Arouca at Estoril

Updated

Arouca

23.7%27.5%48.8%
Arouca WinDrawEstoril Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.38

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 1-1 vs AVS+105
L 0-4 at Porto+1200
W 1-0 at SC Farense+155
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1050
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+210
Estoril
Money Line
L 0-1 at SC Farense+260
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1500
T 2-2 at Rio Ave+300
W 0-1 vs Nacional+155
T 0-0 at Boavista+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+151+151+140+138-+138+151+160.9
Estoril+200+200+195+183-+183+200+210.2
Draw+224+224+210+210-+210+224+239.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca-----+160.9
Estoril-----+210.2
Draw-----+239.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
No Steam Moves On Estoril ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2-144o2¼+102o2¼-101-o2¼-101o2¼+102o2¼+108
Underu2½-135u2+122u2¼-122u2¼-119-u2¼-119u2¼-119u2¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+108
Under-----u2¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.6%
 
No56.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.48%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 411.30%
Exactly 61.92%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.64%
Exactly 320.05%
Exactly 55.10%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 041.78%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 215.91%
Exactly 34.63%
Exactly 41.01%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 025.08%
Exactly 134.69%
Exactly 223.99%
Exactly 311.06%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.19%
Exactly 219.19%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.68%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 066.76%
Exactly 126.97%
Exactly 25.45%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 052.71%
Exactly 133.75%
Exactly 210.81%
Exactly 32.31%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals7.77%
Wins by 3+ goals1.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals23.56%
Wins by 3+ goals8.85%
Wins by 4+ goals2.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Estoril
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal15.89%
Wins by 2 goals5.86%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal25.19%
Wins by 2 goals14.71%
Wins by 3 goals6.19%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.52%10.48%
1.565.88%34.12%
2.539.22%60.78%
3.519.17%80.83%
4.57.87%92.13%
5.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.22%41.78%
1.521.75%78.25%
2.55.84%94.16%
3.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.92%25.08%
1.540.23%59.77%
2.516.24%83.76%
3.55.18%94.82%
4.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.81%35.19%
1.528.06%71.94%
2.58.86%91.14%
3.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Estoril
Score012345
0
10.48%
14.49%
10.02%
4.62%
1.60%
0.44%
1
9.15%
12.65%
8.75%
4.03%
1.39%
0.39%
2
3.99%
5.52%
3.82%
1.76%
0.61%
0.17%
3
1.16%
1.61%
1.11%
0.51%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.25%
0.35%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-09.15%
2-03.99%
2-15.52%
3-01.16%
3-11.61%
3-21.11%
4-00.25%
4-10.35%
4-20.24%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-010.48%
1-112.65%
2-23.82%
3-30.51%
Estoril
0-114.49%
0-210.02%
1-28.75%
0-34.62%
1-34.03%
2-31.76%
0-41.60%
1-41.39%
2-40.61%
3-40.18%
0-50.44%
1-50.39%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Estoril
Score01234
0
35.19%
22.53%
7.21%
1.54%
0.25%
1
14.22%
9.10%
2.91%
0.62%
0.10%
2
2.87%
1.84%
0.59%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.39%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-014.22%
2-02.87%
2-11.84%
3-00.39%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-035.19%
1-19.10%
2-20.59%
Estoril
0-122.53%
0-27.21%
1-22.91%
0-31.54%
1-30.62%
2-30.13%
0-40.25%
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