Estoril at Moreirense

Updated

Estoril

50.7%24.2%25.1%
Estoril WinDrawMoreirense Win
1.67Projected Goals 0.82
0Final Score 1

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Famalicao+135
W 1-0 at Belenenses+120
L 0-2 at Braga+625
T 2-2 vs Santa Clara+120
T 1-1 at FC Vizela+240
Moreirense
Money Line
L 0-1 at Boavista+175
L 1-0 vs Portimonense+140
T 2-2 vs Gil Vicente FC+155
L 1-2 at Vitoria+490
T 1-1 vs Pacos+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+171+145+145+154+142+148+154+155.6
Moreirense+163+205+210+214+210+210+214+226.5
Draw+221+190+215+219+210+210+219+230.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+165----+180+180+155.6
Moreirense+175----+175+175+226.5
Draw+220----+200+200+230.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 30.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +163 to +142
Moreirense ML moved from +222 to +215

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Estoril: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 30.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 80.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +170 to +160
Moreirense ML moved from +195 to +175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2¼+102o2¼+108o2½+138-o2¼+108o2¼+112o2¼+112
Underu2¼-120u2¼-122u2¼-128u2½-153-u2¼-128u2½-149u2¼-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+112
Under-----u2¼-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.5%
 
No54.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.31%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 413.26%
Exactly 62.74%
Exactly 80.30%
 
Exactly 120.67%
Exactly 321.32%
Exactly 56.60%
Exactly 70.97%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 018.92%
Exactly 131.50%
Exactly 226.23%
Exactly 314.56%
Exactly 46.06%
Exactly 52.02%
Exactly 60.56%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 043.92%
Exactly 136.14%
Exactly 214.87%
Exactly 34.08%
Exactly 40.84%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.60%
Exactly 220.97%
Exactly 42.32%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 38.05%
Exactly 50.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 046.26%
Exactly 135.66%
Exactly 213.75%
Exactly 33.53%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 068.32%
Exactly 126.03%
Exactly 24.96%
Exactly 30.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals31.61%
Wins by 3+ goals13.85%
Wins by 4+ goals4.94%
Wins by 5+ goals1.46%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals5.64%
Wins by 3+ goals1.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Moreirense
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal25.74%
Wins by 2 goals17.77%
Wins by 3 goals8.91%
Wins by 4 goals3.48%
Wins by 5 goals1.11%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal12.72%
Wins by 2 goals4.34%
Wins by 3 goals1.07%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.69%8.31%
1.571.02%28.98%
2.545.31%54.69%
3.523.99%76.01%
4.510.72%89.28%
5.54.12%95.88%
6.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.08%18.92%
1.549.59%50.41%
2.523.36%76.64%
3.58.81%91.19%
4.52.75%97.25%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.08%43.92%
1.519.94%80.06%
2.55.08%94.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.40%31.60%
1.531.99%68.01%
2.511.03%88.97%
3.52.98%97.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Moreirense
Score01234
0
8.31%
6.84%
2.81%
0.77%
0.16%
1
13.83%
11.38%
4.68%
1.28%
0.26%
2
11.52%
9.48%
3.90%
1.07%
0.22%
3
6.39%
5.26%
2.16%
0.59%
0.12%
4
2.66%
2.19%
0.90%
0.25%
0.05%
5
0.89%
0.73%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
Estoril
1-013.83%
2-011.52%
2-19.48%
3-06.39%
3-15.26%
3-22.16%
4-02.66%
4-12.19%
4-20.90%
4-30.25%
5-00.89%
5-10.73%
5-20.30%
Draw
0-08.31%
1-111.38%
2-23.90%
3-30.59%
Moreirense
0-16.84%
0-22.81%
1-24.68%
0-30.77%
1-31.28%
2-31.07%
0-40.16%
1-40.26%
2-40.22%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Moreirense
Score0123
0
31.60%
12.04%
2.29%
0.29%
1
24.37%
9.28%
1.77%
0.22%
2
9.39%
3.58%
0.68%
0.09%
3
2.41%
0.92%
0.18%
0.02%
4
0.47%
0.18%
0.03%
0.00%
Estoril
1-024.37%
2-09.39%
2-13.58%
3-02.41%
3-10.92%
3-20.18%
4-00.47%
4-10.18%
Draw
0-031.60%
1-19.28%
2-20.68%
Moreirense
0-112.04%
0-22.29%
1-21.77%
0-30.29%
1-30.22%
FC Vizela at Marítimo
Boavista at Vitória