Arouca at Estoril

Updated

Arouca

35.6%30.6%33.8%
Arouca WinDrawEstoril Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.00
1Final Score 4

Estoril

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 1-1 vs AVS+105
L 0-4 at Porto+1200
W 1-0 at SC Farense+155
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1050
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+210
Estoril
Money Line
L 0-1 at SC Farense+260
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+1500
T 2-2 at Rio Ave+300
W 0-1 vs Nacional+155
T 0-0 at Boavista+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+151+144+140+151+143+151+151+170.9
Estoril+200+214+200+179+203+179+214+201.2
Draw+224+220+210+210+213+210+220+234.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+150----+140+140+170.9
Estoril+195----+220+220+201.2
Draw+225----+210+210+234.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +158 to +150
Estoril ML moved from +205 to +195

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estoril: 30.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +150 to +140
No Steam Moves On Estoril ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+115o2-139o2¼+102o2¼+100o2¼+100o2¼+100o2-139o2¼+109
Underu2½-135u2+118u2¼-122u2¼-120u2¼-122u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.6%
 
No59.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 013.14%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 49.29%
Exactly 61.27%
 
Exactly 126.67%
Exactly 318.31%
Exactly 53.77%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 035.65%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.96%
Exactly 36.52%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 036.86%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.36%
Exactly 36.11%
Exactly 41.52%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 039.08%
Exactly 217.25%
Exactly 41.27%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 35.40%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 062.03%
Exactly 129.62%
Exactly 27.07%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 063.00%
Exactly 129.11%
Exactly 26.72%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals13.68%
Wins by 3+ goals3.96%
Wins by 4+ goals0.88%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals12.65%
Wins by 3+ goals3.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Estoril
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal21.84%
Wins by 2 goals9.72%
Wins by 3 goals3.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.75%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal21.13%
Wins by 2 goals9.10%
Wins by 3 goals2.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.86%13.14%
1.560.19%39.81%
2.533.13%66.87%
3.514.82%85.18%
4.55.53%94.47%
5.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.35%35.65%
1.527.58%72.42%
2.58.62%91.38%
3.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.14%36.86%
1.526.35%73.65%
2.57.99%92.01%
3.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.92%39.08%
1.524.20%75.80%
2.56.95%93.05%
3.51.55%98.45%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Estoril
Score01234
0
13.14%
13.11%
6.54%
2.18%
0.54%
1
13.56%
13.53%
6.75%
2.25%
0.56%
2
6.99%
6.98%
3.48%
1.16%
0.29%
3
2.40%
2.40%
1.20%
0.40%
0.10%
4
0.62%
0.62%
0.31%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.13%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Arouca
1-013.56%
2-06.99%
2-16.98%
3-02.40%
3-12.40%
3-21.20%
4-00.62%
4-10.62%
4-20.31%
4-30.10%
5-00.13%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-013.14%
1-113.53%
2-23.48%
3-30.40%
Estoril
0-113.11%
0-26.54%
1-26.75%
0-32.18%
1-32.25%
2-31.16%
0-40.54%
1-40.56%
2-40.29%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Estoril
Score0123
0
39.08%
18.06%
4.17%
0.64%
1
18.66%
8.62%
1.99%
0.31%
2
4.46%
2.06%
0.48%
0.07%
3
0.71%
0.33%
0.08%
0.01%
Arouca
1-018.66%
2-04.46%
2-12.06%
3-00.71%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-039.08%
1-18.62%
2-20.48%
Estoril
0-118.06%
0-24.17%
1-21.99%
0-30.64%
1-30.31%
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