Nacional at Estoril

Updated

Nacional

23.1%25.8%51.1%
Nacional WinDrawEstoril Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.52
0Final Score 1

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 0-2 vs SC Farense+105
L 0-1 at Arouca+280
L 6-1 vs Sporting CP+1000
T 1-1 at AVS+255
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave+425
Estoril
Money Line
T 0-0 at Boavista+230
T 0-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+200
L 0-1 at Vitoria+525
L 4-1 vs Santa Clara+145
L 1-2 at Moreirense+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+205+196+180+177+191+177+196+198.8
Estoril+130+157+155+153+154+153+157+172.9
Draw+220+220+205+210+220+210+220+234.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+220----+185+185+198.8
Estoril+125----+155+155+172.9
Draw+240----+225+225+234.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Estoril: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +190 to +180
Estoril ML moved from +135 to +125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Estoril: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +195 to +185
No Steam Moves On Estoril ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2-146o2¼+102o2-137o2¼+101o2-137o2-137o2-125
Underu2¼-105u2+124u2¼-122u2+117u2¼-119u2+117u2¼-119u2+125
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-125
Under-----u2+125

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.5%
 
No52.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.57%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 413.01%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.05%
Exactly 321.19%
Exactly 56.40%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 039.34%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 217.12%
Exactly 35.32%
Exactly 41.24%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 021.78%
Exactly 133.20%
Exactly 225.30%
Exactly 312.85%
Exactly 44.90%
Exactly 51.49%
Exactly 60.38%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.06%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 42.24%
 
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 064.92%
Exactly 128.04%
Exactly 26.06%
Exactly 30.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 049.37%
Exactly 134.85%
Exactly 212.30%
Exactly 32.89%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals7.87%
Wins by 3+ goals2.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals26.14%
Wins by 3+ goals10.55%
Wins by 4+ goals3.42%
Wins by 5+ goals0.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal15.19%
Wins by 2 goals5.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal24.82%
Wins by 2 goals15.59%
Wins by 3 goals7.13%
Wins by 4 goals2.54%
Wins by 5 goals0.73%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.43%8.57%
1.570.38%29.62%
2.544.52%55.48%
3.523.33%76.67%
4.510.32%89.68%
5.53.92%96.08%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.66%39.34%
1.523.96%76.04%
2.56.84%93.16%
3.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.22%21.78%
1.545.03%54.97%
2.519.73%80.27%
3.56.87%93.13%
4.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.94%32.06%
1.531.48%68.52%
2.510.73%89.27%
3.52.86%97.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Estoril
Score012345
0
8.57%
13.06%
9.95%
5.06%
1.93%
0.59%
1
7.99%
12.18%
9.29%
4.72%
1.80%
0.55%
2
3.73%
5.68%
4.33%
2.20%
0.84%
0.26%
3
1.16%
1.77%
1.35%
0.68%
0.26%
0.08%
4
0.27%
0.41%
0.31%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Nacional
1-07.99%
2-03.73%
2-15.68%
3-01.16%
3-11.77%
3-21.35%
4-00.27%
4-10.41%
4-20.31%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.57%
1-112.18%
2-24.33%
3-30.68%
Estoril
0-113.06%
0-29.95%
1-29.29%
0-35.06%
1-34.72%
2-32.20%
0-41.93%
1-41.80%
2-40.84%
3-40.26%
0-50.59%
1-50.55%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Estoril
Score01234
0
32.06%
22.62%
7.98%
1.88%
0.33%
1
13.85%
9.77%
3.45%
0.81%
0.14%
2
2.99%
2.11%
0.74%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.43%
0.30%
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
Nacional
1-013.85%
2-02.99%
2-12.11%
3-00.43%
3-10.30%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-032.06%
1-19.77%
2-20.74%
Estoril
0-122.62%
0-27.98%
1-23.45%
0-31.88%
1-30.81%
2-30.18%
0-40.33%
1-40.14%
SC Farense at Porto
Vitória at Braga