SC Farense at Nacional

Updated

SC Farense

40.6%28.7%30.7%
SC Farense WinDrawNacional Win
1.22Projected Goals 1.01
0Final Score 2

Nacional

Last 5 Games

SC Farense
Money Line
L 5-0 vs Sporting CP+1200
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+280
L 2-1 vs Moreirense+190
L 3-1 vs Portimonense+180
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+360
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-1 at Arouca+280
L 6-1 vs Sporting CP+1000
T 1-1 at AVS+255
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave+425
L 0-3 at Famalicao+315

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SC Farense+200+285+250+220+285+220+285+251.4
Nacional+145-103+105+108-108+100+105+119.6
Draw+236+266+235+250+268+250+268+284.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
SC Farense+220----+260+260+251.4
Nacional+125----+105+105+119.6
Draw+240----+250+250+284.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 70.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SC Farense: 50.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

SC Farense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SC Farense: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

SC Farense ML moved from +266 to +258
Nacional ML moved from +101 to -103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

SC Farense: 50.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

SC Farense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

SC Farense: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On SC Farense ML
Nacional ML moved from +125 to +105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-121o2½-118o2½-110o2½-115o2½-110o2½-110o2½+100
Underu2½-106u2½+103u2½-102u2½-110u2½-103u2½-110u2½+103u2½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+100
Under-----u2½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.8%
 
No55.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.76%
Exactly 226.74%
Exactly 411.07%
Exactly 61.83%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 123.99%
Exactly 319.87%
Exactly 54.94%
Exactly 70.58%
Exact Goals Scored - SC Farense
Exactly 029.70%
Exactly 136.06%
Exactly 221.89%
Exactly 38.86%
Exactly 42.69%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 036.25%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.66%
Exactly 36.31%
Exactly 41.60%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.63%
Exactly 218.97%
Exactly 41.68%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.53%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - SC Farense
Exactly 057.00%
Exactly 132.04%
Exactly 29.01%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 062.51%
Exactly 129.37%
Exactly 26.90%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

SC Farense
Wins by 2+ goals17.64%
Wins by 3+ goals5.90%
Wins by 4+ goals1.57%
Wins by 5+ goals0.33%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals11.41%
Wins by 3+ goals3.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.69%

Exact Winning Margin

SC Farense
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
SC Farense
Wins by 1 goal22.95%
Wins by 2 goals11.74%
Wins by 3 goals4.33%
Wins by 4 goals1.24%
Wins by 5 goals0.29%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal19.19%
Wins by 2 goals8.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.52%
Wins by 4 goals0.59%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.24%10.76%
1.565.24%34.76%
2.538.50%61.50%
3.518.64%81.36%
4.57.57%92.43%
5.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals SC Farense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.30%29.70%
1.534.25%65.75%
2.512.36%87.64%
3.53.50%96.50%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.75%36.25%
1.526.97%73.03%
2.58.30%91.70%
3.51.99%98.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.37%35.63%
1.527.60%72.40%
2.58.63%91.37%
3.52.10%97.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

SC Farense
Nacional
Score01234
0
10.76%
10.92%
5.54%
1.87%
0.48%
1
13.07%
13.26%
6.73%
2.28%
0.58%
2
7.93%
8.05%
4.09%
1.38%
0.35%
3
3.21%
3.26%
1.65%
0.56%
0.14%
4
0.97%
0.99%
0.50%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.24%
0.24%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
SC Farense
1-013.07%
2-07.93%
2-18.05%
3-03.21%
3-13.26%
3-21.65%
4-00.97%
4-10.99%
4-20.50%
4-30.17%
5-00.24%
5-10.24%
5-20.12%
Draw
0-010.76%
1-113.26%
2-24.09%
3-30.56%
Nacional
0-110.92%
0-25.54%
1-26.73%
0-31.87%
1-32.28%
2-31.38%
0-40.48%
1-40.58%
2-40.35%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

SC Farense
Nacional
Score0123
0
35.63%
16.74%
3.93%
0.62%
1
20.03%
9.41%
2.21%
0.35%
2
5.63%
2.65%
0.62%
0.10%
3
1.05%
0.50%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
SC Farense
1-020.03%
2-05.63%
2-12.65%
3-01.05%
3-10.50%
3-20.12%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-035.63%
1-19.41%
2-20.62%
Nacional
0-116.74%
0-23.93%
1-22.21%
0-30.62%
1-30.35%
Porto at Sporting CP
Arouca at Rio Ave