-25.31%
1-22.53%
0-30.96%
1-30.46%
2-30.11%
0-40.13%
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