Braga at Nacional

Updated

Braga

64.9%20.2%14.9%
Braga WinDrawWin
2.06Projected Goals 0.86
3Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Vitoria+125
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC-120
W 1-3 vs Moreirense-150
W 1-0 at Boavista-200
T 1-1 vs Estrela-225
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-1 at Estoril+185
W 0-2 vs SC Farense+105
L 0-1 at Arouca+280
L 6-1 vs Sporting CP+1000
T 1-1 at AVS+255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-135-128-135-140-135-140-128-124.6
Nacional+440+356+350+365+365+365+365+389.0
Draw+220+286+265+295+284+295+295+315.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-120-----145-145-124.6
Nacional+345----+410+410+389.0
Draw+255----+280+280+315.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 30.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -133 to -140
Nacional ML moved from +374 to +365

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Nacional: 40.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -120 to -140
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110o3+105o3+102o3+105o2¾-125o3+105o2¾-125o3+114
Underu2¼-110u3-124u3-122u3-125u2¾+105u3-125u3-122u3-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+114
Under-----u3-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-112 to o2¾-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.4%
 
No49.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.42%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 416.31%
Exactly 64.62%
Exactly 80.70%
 
Exactly 115.79%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.51%
Exactly 71.93%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 012.86%
Exactly 126.38%
Exactly 227.05%
Exactly 318.49%
Exactly 49.48%
Exactly 53.89%
Exactly 61.33%
Exactly 70.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 042.11%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.75%
Exactly 34.54%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.92%
Exactly 223.62%
Exactly 43.59%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.00%
Exactly 310.63%
Exactly 50.97%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 038.69%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.45%
Exactly 35.52%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 067.00%
Exactly 126.83%
Exactly 25.37%
Exactly 30.72%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals40.42%
Wins by 3+ goals20.61%
Wins by 4+ goals8.69%
Wins by 5+ goals3.05%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals4.60%
Wins by 3+ goals1.08%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Braga
Wins by 1 goal24.34%
Wins by 2 goals19.81%
Wins by 3 goals11.92%
Wins by 4 goals5.64%
Wins by 5 goals2.18%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal10.26%
Wins by 2 goals3.52%
Wins by 3 goals0.89%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.58%5.42%
1.578.79%21.21%
2.555.77%44.23%
3.533.39%66.61%
4.517.08%82.92%
5.57.57%92.43%
6.52.94%97.06%
7.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.14%12.86%
1.560.77%39.23%
2.533.72%66.28%
3.515.22%84.78%
4.55.74%94.26%
5.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.89%42.11%
1.521.47%78.53%
2.55.72%94.28%
3.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.08%25.92%
1.539.08%60.92%
2.515.46%84.54%
3.54.83%95.17%
4.51.24%98.76%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Nacional
Score01234
0
5.42%
4.68%
2.03%
0.58%
0.13%
1
11.11%
9.61%
4.15%
1.20%
0.26%
2
11.39%
9.85%
4.26%
1.23%
0.27%
3
7.79%
6.74%
2.91%
0.84%
0.18%
4
3.99%
3.45%
1.49%
0.43%
0.09%
5
1.64%
1.42%
0.61%
0.18%
0.04%
Braga
1-011.11%
2-011.39%
2-19.85%
3-07.79%
3-16.74%
3-22.91%
4-03.99%
4-13.45%
4-21.49%
4-30.43%
5-01.64%
5-11.42%
5-20.61%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-05.42%
1-19.61%
2-24.26%
3-30.84%
Nacional
0-14.68%
0-22.03%
1-24.15%
0-30.58%
1-31.20%
2-31.23%
0-40.13%
1-40.26%
2-40.27%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Nacional
Score0123
0
25.92%
10.38%
2.08%
0.28%
1
24.62%
9.86%
1.97%
0.26%
2
11.69%
4.68%
0.94%
0.13%
3
3.70%
1.48%
0.30%
0.04%
4
0.88%
0.35%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.17%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-024.62%
2-011.69%
2-14.68%
3-03.70%
3-11.48%
3-20.30%
4-00.88%
4-10.35%
5-00.17%
Draw
0-025.92%
1-19.86%
2-20.94%
Nacional
0-110.38%
0-22.08%
1-21.97%
0-30.28%
1-30.26%
2-30.13%