Arouca at Porto

Updated

Arouca

3.8%10.2%86.0%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.47Projected Goals 2.87
0Final Score 4

Porto

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 1-0 at SC Farense+155
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1050
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+210
W 0-1 vs Nacional+100
L 1-3 at Moreirense+285
Porto
Money Line
W 3-0 at Vitoria-110
W 1-2 vs SC Farense-750
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+300
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave-400
W 2-0 at Santa Clara-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1256+1187+1300+1000+1080+1000+1300+1094.1
Porto-435-432-500-500-480-500-432-330.4
Draw+552+565+550+520+555+520+565+573.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1400----+1200+1200+1094.1
Porto-575-----500-500-330.4
Draw+650----+620+620+573.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 40.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1161 to +1080
Porto ML moved from -476 to -500

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1400 to +1200
Porto ML moved from -575 to -620

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-131o3-129o3-120o3¼-101o3¼+103o3¼-101o3-120o3¼+108
Underu3+111u3+110u3+100u3¼-119u3¼-121u3¼-119u3¼-119u3¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+108
Under-----u3¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.5%
 
No64.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.54%
Exactly 219.75%
Exactly 418.38%
Exactly 66.84%
Exactly 81.36%
Exactly 100.17%
 
Exactly 111.82%
Exactly 322.00%
Exactly 512.29%
Exactly 73.27%
Exactly 90.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 062.39%
Exactly 129.43%
Exactly 26.94%
Exactly 31.09%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 05.67%
Exactly 116.27%
Exactly 223.35%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 416.03%
Exactly 59.20%
Exactly 64.40%
Exactly 71.80%
Exactly 80.65%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.28%
Exactly 225.48%
Exactly 45.08%
Exactly 60.41%
 
Exactly 132.93%
Exactly 313.14%
Exactly 51.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 080.38%
Exactly 117.56%
Exactly 21.92%
Exactly 30.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 026.48%
Exactly 135.19%
Exactly 223.38%
Exactly 310.36%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals0.69%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals67.16%
Wins by 3+ goals44.80%
Wins by 4+ goals25.45%
Wins by 5+ goals12.42%
Wins by 6+ goals5.25%
Wins by 7+ goals1.92%
Wins by 8+ goals0.59%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal3.08%
Wins by 2 goals0.60%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal18.76%
Wins by 2 goals22.36%
Wins by 3 goals19.34%
Wins by 4 goals13.03%
Wins by 5 goals7.17%
Wins by 6 goals3.32%
Wins by 7 goals1.33%
Wins by 8 goals0.46%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.46%3.54%
1.584.64%15.36%
2.564.89%35.11%
3.542.89%57.11%
4.524.51%75.49%
5.512.22%87.78%
6.55.38%94.62%
7.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.537.61%62.39%
1.58.18%91.82%
2.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.33%5.67%
1.578.06%21.94%
2.554.71%45.29%
3.532.37%67.63%
4.516.34%83.66%
5.57.14%92.86%
6.52.74%97.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.72%21.28%
1.545.79%54.21%
2.520.31%79.69%
3.57.17%92.83%
4.52.09%97.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Porto
Score012345
0
3.54%
10.15%
14.57%
13.94%
10.00%
5.74%
1
1.67%
4.79%
6.87%
6.58%
4.72%
2.71%
2
0.39%
1.13%
1.62%
1.55%
1.11%
0.64%
Arouca
1-01.67%
2-00.39%
2-11.13%
Draw
0-03.54%
1-14.79%
2-21.62%
3-30.24%
Porto
0-110.15%
0-214.57%
1-26.87%
0-313.94%
1-36.58%
2-31.55%
0-410.00%
1-44.72%
2-41.11%
3-40.17%
0-55.74%
1-52.71%
2-50.64%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Porto
Score0123456
0
21.28%
28.28%
18.79%
8.32%
2.77%
0.73%
0.16%
1
4.65%
6.18%
4.10%
1.82%
0.60%
0.16%
0.04%
2
0.51%
0.67%
0.45%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-04.65%
2-00.51%
2-10.67%
Draw
0-021.28%
1-16.18%
2-20.45%
Porto
0-128.28%
0-218.79%
1-24.10%
0-38.32%
1-31.82%
2-30.20%
0-42.77%
1-40.60%
0-50.73%
1-50.16%
0-60.16%