Nacional at Famalicão

Updated

Nacional

14.7%20.0%65.3%
WinDrawFamalicão Win
0.86Projected Goals 2.07
0Final Score 0

Famalicao

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Braga+410
L 0-1 at Estoril+185
W 0-2 vs SC Farense+105
L 0-1 at Arouca+280
L 6-1 vs Sporting CP+1000
Famalicao
Money Line
T 0-0 at Moreirense+175
T 1-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-115
L 1-2 at Vitoria+325
W 0-1 vs Boavista-165
W 3-0 at Estrela+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+473+413+460+345+422+345+460+381.0
Famalicão-155-136-165-135-142-135-135-113.4
Draw+289+271+270+255+267+255+271+283.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+465----+425+425+381.0
Famalicão-160-----145-145-113.4
Draw+0----+275+275+283.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Famalicão: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Famalicão: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 60.0%
Famalicão: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +355 to +330
Famalicão ML moved from -135 to -141

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Famalicão: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 0.0%
Famalicão: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 30.0%
Famalicão: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +465 to +380
Famalicão ML moved from -135 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½+103o2½+100o2¼-120o2¼-120o2¼-120o2¼-120o2¼-109
Underu2½-109u2½-121u2½-120u2¼+100u2¼+102u2¼+100u2½-120u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-109
Under-----u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.34%
Exactly 222.92%
Exactly 416.40%
Exactly 64.69%
Exactly 80.72%
 
Exactly 115.64%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.61%
Exactly 71.97%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 042.19%
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 215.71%
Exactly 34.52%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Famalicao
Exactly 012.65%
Exactly 126.15%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 318.63%
Exactly 49.63%
Exactly 53.98%
Exactly 61.37%
Exactly 70.41%
Exactly 80.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.75%
Exactly 223.70%
Exactly 43.64%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.94%
Exactly 310.72%
Exactly 50.99%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 067.06%
Exactly 126.79%
Exactly 25.35%
Exactly 30.71%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Famalicao
Exactly 038.40%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.59%
Exactly 35.61%
Exactly 41.34%
Exactly 50.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals4.52%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Famalicao
Wins by 2+ goals40.95%
Wins by 3+ goals21.05%
Wins by 4+ goals8.99%
Wins by 5+ goals3.24%
Wins by 6+ goals1.00%
Wins by 7+ goals0.25%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Famalicao
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal10.13%
Wins by 2 goals3.46%
Wins by 3 goals0.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Famalicao
Wins by 1 goal24.28%
Wins by 2 goals19.90%
Wins by 3 goals12.06%
Wins by 4 goals5.75%
Wins by 5 goals2.25%
Wins by 6 goals0.74%
Wins by 7 goals0.21%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.66%5.34%
1.579.02%20.98%
2.556.10%43.90%
3.533.72%66.28%
4.517.32%82.68%
5.57.71%92.29%
6.53.01%96.99%
7.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.81%42.19%
1.521.40%78.60%
2.55.69%94.31%
3.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals Famalicao Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.35%12.65%
1.561.19%38.81%
2.534.16%65.84%
3.515.53%84.47%
4.55.89%94.11%
5.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.25%25.75%
1.539.31%60.69%
2.515.62%84.38%
3.54.90%95.10%
4.51.26%98.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Famalicao
Score012345
0
5.34%
11.04%
11.41%
7.86%
4.06%
1.68%
1
4.61%
9.52%
9.84%
6.78%
3.51%
1.45%
2
1.99%
4.11%
4.25%
2.93%
1.51%
0.63%
3
0.57%
1.18%
1.22%
0.84%
0.44%
0.18%
4
0.12%
0.25%
0.26%
0.18%
0.09%
0.04%
Nacional
1-04.61%
2-01.99%
2-14.11%
3-00.57%
3-11.18%
3-21.22%
4-00.12%
4-10.25%
4-20.26%
4-30.18%
Draw
0-05.34%
1-19.52%
2-24.25%
3-30.84%
Famalicao
0-111.04%
0-211.41%
1-29.84%
0-37.86%
1-36.78%
2-32.93%
0-44.06%
1-43.51%
2-41.51%
3-40.44%
0-51.68%
1-51.45%
2-50.63%
3-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Famalicao
Score012345
0
25.75%
24.65%
11.80%
3.76%
0.90%
0.17%
1
10.29%
9.85%
4.71%
1.50%
0.36%
0.07%
2
2.06%
1.97%
0.94%
0.30%
0.07%
0.01%
3
0.27%
0.26%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Nacional
1-010.29%
2-02.06%
2-11.97%
3-00.27%
3-10.26%
3-20.13%
Draw
0-025.75%
1-19.85%
2-20.94%
Famalicao
0-124.65%
0-211.80%
1-24.71%
0-33.76%
1-31.50%
2-30.30%
0-40.90%
1-40.36%
0-50.17%