Benfica at Arouca

Updated

Benfica

73.9%16.7%9.4%
Benfica WinDrawWin
2.31Projected Goals 0.69
2Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Porto-105
W 2-1 at SC Farense-660
W 0-5 vs Rio Ave-800
W 1-5 vs Gil Vicente FC-600
W 3-0 at Boavista-475
Arouca
Money Line
T 0-0 at Famalicao+260
L 2-1 vs Braga+375
L 1-4 at Estoril+140
T 1-1 vs AVS+105
L 0-4 at Porto+1200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-359-433-500-500-490-500-433-340.5
Arouca+946+1147+1200+1000+1173+1000+1200+1085.9
Draw+517+579+525+550+571+550+579+600.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica-375-----475-475-340.5
Arouca+935----+1200+1200+1085.9
Draw+515----+575+575+600.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -480 to -500
Arouca ML moved from +1000 to +900

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from -400 to -475
Arouca ML moved from +970 to +950

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-123o3-133o3-125o3¼-101o3¼+102o3¼-101o3-125o3¼+108
Underu3+105u3+113u3+105u3¼-119u3¼-124u3¼-119u3¼-119u3¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+108
Under-----u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.99%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 416.79%
Exactly 65.03%
Exactly 80.81%
 
Exactly 114.96%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.07%
Exactly 72.15%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 09.94%
Exactly 122.95%
Exactly 226.49%
Exactly 320.38%
Exactly 411.76%
Exactly 55.43%
Exactly 62.09%
Exactly 70.69%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 050.20%
Exactly 134.60%
Exactly 211.92%
Exactly 32.74%
Exactly 40.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.96%
Exactly 224.04%
Exactly 43.86%
Exactly 60.25%
 
Exactly 134.64%
Exactly 311.12%
Exactly 51.07%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 034.34%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.62%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 072.68%
Exactly 123.19%
Exactly 23.70%
Exactly 30.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals50.34%
Wins by 3+ goals28.43%
Wins by 4+ goals13.42%
Wins by 5+ goals5.36%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals2.37%
Wins by 3+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal23.46%
Wins by 2 goals21.91%
Wins by 3 goals15.01%
Wins by 4 goals8.05%
Wins by 5 goals3.54%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal7.00%
Wins by 2 goals1.94%
Wins by 3 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.01%4.99%
1.580.05%19.95%
2.557.63%42.37%
3.535.22%64.78%
4.518.43%81.57%
5.58.37%91.63%
6.53.34%96.66%
7.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.06%9.94%
1.567.11%32.89%
2.540.62%59.38%
3.520.24%79.76%
4.58.47%91.53%
5.53.04%96.96%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.80%50.20%
1.515.20%84.80%
2.53.28%96.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.04%24.96%
1.540.40%59.60%
2.516.36%83.64%
3.55.24%94.76%
4.51.38%98.62%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Arouca
Score0123
0
4.99%
3.44%
1.19%
0.27%
1
11.52%
7.94%
2.74%
0.63%
2
13.30%
9.16%
3.16%
0.73%
3
10.23%
7.05%
2.43%
0.56%
4
5.91%
4.07%
1.40%
0.32%
5
2.73%
1.88%
0.65%
0.15%
Benfica
1-011.52%
2-013.30%
2-19.16%
3-010.23%
3-17.05%
3-22.43%
4-05.91%
4-14.07%
4-21.40%
4-30.32%
5-02.73%
5-11.88%
5-20.65%
5-30.15%
Draw
0-04.99%
1-17.94%
2-23.16%
3-30.56%
Arouca
0-13.44%
0-21.19%
1-22.74%
0-30.27%
1-30.63%
2-30.73%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Arouca
Score0123
0
24.96%
7.96%
1.27%
0.14%
1
26.68%
8.51%
1.36%
0.14%
2
14.26%
4.55%
0.73%
0.08%
3
5.08%
1.62%
0.26%
0.03%
4
1.36%
0.43%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.29%
0.09%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-026.68%
2-014.26%
2-14.55%
3-05.08%
3-11.62%
3-20.26%
4-01.36%
4-10.43%
5-00.29%
Draw
0-024.96%
1-18.51%
2-20.73%
Arouca
0-17.96%
0-21.27%
1-21.36%
0-30.14%
1-30.14%