Boavista at Nacional

Updated

Boavista

25.2%26.1%48.7%
Boavista WinDrawNacional Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.49
0Final Score 0

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Boavista
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Rio Ave+180
W 2-1 at Gil Vicente FC+420
L 2-0 vs Moreirense+255
T 2-2 at Vitoria+810
L 0-1 at Santa Clara+520
Nacional
Money Line
L 0-2 at Estrela+240
W 0-2 vs Santa Clara+210
L 0-1 at Casa Pia AC+230
T 0-0 at Famalicao+425
L 3-0 vs Braga+410

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boavista+310-+300+255+298+255+300+283.3
Nacional-110--110+104-105+104+104+120.2
Draw+245-+250+225+237+225+250+250.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Boavista+330----+300+300+283.3
Nacional-115-----105-105+120.2
Draw+255----+245+245+250.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boavista: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boavista: 0.0%
Nacional: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boavista: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Boavista ML moved from +317 to +298
Nacional ML moved from -108 to -117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Boavista: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Boavista: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Boavista: 40.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Boavista ML moved from +345 to +300
Nacional ML moved from +100 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115-o2¼-118o2¼-124o2¼-118o2¼-124o2¼-118o2¼-113
Underu2¼-105-u2¼-102u2¼+104u2¼-102u2¼+104u2¼+104u2¼+113
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-113
Under-----u2¼+113

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.8%
 
No51.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.34%
Exactly 225.73%
Exactly 413.23%
Exactly 62.72%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.72%
Exactly 321.31%
Exactly 56.57%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Boavista
Exactly 037.01%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 36.06%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 022.53%
Exactly 133.58%
Exactly 225.02%
Exactly 312.43%
Exactly 44.63%
Exactly 51.38%
Exactly 60.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.66%
Exactly 220.94%
Exactly 42.31%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.41%
Exactly 38.03%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boavista
Exactly 063.11%
Exactly 129.05%
Exactly 26.68%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 050.16%
Exactly 134.61%
Exactly 211.94%
Exactly 32.75%
Exactly 40.47%

Alternate Props

Spread

Boavista
Wins by 2+ goals9.02%
Wins by 3+ goals2.45%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals24.39%
Wins by 3+ goals9.62%
Wins by 4+ goals3.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.76%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Boavista
Nacional
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Boavista
Wins by 1 goal16.15%
Wins by 2 goals6.57%
Wins by 3 goals1.95%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal24.21%
Wins by 2 goals14.77%
Wins by 3 goals6.58%
Wins by 4 goals2.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.64%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.66%8.34%
1.570.94%29.06%
2.545.21%54.79%
3.523.91%76.09%
4.510.67%89.33%
5.54.10%95.90%
6.51.38%98.62%

Total Goals Boavista Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.99%37.01%
1.526.20%73.80%
2.57.92%92.08%
3.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.47%22.53%
1.543.89%56.11%
2.518.87%81.13%
3.56.44%93.56%
4.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.34%31.66%
1.531.93%68.07%
2.510.99%89.01%
3.52.96%97.04%

Score Props

Correct Score

Boavista
Nacional
Score012345
0
8.34%
12.43%
9.26%
4.60%
1.71%
0.51%
1
8.29%
12.35%
9.20%
4.57%
1.70%
0.51%
2
4.12%
6.14%
4.57%
2.27%
0.85%
0.25%
3
1.37%
2.03%
1.52%
0.75%
0.28%
0.08%
4
0.34%
0.51%
0.38%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
Boavista
1-08.29%
2-04.12%
2-16.14%
3-01.37%
3-12.03%
3-21.52%
4-00.34%
4-10.51%
4-20.38%
4-30.19%
Draw
0-08.34%
1-112.35%
2-24.57%
3-30.75%
Nacional
0-112.43%
0-29.26%
1-29.20%
0-34.60%
1-34.57%
2-32.27%
0-41.71%
1-41.70%
2-40.85%
3-40.28%
0-50.51%
1-50.51%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Boavista
Nacional
Score01234
0
31.66%
21.84%
7.54%
1.73%
0.30%
1
14.57%
10.05%
3.47%
0.80%
0.14%
2
3.35%
2.31%
0.80%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.51%
0.35%
0.12%
0.03%
0.00%
Boavista
1-014.57%
2-03.35%
2-12.31%
3-00.51%
3-10.35%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-031.66%
1-110.05%
2-20.80%
Nacional
0-121.84%
0-27.54%
1-23.47%
0-31.73%
1-30.80%
2-30.18%
0-40.30%
1-40.14%