Sochi at Samara

Updated

Sochi

42.7%27.2%30.1%
Sochi WinDrawSamara Win
1.35Projected Goals 1.08
1Final Score 2

Samara

Last 5 Games

Sochi
Money Line
L 0-1 at Spartak Moscow
L 0-3 at Orenburg
L 1-0 vs Loko Moscow
W 0-4 vs Rostov
L 1-3 at CSKA Moscow
Samara
Money Line
T 2-2 at CSKA Moscow
L 1-2 at Rubin Kazan
T 1-1 at Loko Moscow
W 1-5 vs Rostov
T 3-3 vs Dynamo Mosc

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi+229+291-+240-+240+291+274.1
Samara+113-103--105--105-103+114.8
Draw+274+262-+240-+240+262+274.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sochi-----+274.1
Samara-----+114.8
Draw-----+274.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sochi: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sochi: 50.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sochi: 20.0%
Samara: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sochi ML moved from +255 to +240
Samara ML moved from -112 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-137o2½-103-o2½-105-o2½-105o2½-103o2½+104
Underu2½+115u2½-115-u2½-115-u2½-115u2½-115u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.82%
Exactly 226.00%
Exactly 412.77%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.42%
Exactly 321.04%
Exactly 56.20%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Sochi
Exactly 026.07%
Exactly 135.05%
Exactly 223.56%
Exactly 310.56%
Exactly 43.55%
Exactly 50.95%
Exactly 60.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 033.83%
Exactly 136.67%
Exactly 219.87%
Exactly 37.18%
Exactly 41.94%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.49%
Exactly 220.53%
Exactly 42.16%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.69%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sochi
Exactly 053.66%
Exactly 133.40%
Exactly 210.40%
Exactly 32.16%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 060.55%
Exactly 130.38%
Exactly 27.62%
Exactly 31.27%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sochi
Wins by 2+ goals19.77%
Wins by 3+ goals7.14%
Wins by 4+ goals2.07%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%
Samara
Wins by 2+ goals11.61%
Wins by 3+ goals3.42%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Sochi
Samara
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sochi
Wins by 1 goal22.87%
Wins by 2 goals12.62%
Wins by 3 goals5.08%
Wins by 4 goals1.59%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%
Samara
Wins by 1 goal18.43%
Wins by 2 goals8.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.65%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.18%8.82%
1.569.76%30.24%
2.543.76%56.24%
3.522.72%77.28%
4.59.94%90.06%
5.53.74%96.26%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Sochi Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.93%26.07%
1.538.88%61.12%
2.515.32%84.68%
3.54.77%95.23%
4.51.22%98.78%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.17%33.83%
1.529.50%70.50%
2.59.63%90.37%
3.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.51%32.49%
1.530.98%69.02%
2.510.45%89.55%
3.52.76%97.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sochi
Samara
Score012345
0
8.82%
9.56%
5.18%
1.87%
0.51%
0.11%
1
11.86%
12.85%
6.96%
2.52%
0.68%
0.15%
2
7.97%
8.64%
4.68%
1.69%
0.46%
0.10%
3
3.57%
3.87%
2.10%
0.76%
0.21%
0.04%
4
1.20%
1.30%
0.71%
0.25%
0.07%
0.01%
5
0.32%
0.35%
0.19%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Sochi
1-011.86%
2-07.97%
2-18.64%
3-03.57%
3-13.87%
3-22.10%
4-01.20%
4-11.30%
4-20.71%
4-30.25%
5-00.32%
5-10.35%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-08.82%
1-112.85%
2-24.68%
3-30.76%
Samara
0-19.56%
0-25.18%
1-26.96%
0-31.87%
1-32.52%
2-31.69%
0-40.51%
1-40.68%
2-40.46%
3-40.21%
0-50.11%
1-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Sochi
Samara
Score0123
0
32.49%
16.30%
4.09%
0.68%
1
20.22%
10.15%
2.55%
0.43%
2
6.29%
3.16%
0.79%
0.13%
3
1.31%
0.66%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.20%
0.10%
0.03%
0.00%
Sochi
1-020.22%
2-06.29%
2-13.16%
3-01.31%
3-10.66%
3-20.16%
4-00.20%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-032.49%
1-110.15%
2-20.79%
Samara
0-116.30%
0-24.09%
1-22.55%
0-30.68%
1-30.43%
2-30.13%