Arouca at SC Farense

Updated

Arouca

20.8%26.5%52.7%
Arouca WinDrawSC Farense Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.47
1Final Score 0

SC Farense

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1050
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+210
W 0-1 vs Nacional+100
L 1-3 at Moreirense+285
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+220
SC Farense
Money Line
L 1-2 at Porto+1900
L 0-2 at Nacional+260
L 5-0 vs Sporting CP+1200
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+280
L 2-1 vs Moreirense+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+168+154+165+137+149+137+165+156.1
SC Farense+167+182+160+185+190+185+190+207.9
Draw+241+243+220+225+241+225+243+251.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+165----+155+155+156.1
SC Farense+165----+175+175+207.9
Draw+240----+240+240+251.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
SC Farense: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 30.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +149 to +142
SC Farense ML moved from +159 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
SC Farense: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +165 to +155
No Steam Moves On SC Farense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-113o2½-116o2¾-102o2½-115o2½-107o2½-115o2½-107o2½-104
Underu2½-104u2½-101u2¾-118u2½-105u2½-107u2½-105u2¾-118u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-112 to o2¾+101
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.0%
 
No57.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.14%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.60%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.20%
Exactly 320.26%
Exactly 55.31%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 044.23%
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 214.72%
Exactly 34.00%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - SC Farense
Exactly 022.92%
Exactly 133.76%
Exactly 224.87%
Exactly 312.22%
Exactly 44.50%
Exactly 51.33%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.65%
Exactly 219.46%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.88%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 068.55%
Exactly 125.89%
Exactly 24.89%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - SC Farense
Exactly 050.55%
Exactly 134.48%
Exactly 211.76%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals6.43%
Wins by 3+ goals1.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.26%
SC Farense
Wins by 2+ goals26.73%
Wins by 3+ goals10.60%
Wins by 4+ goals3.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
SC Farense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal14.34%
Wins by 2 goals4.94%
Wins by 3 goals1.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.23%
SC Farense
Wins by 1 goal25.90%
Wins by 2 goals16.13%
Wins by 3 goals7.23%
Wins by 4 goals2.52%
Wins by 5 goals0.70%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.86%10.14%
1.566.66%33.34%
2.540.11%59.89%
3.519.84%80.16%
4.58.25%91.75%
5.52.94%97.06%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.77%44.23%
1.519.69%80.31%
2.54.97%95.03%

Total Goals SC Farense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.08%22.92%
1.543.32%56.68%
2.518.45%81.55%
3.56.23%93.77%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.35%34.65%
1.528.62%71.38%
2.59.16%90.84%
3.52.29%97.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
SC Farense
Score012345
0
10.14%
14.93%
11.00%
5.40%
1.99%
0.59%
1
8.27%
12.18%
8.97%
4.41%
1.62%
0.48%
2
3.37%
4.97%
3.66%
1.80%
0.66%
0.20%
3
0.92%
1.35%
1.00%
0.49%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.19%
0.28%
0.20%
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-08.27%
2-03.37%
2-14.97%
3-00.92%
3-11.35%
3-21.00%
4-00.19%
4-10.28%
4-20.20%
Draw
0-010.14%
1-112.18%
2-23.66%
3-30.49%
SC Farense
0-114.93%
0-211.00%
1-28.97%
0-35.40%
1-34.41%
2-31.80%
0-41.99%
1-41.62%
2-40.66%
3-40.18%
0-50.59%
1-50.48%
2-50.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
SC Farense
Score01234
0
34.65%
23.64%
8.06%
1.83%
0.31%
1
13.09%
8.93%
3.04%
0.69%
0.12%
2
2.47%
1.69%
0.57%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.31%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-013.09%
2-02.47%
2-11.69%
3-00.31%
3-10.21%
Draw
0-034.65%
1-18.93%
2-20.57%
SC Farense
0-123.64%
0-28.06%
1-23.04%
0-31.83%
1-30.69%
2-30.13%
0-40.31%
1-40.12%
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