Braga at Porto

Updated

Braga

14.9%20.4%64.7%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.85Projected Goals 2.02
1Final Score 2

Porto

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Rio Ave-195
W 3-0 at Nacional-145
L 2-0 vs Vitoria+125
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC-120
W 1-3 vs Moreirense-150
Porto
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Arouca-500
W 3-0 at Vitoria-110
W 1-2 vs SC Farense-750
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+300
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave-400

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+416+594+500+460+605+460+605+502.5
Porto-146-219-225-217-241-217-217-174.9
Draw+296+378+360+370+352+370+378+405.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+400----+550+550+502.5
Porto-150-----215-215-174.9
Draw+300----+365+365+405.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 10.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 40.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +550 to +500
Porto ML moved from -233 to -240

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +480 to +460
Porto ML moved from -185 to -215

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-136o3¼-102o3¼+104o3¼+103o3¼+104o3¼+104o3¼+113
Underu3-115u3+115u3¼-118u3¼-124u3¼-121u3¼-124u3+115u3¼-113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+113
Under-----u3¼-113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.7%
 
No50.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.65%
Exactly 223.33%
Exactly 416.05%
Exactly 64.41%
Exactly 80.65%
 
Exactly 116.24%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 59.22%
Exactly 71.81%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 042.77%
Exactly 136.33%
Exactly 215.43%
Exactly 34.37%
Exactly 40.93%
Exactly 50.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 013.22%
Exactly 126.75%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.25%
Exactly 49.23%
Exactly 53.74%
Exactly 61.26%
Exactly 70.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.44%
Exactly 223.39%
Exactly 43.45%
Exactly 60.20%
 
Exactly 135.17%
Exactly 310.37%
Exactly 50.92%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 067.48%
Exactly 126.54%
Exactly 25.22%
Exactly 30.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 039.19%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.20%
Exactly 35.37%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals4.54%
Wins by 3+ goals1.05%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals40.06%
Wins by 3+ goals20.25%
Wins by 4+ goals8.46%
Wins by 5+ goals2.94%
Wins by 6+ goals0.83%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Porto
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Braga
Wins by 1 goal10.30%
Wins by 2 goals3.49%
Wins by 3 goals0.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal24.53%
Wins by 2 goals19.81%
Wins by 3 goals11.80%
Wins by 4 goals5.52%
Wins by 5 goals2.11%
Wins by 6 goals0.67%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.35%5.65%
1.578.10%21.90%
2.554.77%45.23%
3.532.43%67.57%
4.516.38%83.62%
5.57.16%92.84%
6.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.23%42.77%
1.520.91%79.09%
2.55.48%94.52%
3.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.78%13.22%
1.560.03%39.97%
2.532.97%67.03%
3.514.71%85.29%
4.55.48%94.52%
5.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.56%26.44%
1.538.38%61.62%
2.514.99%85.01%
3.54.62%95.38%
4.51.17%98.83%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Porto
Score012345
0
5.65%
11.44%
11.57%
7.81%
3.95%
1.60%
1
4.80%
9.72%
9.83%
6.63%
3.35%
1.36%
2
2.04%
4.13%
4.18%
2.82%
1.42%
0.58%
3
0.58%
1.17%
1.18%
0.80%
0.40%
0.16%
4
0.12%
0.25%
0.25%
0.17%
0.09%
0.03%
Braga
1-04.80%
2-02.04%
2-14.13%
3-00.58%
3-11.17%
3-21.18%
4-00.12%
4-10.25%
4-20.25%
4-30.17%
Draw
0-05.65%
1-19.72%
2-24.18%
3-30.80%
Porto
0-111.44%
0-211.57%
1-29.83%
0-37.81%
1-36.63%
2-32.82%
0-43.95%
1-43.35%
2-41.42%
3-40.40%
0-51.60%
1-51.36%
2-50.58%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Porto
Score012345
0
26.44%
24.77%
11.60%
3.62%
0.85%
0.16%
1
10.40%
9.74%
4.56%
1.43%
0.33%
0.06%
2
2.04%
1.92%
0.90%
0.28%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-010.40%
2-02.04%
2-11.92%
3-00.27%
3-10.25%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-026.44%
1-19.74%
2-20.90%
Porto
0-124.77%
0-211.60%
1-24.56%
0-33.62%
1-31.43%
2-30.28%
0-40.85%
1-40.33%
0-50.16%
Estoril at SC Farense
Nacional at Casa Pia AC