Sporting CP at Arouca

Updated

Sporting CP

77.4%15.2%7.4%
Sporting CP WinDrawWin
2.39Projected Goals 0.60
3Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Sporting CP
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Porto-115
W 5-0 at SC Farense-560
W 6-1 at Nacional-420
W 1-3 vs Rio Ave-800
W 0-3 vs Chaves-1500
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+210
W 0-1 vs Nacional+100
L 1-3 at Moreirense+285
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+220
L 3-1 vs Vitoria+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-374-403-460-435-501-435-403-304.0
Arouca+976+1122+1100+820+1094+820+1122+894.1
Draw+532+537+500+530+547+530+547+580.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-475-----450-450-304.0
Arouca+1200----+1050+1050+894.1
Draw+575----+575+575+580.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Arouca: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -435 to -455
Arouca ML moved from +850 to +820

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 10.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -425 to -450
Arouca ML moved from +1000 to +900

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3-136o3¼+100o3¼-105o3¼-104o3¼-105o3¼+100o3¼+104
Underu3+119u3+116u3¼-120u3¼-115u3¼-114u3¼-115u3¼-114u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+104
Under-----u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.9%
 
No59.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.01%
Exactly 222.46%
Exactly 416.76%
Exactly 65.00%
Exactly 80.80%
 
Exactly 115.01%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.03%
Exactly 72.14%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 09.12%
Exactly 121.84%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 412.50%
Exactly 55.99%
Exactly 62.39%
Exactly 70.82%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 055.00%
Exactly 132.88%
Exactly 29.83%
Exactly 31.96%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.02%
Exactly 224.02%
Exactly 43.84%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.66%
Exactly 311.09%
Exactly 51.06%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 032.99%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.28%
Exactly 37.50%
Exactly 42.08%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 075.82%
Exactly 120.99%
Exactly 22.91%
Exactly 30.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals54.35%
Wins by 3+ goals31.75%
Wins by 4+ goals15.53%
Wins by 5+ goals6.43%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.67%
Wins by 3+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Sporting CP
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal22.92%
Wins by 2 goals22.60%
Wins by 3 goals16.23%
Wins by 4 goals9.09%
Wins by 5 goals4.16%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal5.72%
Wins by 2 goals1.40%
Wins by 3 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.99%5.01%
1.579.98%20.02%
2.557.52%42.48%
3.535.11%64.89%
4.518.35%81.65%
5.58.32%91.68%
6.53.31%96.69%
7.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.88%9.12%
1.569.04%30.96%
2.542.89%57.11%
3.522.02%77.98%
4.59.52%90.48%
5.53.54%96.46%
6.51.15%98.85%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.545.00%55.00%
1.512.12%87.88%
2.52.29%97.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.98%25.02%
1.540.32%59.68%
2.516.30%83.70%
3.55.21%94.79%
4.51.37%98.63%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sporting CP
Arouca
Score0123
0
5.01%
3.00%
0.90%
0.18%
1
12.01%
7.18%
2.15%
0.43%
2
14.38%
8.60%
2.57%
0.51%
3
11.48%
6.86%
2.05%
0.41%
4
6.87%
4.11%
1.23%
0.24%
5
3.29%
1.97%
0.59%
0.12%
Sporting CP
1-012.01%
2-014.38%
2-18.60%
3-011.48%
3-16.86%
3-22.05%
4-06.87%
4-14.11%
4-21.23%
4-30.24%
5-03.29%
5-11.97%
5-20.59%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-05.01%
1-17.18%
2-22.57%
3-30.41%
Arouca
0-13.00%
0-20.90%
1-22.15%
0-30.18%
1-30.43%
2-30.51%

Correct Score - First Half

Sporting CP
Arouca
Score012
0
25.02%
6.93%
0.96%
1
27.74%
7.68%
1.06%
2
15.38%
4.26%
0.59%
3
5.68%
1.57%
0.22%
4
1.58%
0.44%
0.06%
5
0.35%
0.10%
0.01%
Sporting CP
1-027.74%
2-015.38%
2-14.26%
3-05.68%
3-11.57%
3-20.22%
4-01.58%
4-10.44%
5-00.35%
Draw
0-025.02%
1-17.68%
2-20.59%
Arouca
0-16.93%
0-20.96%
1-21.06%