Braga at Arouca

Updated

Braga

54.3%24.8%20.9%
Braga WinDrawArouca Win
1.63Projected Goals 0.90
2Final Score 1

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 0-2 vs SC Farense-325
L 1-2 at Porto+550
W 0-4 vs Rio Ave-195
W 3-0 at Nacional-145
L 2-0 vs Vitoria+125
Arouca
Money Line
L 1-4 at Estoril+140
T 1-1 vs AVS+105
L 0-4 at Porto+1200
W 1-0 at SC Farense+155
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1050

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-125-129-135-139-146-139-129-116.7
Arouca+300+363+350+325+374+325+374+359.0
Draw+270+284+260+280+288+280+288+310.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-125-----140-140-116.7
Arouca+325----+375+375+359.0
Draw+285----+290+290+310.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Arouca: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -135 to -141
Arouca ML moved from +330 to +315

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Arouca: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Arouca: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -135 to -160
Arouca ML moved from +420 to +375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105o2½-130o2¾+102o2¾+100o2¾-101o2¾+100o2½-130o2¾+109
Underu2¾-115u2½+111u2¾-122u2¾-120u2¾-121u2¾-120u2¾-120u2¾-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+109
Under-----u2¾-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.98%
Exactly 225.50%
Exactly 413.59%
Exactly 62.90%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.17%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 56.87%
Exactly 71.05%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 019.70%
Exactly 132.00%
Exactly 226.00%
Exactly 314.08%
Exactly 45.72%
Exactly 51.86%
Exactly 60.50%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 040.50%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 216.54%
Exactly 34.98%
Exactly 41.13%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.02%
Exactly 221.25%
Exactly 42.43%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.29%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 047.13%
Exactly 135.45%
Exactly 213.33%
Exactly 33.34%
Exactly 40.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 065.81%
Exactly 127.54%
Exactly 25.76%
Exactly 30.80%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals29.19%
Wins by 3+ goals12.46%
Wins by 4+ goals4.33%
Wins by 5+ goals1.25%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals6.90%
Wins by 3+ goals1.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Braga
Wins by 1 goal25.11%
Wins by 2 goals16.73%
Wins by 3 goals8.13%
Wins by 4 goals3.08%
Wins by 5 goals0.96%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal13.97%
Wins by 2 goals5.17%
Wins by 3 goals1.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.02%7.98%
1.571.85%28.15%
2.546.34%53.66%
3.524.85%75.15%
4.511.26%88.74%
5.54.39%95.61%
6.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.30%19.70%
1.548.30%51.70%
2.522.30%77.70%
3.58.22%91.78%
4.52.51%97.49%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.50%40.50%
1.522.89%77.11%
2.56.35%93.65%
3.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.98%31.02%
1.532.67%67.33%
2.511.42%88.58%
3.53.13%96.87%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Arouca
Score01234
0
7.98%
7.21%
3.26%
0.98%
0.22%
1
12.96%
11.72%
5.29%
1.59%
0.36%
2
10.53%
9.52%
4.30%
1.30%
0.29%
3
5.70%
5.15%
2.33%
0.70%
0.16%
4
2.32%
2.09%
0.95%
0.28%
0.06%
5
0.75%
0.68%
0.31%
0.09%
0.02%
Braga
1-012.96%
2-010.53%
2-19.52%
3-05.70%
3-15.15%
3-22.33%
4-02.32%
4-12.09%
4-20.95%
4-30.28%
5-00.75%
5-10.68%
5-20.31%
Draw
0-07.98%
1-111.72%
2-24.30%
3-30.70%
Arouca
0-17.21%
0-23.26%
1-25.29%
0-30.98%
1-31.59%
2-31.30%
0-40.22%
1-40.36%
2-40.29%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Arouca
Score0123
0
31.02%
12.98%
2.72%
0.38%
1
23.33%
9.76%
2.04%
0.28%
2
8.77%
3.67%
0.77%
0.11%
3
2.20%
0.92%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.41%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Braga
1-023.33%
2-08.77%
2-13.67%
3-02.20%
3-10.92%
3-20.19%
4-00.41%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-031.02%
1-19.76%
2-20.77%
Arouca
0-112.98%
0-22.72%
1-22.04%
0-30.38%
1-30.28%
2-30.11%
Moreirense at Vitória
Estoril at Porto