Estoril at Porto

Updated

Estoril

3.3%9.2%87.4%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.46Projected Goals 3.01
0Final Score 4

Porto

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Arouca+220
L 0-1 at SC Farense+260
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1500
T 2-2 at Rio Ave+300
W 0-1 vs Nacional+155
Porto
Money Line
W 5-0 at AVS-300
W 1-2 vs Braga-215
W 0-4 vs Arouca-500
W 3-0 at Vitoria-110
W 1-2 vs SC Farense-750

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1400+1781+1700+1300+1805+1300+1805+1411.7
Porto-725-680-800-769-924-769-680-454.1
Draw+725+769+700+710+784+710+784+774.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1650----+2000+2000+1411.7
Porto-715-----800-800-454.1
Draw+750----+775+775+774.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Porto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 30.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +1400 to +1300
Porto ML moved from -914 to -922

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Porto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 50.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +1975 to +1800
Porto ML moved from -775 to -800

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-108o3½+109o3¼-115o3¼-114o3¼-112o3¼-114o3¼-112o3¼-104
Underu3¼-112u3½-128u3¼-105u3¼-106u3¼-108u3¼-106u3½-128u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-104
Under-----u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.4%
 
No64.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.10%
Exactly 218.70%
Exactly 418.81%
Exactly 67.57%
Exactly 81.63%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.76%
Exactly 321.65%
Exactly 513.07%
Exactly 73.76%
Exactly 90.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 062.76%
Exactly 129.24%
Exactly 26.81%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 04.94%
Exactly 114.85%
Exactly 222.34%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.85%
Exactly 510.14%
Exactly 65.09%
Exactly 72.19%
Exactly 80.82%
Exactly 90.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.01%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 45.59%
Exactly 60.48%
 
Exactly 132.20%
Exactly 313.89%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 080.60%
Exactly 117.39%
Exactly 21.88%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 024.83%
Exactly 134.59%
Exactly 224.09%
Exactly 311.19%
Exactly 43.90%
Exactly 51.09%
Exactly 60.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals0.60%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals69.77%
Wins by 3+ goals47.94%
Wins by 4+ goals28.21%
Wins by 5+ goals14.30%
Wins by 6+ goals6.29%
Wins by 7+ goals2.40%
Wins by 8+ goals0.77%
Wins by 9+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal2.72%
Wins by 2 goals0.52%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal17.57%
Wins by 2 goals21.83%
Wins by 3 goals19.73%
Wins by 4 goals13.91%
Wins by 5 goals8.01%
Wins by 6 goals3.89%
Wins by 7 goals1.63%
Wins by 8 goals0.60%
Wins by 9 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.90%3.10%
1.586.14%13.86%
2.567.45%32.55%
3.545.79%54.21%
4.526.98%73.02%
5.513.91%86.09%
6.56.34%93.66%
7.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.537.24%62.76%
1.58.01%91.99%
2.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.06%4.94%
1.580.22%19.78%
2.557.88%42.12%
3.535.47%64.53%
4.518.62%81.38%
5.58.48%91.52%
6.53.40%96.60%
7.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.99%20.01%
1.547.79%52.21%
2.521.89%78.11%
3.58.00%92.00%
4.52.42%97.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Porto
Score012345
0
3.10%
9.32%
14.02%
14.06%
10.58%
6.36%
1
1.44%
4.34%
6.53%
6.55%
4.93%
2.97%
2
0.34%
1.01%
1.52%
1.53%
1.15%
0.69%
Estoril
1-01.44%
2-00.34%
2-11.01%
Draw
0-03.10%
1-14.34%
2-21.52%
3-30.24%
Porto
0-19.32%
0-214.02%
1-26.53%
0-314.06%
1-36.55%
2-31.53%
0-410.58%
1-44.93%
2-41.15%
3-40.18%
0-56.36%
1-52.97%
2-50.69%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Porto
Score0123456
0
20.01%
27.88%
19.42%
9.02%
3.14%
0.87%
0.20%
1
4.32%
6.01%
4.19%
1.95%
0.68%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.47%
0.65%
0.45%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-04.32%
2-00.47%
2-10.65%
Draw
0-020.01%
1-16.01%
2-20.45%
Porto
0-127.88%
0-219.42%
1-24.19%
0-39.02%
1-31.95%
2-30.21%
0-43.14%
1-40.68%
0-50.87%
1-50.19%
0-60.20%
Braga at Arouca
Santa Clara at Nacional