Moreirense at Vitória

Updated

Moreirense

30.0%27.4%42.7%
Moreirense WinDrawVitória Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.37
1Final Score 2

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Pacos+145
L 0-1 at Sporting CP+1450
T 0-0 at Maritimo+255
W 1-2 vs Arouca-110
L 0-5 at Porto+1700
Vitoria
Money Line
L 0-1 at Sporting CP+700
W 1-2 vs Maritimo-200
W 2-1 at Famalicao+175
L 3-1 vs Benfica+375
T 2-2 at Arouca+100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+390+450+440+522+445+440+522+540.4
Vitória-135-175-167-163-165-167-163-149.7
Draw+260+310+270+298+294+270+310+309.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+435----+490+490+540.4
Vitória-155-----165-165-149.7
Draw+290----+290+290+309.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 50.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +485 to +410
Vitória ML moved from -152 to -160

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 50.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +540 to +490
Vitória ML moved from -175 to -195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-115o2½-105o2½-110o2½+100-o2½-110o2½+100o2½+107
Underu2¼-105u2½-115u2½-110u2½-113-u2½-110u2½-110u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-121 to o2½-109
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.68%
Exactly 226.39%
Exactly 411.99%
Exactly 62.18%
Exactly 80.21%
 
Exactly 122.60%
Exactly 320.54%
Exactly 55.60%
Exactly 70.73%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 038.15%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.71%
Exactly 35.69%
Exactly 41.37%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 025.37%
Exactly 134.80%
Exactly 223.86%
Exactly 310.91%
Exactly 43.74%
Exactly 51.03%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.92%
Exactly 219.83%
Exactly 41.93%
 
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 37.14%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 064.01%
Exactly 128.56%
Exactly 26.37%
Exactly 30.95%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 052.99%
Exactly 133.65%
Exactly 210.68%
Exactly 32.26%
Exactly 40.36%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals9.32%
Wins by 3+ goals2.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals21.99%
Wins by 3+ goals8.15%
Wins by 4+ goals2.41%
Wins by 5+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Vitoria
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal17.01%
Wins by 2 goals6.83%
Wins by 3 goals1.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal24.21%
Wins by 2 goals13.84%
Wins by 3 goals5.73%
Wins by 4 goals1.85%
Wins by 5 goals0.48%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.32%9.68%
1.567.72%32.28%
2.541.33%58.67%
3.520.78%79.22%
4.58.79%91.21%
5.53.19%96.81%
6.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.85%38.15%
1.525.09%74.91%
2.57.37%92.63%
3.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.63%25.37%
1.539.83%60.17%
2.515.97%84.03%
3.55.06%94.94%
4.51.32%98.68%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.08%33.92%
1.529.41%70.59%
2.59.58%90.42%
3.52.44%97.56%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Vitoria
Score012345
0
9.68%
13.28%
9.10%
4.16%
1.43%
0.39%
1
9.33%
12.79%
8.77%
4.01%
1.38%
0.38%
2
4.49%
6.16%
4.23%
1.93%
0.66%
0.18%
3
1.44%
1.98%
1.36%
0.62%
0.21%
0.06%
4
0.35%
0.48%
0.33%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-09.33%
2-04.49%
2-16.16%
3-01.44%
3-11.98%
3-21.36%
4-00.35%
4-10.48%
4-20.33%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.68%
1-112.79%
2-24.23%
3-30.62%
Vitoria
0-113.28%
0-29.10%
1-28.77%
0-34.16%
1-34.01%
2-31.93%
0-41.43%
1-41.38%
2-40.66%
3-40.21%
0-50.39%
1-50.38%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Vitoria
Score01234
0
33.92%
21.54%
6.84%
1.45%
0.23%
1
15.13%
9.61%
3.05%
0.65%
0.10%
2
3.38%
2.14%
0.68%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.50%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-015.13%
2-03.38%
2-12.14%
3-00.50%
3-10.32%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-033.92%
1-19.61%
2-20.68%
Vitoria
0-121.54%
0-26.84%
1-23.05%
0-31.45%
1-30.65%
2-30.14%
0-40.23%
1-40.10%