Nacional at Casa Pia AC

Updated

Nacional

23.3%25.5%51.2%
Nacional WinDrawCasa Pia AC Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.55
0Final Score 1

Casa Pia AC

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
T 0-0 at Famalicao+425
L 3-0 vs Braga+410
L 0-1 at Estoril+185
W 0-2 vs SC Farense+105
L 0-1 at Arouca+280
Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+1600
T 1-1 vs Vitoria+320
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+270
W 1-3 vs Moreirense+180
W 1-0 at Estrela+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+255+244+235+200+239+200+244+223.9
Casa Pia AC+110+122+120+128+116+128+128+146.2
Draw+220+233+215+220+231+225+233+250.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+270----+230+230+223.9
Casa Pia AC+110----+125+125+146.2
Draw+230----+230+230+250.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 40.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +246 to +239
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +120 to +113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 20.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +265 to +230
No Steam Moves On Casa Pia AC ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2½+115o2¼-108o2¼-119o2¼-113o2¼-119o2¼-108o2¼-108
Underu2¼-115u2½-135u2¼-112u2¼-101u2¼-107u2¼-101u2½-135u2¼+108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-108
Under-----u2¼+108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.5%
 
No51.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.15%
Exactly 225.61%
Exactly 413.42%
Exactly 62.81%
Exactly 80.32%
 
Exactly 120.43%
Exactly 321.41%
Exactly 56.73%
Exactly 71.01%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 038.43%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.58%
Exactly 35.60%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 021.20%
Exactly 132.88%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 313.19%
Exactly 45.11%
Exactly 51.59%
Exactly 60.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.32%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 064.22%
Exactly 128.44%
Exactly 26.30%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 048.76%
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 212.58%
Exactly 33.01%
Exactly 40.54%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals8.06%
Wins by 3+ goals2.12%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals26.43%
Wins by 3+ goals10.79%
Wins by 4+ goals3.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Casa Pia AC
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal15.19%
Wins by 2 goals5.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.69%
Wins by 4 goals0.37%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal24.64%
Wins by 2 goals15.64%
Wins by 3 goals7.25%
Wins by 4 goals2.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.76%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.85%8.15%
1.571.43%28.57%
2.545.81%54.19%
3.524.40%75.60%
4.510.98%89.02%
5.54.25%95.75%
6.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.57%38.43%
1.524.82%75.18%
2.57.25%92.75%
3.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.80%21.20%
1.545.92%54.08%
2.520.41%79.59%
3.57.22%92.78%
4.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.68%31.32%
1.532.32%67.68%
2.511.22%88.78%
3.53.05%96.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Casa Pia AC
Score012345
0
8.15%
12.64%
9.80%
5.07%
1.97%
0.61%
1
7.79%
12.09%
9.37%
4.85%
1.88%
0.58%
2
3.73%
5.78%
4.48%
2.32%
0.90%
0.28%
3
1.19%
1.84%
1.43%
0.74%
0.29%
0.09%
4
0.28%
0.44%
0.34%
0.18%
0.07%
0.02%
Nacional
1-07.79%
2-03.73%
2-15.78%
3-01.19%
3-11.84%
3-21.43%
4-00.28%
4-10.44%
4-20.34%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-08.15%
1-112.09%
2-24.48%
3-30.74%
Casa Pia AC
0-112.64%
0-29.80%
1-29.37%
0-35.07%
1-34.85%
2-32.32%
0-41.97%
1-41.88%
2-40.90%
3-40.29%
0-50.61%
1-50.58%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Casa Pia AC
Score01234
0
31.32%
22.49%
8.08%
1.93%
0.35%
1
13.87%
9.96%
3.58%
0.86%
0.15%
2
3.07%
2.21%
0.79%
0.19%
0.03%
3
0.45%
0.33%
0.12%
0.03%
0.01%
Nacional
1-013.87%
2-03.07%
2-12.21%
3-00.45%
3-10.33%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.32%
1-19.96%
2-20.79%
Casa Pia AC
0-122.49%
0-28.08%
1-23.58%
0-31.93%
1-30.86%
2-30.19%
0-40.35%
1-40.15%
Braga at Porto
Gil Vicente FC at Santa Clara