Sochi at Krasnodar

Updated

Sochi

29.6%26.0%44.3%
Sochi WinDrawKrasnodar Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.46
0Final Score 2

Krasnodar

Last 5 Games

Sochi
Money Line
L 0-1 at Ural
T 1-1 vs Zenit
L 0-4 at Nizhny Novgorod
W 0-1 vs Rostov
L 0-3 at Loko Moscow
Krasnodar
Money Line
W 3-1 at Dynamo Mosc
T 2-2 at Akhmat Grozny
T 0-0 vs CSKA Moscow
W 0-3 vs Rostov
T 2-2 at Zenit

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
8.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi+350--+290-+290+290+324.2
Krasnodar-152---124--124-124-103.6
Draw+280--+260-+260+260+291.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi-----+324.2
Krasnodar------103.6
Draw-----+291.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sochi: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Krasnodar: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sochi: 30.0%
Krasnodar: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sochi: 0.0%
Krasnodar: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sochi ML moved from +305 to +275
Krasnodar ML moved from -139 to -156

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102--o2½-111-o2½-111o2½-111o2½-101
Underu2¾-118--u2½-109-u2½-109u2½-109u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.1%
 
No47.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.47%
Exactly 225.13%
Exactly 414.10%
Exactly 63.17%
Exactly 80.38%
 
Exactly 119.37%
Exactly 321.74%
Exactly 57.32%
Exactly 71.17%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Sochi
Exactly 031.99%
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 220.78%
Exactly 37.89%
Exactly 42.25%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Krasnodar
Exactly 023.34%
Exactly 133.96%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 311.98%
Exactly 44.36%
Exactly 51.27%
Exactly 60.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.08%
Exactly 221.71%
Exactly 42.61%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 38.69%
Exactly 50.63%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sochi
Exactly 059.00%
Exactly 131.13%
Exactly 28.21%
Exactly 31.44%
Exactly 40.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Krasnodar
Exactly 050.98%
Exactly 134.35%
Exactly 211.57%
Exactly 32.60%
Exactly 40.44%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sochi
Wins by 2+ goals11.70%
Wins by 3+ goals3.55%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Krasnodar
Wins by 2+ goals21.54%
Wins by 3+ goals8.25%
Wins by 4+ goals2.54%
Wins by 5+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Sochi
Krasnodar
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sochi
Wins by 1 goal17.81%
Wins by 2 goals8.15%
Wins by 3 goals2.73%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Krasnodar
Wins by 1 goal22.74%
Wins by 2 goals13.29%
Wins by 3 goals5.71%
Wins by 4 goals1.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.52%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.53%7.47%
1.573.16%26.84%
2.548.03%51.97%
3.526.29%73.71%
4.512.19%87.81%
5.54.87%95.13%
6.51.70%98.30%

Total Goals Sochi Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.01%31.99%
1.531.55%68.45%
2.510.77%89.23%
3.52.88%97.12%

Total Goals Krasnodar Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.66%23.34%
1.542.71%57.29%
2.518.00%82.00%
3.56.01%93.99%
4.51.65%98.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.92%30.08%
1.533.79%66.21%
2.512.08%87.92%
3.53.39%96.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sochi
Krasnodar
Score012345
0
7.47%
10.86%
7.90%
3.83%
1.39%
0.41%
1
8.51%
12.38%
9.01%
4.37%
1.59%
0.46%
2
4.85%
7.06%
5.13%
2.49%
0.91%
0.26%
3
1.84%
2.68%
1.95%
0.95%
0.34%
0.10%
4
0.52%
0.76%
0.56%
0.27%
0.10%
0.03%
5
0.12%
0.17%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Sochi
1-08.51%
2-04.85%
2-17.06%
3-01.84%
3-12.68%
3-21.95%
4-00.52%
4-10.76%
4-20.56%
4-30.27%
5-00.12%
5-10.17%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-07.47%
1-112.38%
2-25.13%
3-30.95%
Krasnodar
0-110.86%
0-27.90%
1-29.01%
0-33.83%
1-34.37%
2-32.49%
0-41.39%
1-41.59%
2-40.91%
3-40.34%
0-50.41%
1-50.46%
2-50.26%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Sochi
Krasnodar
Score01234
0
30.08%
20.26%
6.83%
1.53%
0.26%
1
15.87%
10.69%
3.60%
0.81%
0.14%
2
4.19%
2.82%
0.95%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.74%
0.50%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Sochi
1-015.87%
2-04.19%
2-12.82%
3-00.74%
3-10.50%
3-20.17%
Draw
0-030.08%
1-110.69%
2-20.95%
Krasnodar
0-120.26%
0-26.83%
1-23.60%
0-31.53%
1-30.81%
2-30.21%
0-40.26%
1-40.14%