Zenit at Orenburg

Updated

Zenit

74.5%16.1%9.4%
Zenit WinDrawWin
2.40Projected Goals 0.72
1Final Score 3

Orenburg

Last 5 Games

Zenit
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Loko Moscow
W 3-0 at Rubin Kazan
T 1-1 at CSKA Moscow
W 0-4 vs Ural
W 3-1 at Spartak Moscow
Orenburg
Money Line
L 1-3 at Nizhny Novgorod
W 2-0 at Loko Moscow
W 0-3 vs Sochi
T 1-1 vs CSKA Moscow
L 0-4 at Akhmat Grozny

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zenit-144-131--132--132-131-110.9
Orenburg+376+342-+290-+290+342+321.9
Draw+318+307-+290-+290+307+321.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Zenit------110.9
Orenburg-----+321.9
Draw-----+321.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Zenit: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Orenburg: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Zenit: 40.0%
Orenburg: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Zenit: 0.0%
Orenburg: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Zenit ML moved from -149 to -160
Orenburg ML moved from +349 to +342

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+106o3+106-o2¾-125-o2¾-125o2¾-125o2¾-114
Underu3-126u3-126-u2¾+105-u2¾+105u3-126u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-114
Under-----u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-136 to o3+105
The Under moved from u3-133 to u2½+114

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.8%
 
No53.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.43%
Exactly 221.51%
Exactly 417.42%
Exactly 65.64%
Exactly 80.98%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.80%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.86%
Exactly 72.51%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Zenit
Exactly 09.13%
Exactly 121.85%
Exactly 226.15%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 412.49%
Exactly 55.98%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 70.82%
Exactly 80.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Orenburg
Exactly 048.49%
Exactly 135.10%
Exactly 212.70%
Exactly 33.06%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.61%
Exactly 224.60%
Exactly 44.27%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.08%
Exactly 311.83%
Exactly 51.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Zenit
Exactly 033.02%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.27%
Exactly 37.49%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Orenburg
Exactly 071.53%
Exactly 123.97%
Exactly 24.02%
Exactly 30.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Zenit
Wins by 2+ goals51.53%
Wins by 3+ goals29.74%
Wins by 4+ goals14.40%
Wins by 5+ goals5.92%
Orenburg
Wins by 2+ goals2.43%
Wins by 3+ goals0.45%

Exact Winning Margin

Zenit
Orenburg
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Zenit
Wins by 1 goal22.84%
Wins by 2 goals21.79%
Wins by 3 goals15.34%
Wins by 4 goals8.48%
Wins by 5 goals3.85%
Orenburg
Wins by 1 goal6.90%
Wins by 2 goals1.97%
Wins by 3 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.57%4.43%
1.581.77%18.23%
2.560.26%39.74%
3.537.90%62.10%
4.520.48%79.52%
5.59.62%90.38%
6.53.98%96.02%
7.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals Zenit Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.87%9.13%
1.569.01%30.99%
2.542.86%57.14%
3.521.99%78.01%
4.59.51%90.49%
5.53.53%96.47%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Orenburg Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.51%48.49%
1.516.41%83.59%
2.53.71%96.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.39%23.61%
1.542.30%57.70%
2.517.71%82.29%
3.55.87%94.13%
4.51.60%98.40%

Score Props

Correct Score

Zenit
Orenburg
Score0123
0
4.43%
3.20%
1.16%
0.28%
1
10.60%
7.67%
2.78%
0.67%
2
12.68%
9.18%
3.32%
0.80%
3
10.12%
7.32%
2.65%
0.64%
4
6.05%
4.38%
1.59%
0.38%
5
2.90%
2.10%
0.76%
0.18%
Zenit
1-010.60%
2-012.68%
2-19.18%
3-010.12%
3-17.32%
3-22.65%
4-06.05%
4-14.38%
4-21.59%
4-30.38%
5-02.90%
5-12.10%
5-20.76%
5-30.18%
Draw
0-04.43%
1-17.67%
2-23.32%
3-30.64%
Orenburg
0-13.20%
0-21.16%
1-22.78%
0-30.28%
1-30.67%
2-30.80%

Correct Score - First Half

Zenit
Orenburg
Score0123
0
23.61%
7.91%
1.33%
0.15%
1
26.17%
8.77%
1.47%
0.16%
2
14.50%
4.86%
0.81%
0.09%
3
5.36%
1.80%
0.30%
0.03%
4
1.48%
0.50%
0.08%
0.01%
5
0.33%
0.11%
0.02%
0.00%
Zenit
1-026.17%
2-014.50%
2-14.86%
3-05.36%
3-11.80%
3-20.30%
4-01.48%
4-10.50%
5-00.33%
5-10.11%
Draw
0-023.61%
1-18.77%
2-20.81%
Orenburg
0-17.91%
0-21.33%
1-21.47%
0-30.15%
1-30.16%