Nizhny Novgorod at Samara

Updated

Nizhny Novgorod

30.3%28.2%41.5%
Nizhny Novgorod WinDrawSamara Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.30
0Final Score 2

Samara

Last 5 Games

Nizhny Novgorod
Money Line
W 1-0 at Rubin Kazan+340
L 2-0 vs CSKA Moscow+475
L 3-2 vs Arsenal Tula+145
W 2-1 at Dynamo Mosc+1000
T 1-1 at FC Khimki+285
Samara
Money Line
W 1-0 at Dynamo Mosc+430
L 1-2 at Zenit+900
W 2-4 vs Rostov+135
L 0-2 at Loko Moscow+345
W 2-1 at Ufa+190

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nizhny Novgorod+342--+441--+441+457.8
Samara-113---143---143-133.0
Draw+267--+288--+288+300.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nizhny Novgorod+345----+420+420+457.8
Samara-125-----150-150-133.0
Draw+270----+285+285+300.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nizhny Novgorod: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nizhny Novgorod: 50.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nizhny Novgorod ML moved from +430 to +410
Samara ML moved from -131 to -140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nizhny Novgorod: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nizhny Novgorod: 50.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nizhny Novgorod ML moved from +345 to +335
Samara ML moved from -140 to -150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-114--o2¼-118--o2¼-118o2¼-111
Underu2¼+101--u2¼+105--u2¼+105u2¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-111
Under-----u2¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.56%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 411.24%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 320.00%
Exactly 55.06%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 038.71%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 217.44%
Exactly 35.52%
Exactly 41.31%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 027.27%
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 223.02%
Exactly 39.97%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.31%
Exactly 219.13%
Exactly 41.73%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 064.44%
Exactly 128.32%
Exactly 26.22%
Exactly 30.91%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 054.79%
Exactly 132.96%
Exactly 29.91%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 2+ goals9.57%
Wins by 3+ goals2.54%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals20.45%
Wins by 3+ goals7.26%
Wins by 4+ goals2.06%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Nizhny Novgorod
Samara
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 1 goal17.61%
Wins by 2 goals7.04%
Wins by 3 goals2.03%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal24.10%
Wins by 2 goals13.19%
Wins by 3 goals5.21%
Wins by 4 goals1.59%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.44%10.56%
1.565.71%34.29%
2.539.02%60.98%
3.519.03%80.97%
4.57.78%92.22%
5.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Nizhny Novgorod Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.29%38.71%
1.524.55%75.45%
2.57.12%92.88%
3.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.73%27.27%
1.537.29%62.71%
2.514.27%85.73%
3.54.30%95.70%
4.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.69%35.31%
1.527.93%72.07%
2.58.80%91.20%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nizhny Novgorod
Samara
Score012345
0
10.56%
13.72%
8.91%
3.86%
1.25%
0.33%
1
10.02%
13.02%
8.46%
3.66%
1.19%
0.31%
2
4.76%
6.18%
4.01%
1.74%
0.56%
0.15%
3
1.50%
1.95%
1.27%
0.55%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.36%
0.46%
0.30%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Nizhny Novgorod
1-010.02%
2-04.76%
2-16.18%
3-01.50%
3-11.95%
3-21.27%
4-00.36%
4-10.46%
4-20.30%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.56%
1-113.02%
2-24.01%
3-30.55%
Samara
0-113.72%
0-28.91%
1-28.46%
0-33.86%
1-33.66%
2-31.74%
0-41.25%
1-41.19%
2-40.56%
3-40.18%
0-50.33%
1-50.31%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Nizhny Novgorod
Samara
Score01234
0
35.31%
21.24%
6.39%
1.28%
0.19%
1
15.52%
9.33%
2.81%
0.56%
0.08%
2
3.41%
2.05%
0.62%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.50%
0.30%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Nizhny Novgorod
1-015.52%
2-03.41%
2-12.05%
3-00.50%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-035.31%
1-19.33%
2-20.62%
Samara
0-121.24%
0-26.39%
1-22.81%
0-31.28%
1-30.56%
2-30.12%
0-40.19%
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