Belenenses at Braga

Updated

Belenenses

14.5%13.9%71.6%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.49Projected Goals 2.45
0Final Score 1

Braga

Last 5 Games

Belenenses
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Estoril+280
L 0-2 at Portimonense+380
W 1-2 vs Santa Clara+245
T 0-0 at Boavista+270
L 2-0 vs Tondela+170
Braga
Money Line
L 0-1 at Porto+650
W 0-2 vs Estoril-225
W 1-4 vs FC Vizela-215
L 1-6 at Benfica+470
W 0-3 vs Portimonense-210

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+1435+1200+1100+1246+1286+1100+1286+1456.3
Braga-546-455-476-424-505-476-424-384.2
Draw+568+500+480+556+553+480+556+603.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Belenenses+1600----+1300+1300+1456.3
Braga-590-----475-475-384.2
Draw+625----+550+550+603.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 30.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Belenenses: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +1275 to +1225
Braga ML moved from -455 to -476

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Belenenses: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Belenenses: 30.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Belenenses: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Belenenses: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Belenenses ML moved from +1350 to +1200
Braga ML moved from -450 to -475

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o3+105o3+101o3+105-o3+101o3+105o3+110
Underu3-122u3-125u3-121u3-120-u3-121u3-120u3-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+110
Under-----u3-110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes35.7%
 
No64.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.28%
Exactly 222.84%
Exactly 416.46%
Exactly 64.74%
Exactly 80.73%
 
Exactly 115.54%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 59.68%
Exactly 71.99%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Belenenses
Exactly 060.95%
Exactly 130.18%
Exactly 27.47%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 08.67%
Exactly 121.20%
Exactly 225.92%
Exactly 321.13%
Exactly 412.92%
Exactly 56.32%
Exactly 62.57%
Exactly 70.90%
Exactly 80.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.63%
Exactly 223.75%
Exactly 43.67%
Exactly 60.23%
 
Exactly 134.89%
Exactly 310.78%
Exactly 51.00%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Belenenses
Exactly 079.51%
Exactly 118.23%
Exactly 22.09%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 032.23%
Exactly 136.49%
Exactly 220.66%
Exactly 37.80%
Exactly 42.21%
Exactly 50.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Belenenses
Wins by 2+ goals1.10%
Wins by 3+ goals0.15%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals57.84%
Wins by 3+ goals34.62%
Wins by 4+ goals17.34%
Wins by 5+ goals7.36%
Wins by 6+ goals2.66%
Wins by 7+ goals0.80%
Wins by 8+ goals0.17%

Exact Winning Margin

Belenenses
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Belenenses
Wins by 1 goal4.55%
Wins by 2 goals0.95%
Wins by 3 goals0.14%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal22.49%
Wins by 2 goals23.22%
Wins by 3 goals17.28%
Wins by 4 goals9.98%
Wins by 5 goals4.70%
Wins by 6 goals1.86%
Wins by 7 goals0.63%
Wins by 8 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.72%5.28%
1.579.18%20.82%
2.556.33%43.67%
3.533.94%66.06%
4.517.48%82.52%
5.57.80%92.20%
6.53.06%96.94%
7.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Belenenses Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.05%60.95%
1.58.87%91.13%
2.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.33%8.67%
1.570.13%29.87%
2.544.21%55.79%
3.523.08%76.92%
4.510.16%89.84%
5.53.85%96.15%
6.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.37%25.63%
1.539.48%60.52%
2.515.73%84.27%
3.54.95%95.05%
4.51.28%98.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Belenenses
Braga
Score012345
0
5.28%
12.92%
15.80%
12.88%
7.87%
3.85%
1
2.62%
6.40%
7.82%
6.38%
3.90%
1.91%
2
0.65%
1.58%
1.94%
1.58%
0.96%
0.47%
3
0.11%
0.26%
0.32%
0.26%
0.16%
0.08%
Belenenses
1-02.62%
2-00.65%
2-11.58%
3-00.11%
3-10.26%
3-20.32%
Draw
0-05.28%
1-16.40%
2-21.94%
3-30.26%
Braga
0-112.92%
0-215.80%
1-27.82%
0-312.88%
1-36.38%
2-31.58%
0-47.87%
1-43.90%
2-40.96%
3-40.16%
0-53.85%
1-51.91%
2-50.47%

Correct Score - First Half

Belenenses
Braga
Score012345
0
25.63%
29.02%
16.43%
6.20%
1.75%
0.40%
1
5.88%
6.65%
3.77%
1.42%
0.40%
0.09%
2
0.67%
0.76%
0.43%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
Belenenses
1-05.88%
2-00.67%
2-10.76%
Draw
0-025.63%
1-16.65%
2-20.43%
Braga
0-129.02%
0-216.43%
1-23.77%
0-36.20%
1-31.42%
2-30.16%
0-41.75%
1-40.40%
0-50.40%
Porto at FC Vizela
Gil Vicente FC at Tondela