Samara at Nizhny Novgorod

Updated

Samara

41.6%28.2%30.2%
Samara WinDrawNizhny Novgorod Win
1.30Projected Goals 0.95
0Final Score 0

Nizhny Novgorod

Last 5 Games

Samara
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Ural-125
W 0-3 vs FC Khimki-125
W 1-0 at Krasnodar+560
L 1-3 at CSKA Moscow+350
W 0-2 vs Nizhny Novgorod-150
Nizhny Novgorod
Money Line
L 1-5 at Zenit+2500
L 1-3 at Akhmat Grozny+490
L 2-1 vs Loko Moscow+350
L 4-1 vs Krasnodar+500
L 0-2 at Samara+420

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara-----+104.6
Nizhny Novgorod-----+332.9
Draw-----+256.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara+105-----105-105+104.6
Nizhny Novgorod+265----+300+300+332.9
Draw+245----+245+245+256.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nizhny Novgorod: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Samara: 0.0%
Nizhny Novgorod: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Samara: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Samara: 0.0%
Nizhny Novgorod: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Samara ML moved from +105 to -105
No Steam Moves On Nizhny Novgorod ML

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.5%
 
No55.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.56%
Exactly 226.68%
Exactly 411.24%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 320.00%
Exactly 55.06%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 027.18%
Exactly 135.41%
Exactly 223.06%
Exactly 310.01%
Exactly 43.26%
Exactly 50.85%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 038.83%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.37%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.31%
Exactly 219.13%
Exactly 41.73%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 054.71%
Exactly 133.00%
Exactly 29.95%
Exactly 32.00%
Exactly 40.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nizhny Novgorod
Exactly 064.54%
Exactly 128.26%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%

Alternate Props

Spread

Samara
Wins by 2+ goals20.57%
Wins by 3+ goals7.32%
Wins by 4+ goals2.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.47%
Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 2+ goals9.49%
Wins by 3+ goals2.51%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Samara
Nizhny Novgorod
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Samara
Wins by 1 goal24.15%
Wins by 2 goals13.25%
Wins by 3 goals5.24%
Wins by 4 goals1.61%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%
Nizhny Novgorod
Wins by 1 goal17.54%
Wins by 2 goals6.98%
Wins by 3 goals2.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.44%10.56%
1.565.71%34.29%
2.539.02%60.98%
3.519.03%80.97%
4.57.78%92.22%
5.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.82%27.18%
1.537.41%62.59%
2.514.35%85.65%
3.54.34%95.66%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Nizhny Novgorod Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.17%38.83%
1.524.43%75.57%
2.57.06%92.94%
3.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.69%35.31%
1.527.93%72.07%
2.58.80%91.20%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Samara
Nizhny Novgorod
Score01234
0
10.56%
9.98%
4.72%
1.49%
0.35%
1
13.75%
13.01%
6.15%
1.94%
0.46%
2
8.96%
8.47%
4.01%
1.26%
0.30%
3
3.89%
3.68%
1.74%
0.55%
0.13%
4
1.27%
1.20%
0.57%
0.18%
0.04%
5
0.33%
0.31%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Samara
1-013.75%
2-08.96%
2-18.47%
3-03.89%
3-13.68%
3-21.74%
4-01.27%
4-11.20%
4-20.57%
4-30.18%
5-00.33%
5-10.31%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-010.56%
1-113.01%
2-24.01%
3-30.55%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-19.98%
0-24.72%
1-26.15%
0-31.49%
1-31.94%
2-31.26%
0-40.35%
1-40.46%
2-40.30%
3-40.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Samara
Nizhny Novgorod
Score0123
0
35.31%
15.46%
3.39%
0.49%
1
21.29%
9.33%
2.04%
0.30%
2
6.42%
2.81%
0.62%
0.09%
3
1.29%
0.57%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.19%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Samara
1-021.29%
2-06.42%
2-12.81%
3-01.29%
3-10.57%
3-20.12%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-035.31%
1-19.33%
2-20.62%
Nizhny Novgorod
0-115.46%
0-23.39%
1-22.04%
0-30.49%
1-30.30%
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