Sochi at Orenburg

Updated

Sochi

55.8%23.5%20.7%
Sochi WinDrawOrenburg Win
1.75Projected Goals 0.97
0Final Score 3

Orenburg

Last 5 Games

Sochi
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Loko Moscow
W 0-4 vs Rostov
L 1-3 at CSKA Moscow
L 2-1 vs Akhmat Grozny
L 0-2 at Krasnodar
Orenburg
Money Line
T 1-1 vs CSKA Moscow
L 0-4 at Akhmat Grozny
L 2-0 vs Krasnodar
L 2-0 vs Ural
T 1-1 at Rubin Kazan

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi+179+183-+169-+169+183+190.1
Orenburg+141+147-+140-+140+147+158.8
Draw+275+255-+245-+245+255+272.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi-----+190.1
Orenburg-----+158.8
Draw-----+272.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sochi: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orenburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sochi: 50.0%
Orenburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sochi: 0.0%
Orenburg: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sochi ML moved from +178 to +165
Orenburg ML moved from +142 to +127

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+102o2½-125-o2½-120-o2½-120o2½-120o2½-109
Underu3-120u2½+107-u2½+100-u2½+100u2½+107u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾+118 to o2½-138
The Under moved from u3-133 to u2½+108

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.3%
 
No48.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.57%
Exactly 224.35%
Exactly 415.04%
Exactly 63.72%
Exactly 80.49%
 
Exactly 117.89%
Exactly 322.10%
Exactly 58.19%
Exactly 71.45%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Sochi
Exactly 017.31%
Exactly 130.36%
Exactly 226.62%
Exactly 315.56%
Exactly 46.82%
Exactly 52.39%
Exactly 60.70%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Orenburg
Exactly 037.95%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.81%
Exactly 35.75%
Exactly 41.39%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.35%
Exactly 222.52%
Exactly 42.98%
Exactly 60.16%
 
Exactly 135.74%
Exactly 39.47%
Exactly 50.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sochi
Exactly 044.40%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.64%
Exactly 33.96%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Orenburg
Exactly 063.85%
Exactly 128.65%
Exactly 26.43%
Exactly 30.96%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sochi
Wins by 2+ goals31.27%
Wins by 3+ goals14.08%
Wins by 4+ goals5.20%
Wins by 5+ goals1.59%
Orenburg
Wins by 2+ goals7.11%
Wins by 3+ goals1.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Sochi
Orenburg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Sochi
Wins by 1 goal24.51%
Wins by 2 goals17.19%
Wins by 3 goals8.88%
Wins by 4 goals3.60%
Wins by 5 goals1.20%
Orenburg
Wins by 1 goal13.54%
Wins by 2 goals5.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.43%6.57%
1.575.54%24.46%
2.551.19%48.81%
3.529.09%70.91%
4.514.05%85.95%
5.55.86%94.14%
6.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Sochi Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.69%17.31%
1.552.33%47.67%
2.525.70%74.30%
3.510.14%89.86%
4.53.32%96.68%

Total Goals Orenburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.05%37.95%
1.525.28%74.72%
2.57.47%92.53%
3.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.65%28.35%
1.535.92%64.08%
2.513.39%86.61%
3.53.93%96.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sochi
Orenburg
Score01234
0
6.57%
6.37%
3.08%
1.00%
0.24%
1
11.52%
11.16%
5.41%
1.75%
0.42%
2
10.10%
9.79%
4.74%
1.53%
0.37%
3
5.91%
5.72%
2.77%
0.90%
0.22%
4
2.59%
2.51%
1.22%
0.39%
0.10%
5
0.91%
0.88%
0.43%
0.14%
0.03%
Sochi
1-011.52%
2-010.10%
2-19.79%
3-05.91%
3-15.72%
3-22.77%
4-02.59%
4-12.51%
4-21.22%
4-30.39%
5-00.91%
5-10.88%
5-20.43%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-06.57%
1-111.16%
2-24.74%
3-30.90%
Orenburg
0-16.37%
0-23.08%
1-25.41%
0-31.00%
1-31.75%
2-31.53%
0-40.24%
1-40.42%
2-40.37%
3-40.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Sochi
Orenburg
Score0123
0
28.35%
12.72%
2.85%
0.43%
1
23.02%
10.33%
2.32%
0.35%
2
9.35%
4.19%
0.94%
0.14%
3
2.53%
1.13%
0.25%
0.04%
4
0.51%
0.23%
0.05%
0.01%
Sochi
1-023.02%
2-09.35%
2-14.19%
3-02.53%
3-11.13%
3-20.25%
4-00.51%
4-10.23%
Draw
0-028.35%
1-110.33%
2-20.94%
Orenburg
0-112.72%
0-22.85%
1-22.32%
0-30.43%
1-30.35%
2-30.14%