Estoril at Braga

Updated

Estoril

5.9%12.8%81.2%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.66
2Final Score 2

Braga

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Famalicao+235
T 0-0 vs AVS+150
L 0-4 at Porto+2000
W 1-4 vs Arouca+220
L 0-1 at SC Farense+260
Braga
Money Line
W 1-0 at AVS-245
L 4-2 vs Sporting CP+460
W 2-1 at Arouca-140
W 0-2 vs SC Farense-325
L 1-2 at Porto+550

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+750+1022+1000+870+1055+870+1055+953.1
Braga-315-393-420-435-428-435-393-298.3
Draw+420+550+500+490+514+490+550+540.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+840----+1100+1100+953.1
Braga-320-----425-425-298.3
Draw+450----+525+525+540.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Braga: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 20.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +880 to +870
Braga ML moved from -417 to -435

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Braga: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 30.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
Braga ML moved from -390 to -425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-102o3-110o3-105o3-109o3-104o3-109o3-104o3+101
Underu3-118u3-107u3-115u3-111u3-116u3-111u3-107u3-101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+101
Under-----u3-101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.3%
 
No58.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.90%
Exactly 220.52%
Exactly 418.00%
Exactly 66.32%
Exactly 81.19%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.65%
Exactly 322.19%
Exactly 511.68%
Exactly 72.93%
Exactly 90.43%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 055.53%
Exactly 132.66%
Exactly 29.61%
Exactly 31.88%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 07.02%
Exactly 118.65%
Exactly 224.77%
Exactly 321.93%
Exactly 414.56%
Exactly 57.74%
Exactly 63.42%
Exactly 71.30%
Exactly 80.43%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.27%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 44.72%
Exactly 60.36%
 
Exactly 133.45%
Exactly 312.58%
Exactly 51.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 076.16%
Exactly 120.74%
Exactly 22.82%
Exactly 30.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 029.23%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 222.11%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals1.30%
Wins by 3+ goals0.20%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals60.33%
Wins by 3+ goals37.86%
Wins by 4+ goals20.11%
Wins by 5+ goals9.15%
Wins by 6+ goals3.60%
Wins by 7+ goals1.23%
Wins by 8+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal4.61%
Wins by 2 goals1.09%
Wins by 3 goals0.18%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal20.85%
Wins by 2 goals22.47%
Wins by 3 goals17.75%
Wins by 4 goals10.97%
Wins by 5 goals5.55%
Wins by 6 goals2.37%
Wins by 7 goals0.87%
Wins by 8 goals0.28%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.10%3.90%
1.583.45%16.55%
2.562.93%37.07%
3.540.73%59.27%
4.522.73%77.27%
5.511.05%88.95%
6.54.74%95.26%
7.51.81%98.19%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.47%55.53%
1.511.80%88.20%
2.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.98%7.02%
1.574.33%25.67%
2.549.56%50.44%
3.527.63%72.37%
4.513.06%86.94%
5.55.33%94.67%
6.51.90%98.10%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.73%22.27%
1.544.29%55.71%
2.519.17%80.83%
3.56.59%93.41%
4.51.87%98.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Braga
Score012345
0
3.90%
10.36%
13.76%
12.18%
8.09%
4.30%
1
2.29%
6.09%
8.09%
7.16%
4.76%
2.53%
2
0.67%
1.79%
2.38%
2.11%
1.40%
0.74%
3
0.13%
0.35%
0.47%
0.41%
0.27%
0.15%
Estoril
1-02.29%
2-00.67%
2-11.79%
3-00.13%
3-10.35%
3-20.47%
Draw
0-03.90%
1-16.09%
2-22.38%
3-30.41%
Braga
0-110.36%
0-213.76%
1-28.09%
0-312.18%
1-37.16%
2-32.11%
0-48.09%
1-44.76%
2-41.40%
3-40.27%
0-54.30%
1-52.53%
2-50.74%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Braga
Score0123456
0
22.27%
27.38%
16.84%
6.90%
2.12%
0.52%
0.11%
1
6.06%
7.46%
4.59%
1.88%
0.58%
0.14%
0.03%
2
0.83%
1.02%
0.62%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-06.06%
2-00.83%
2-11.02%
Draw
0-022.27%
1-17.46%
2-20.62%
Braga
0-127.38%
0-216.84%
1-24.59%
0-36.90%
1-31.88%
2-30.26%
0-42.12%
1-40.58%
0-50.52%
1-50.14%
0-60.11%