Samara at Dynamo Mosc

Updated

Samara

17.6%22.8%59.6%
WinDrawDynamo Mosc Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.80
1Final Score 4

Dynamo Mosc

Last 5 Games

Samara
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Akhmat Grozny
L 1-2 at Orenburg
T 0-0 vs Krasnodar
W 0-2 vs Rubin Kazan
W 2-1 at Ural
Dynamo Mosc
Money Line
W 2-3 vs Sochi
W 0-1 vs Zenit
W 2-1 at Orenburg
W 4-1 at Nizhny Novgorod
L 1-2 at Ural

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara+347+551-+470-+470+551+514.5
Dynamo Mosc-138-211--208--208-208-167.7
Draw+322+382-+340-+340+382+374.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Samara-----+514.5
Dynamo Mosc------167.7
Draw-----+374.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Samara: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dynamo Mosc: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Samara: 30.0%
Dynamo Mosc: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Samara: 20.0%
Dynamo Mosc: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Samara ML moved from +480 to +470
Dynamo Mosc ML moved from -227 to -238

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-111o3-121-o3-125-o3-125o3-121o3-114
Underu3-105u3+103-u3+105-u3+105u3+105u3+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-114
Under-----u3+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-120 to o3-120
The Under moved from u3+105 to u2¾+118

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.4%
 
No51.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.92%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 414.67%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.49%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.83%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Samara
Exactly 042.09%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.76%
Exactly 34.55%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Dynamo Mosc
Exactly 016.45%
Exactly 129.69%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 316.12%
Exactly 47.27%
Exactly 52.63%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.04%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Samara
Exactly 066.99%
Exactly 126.84%
Exactly 25.38%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dynamo Mosc
Exactly 043.36%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 215.14%
Exactly 34.22%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Samara
Wins by 2+ goals5.56%
Wins by 3+ goals1.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Dynamo Mosc
Wins by 2+ goals34.38%
Wins by 3+ goals15.96%
Wins by 4+ goals6.07%
Wins by 5+ goals1.92%
Wins by 6+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Samara
Dynamo Mosc
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Samara
Wins by 1 goal12.06%
Wins by 2 goals4.23%
Wins by 3 goals1.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Dynamo Mosc
Wins by 1 goal25.15%
Wins by 2 goals18.42%
Wins by 3 goals9.89%
Wins by 4 goals4.15%
Wins by 5 goals1.43%
Wins by 6 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.08%6.92%
1.574.59%25.41%
2.549.91%50.09%
3.527.94%72.06%
4.513.27%86.73%
5.55.44%94.56%
6.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Samara Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.91%42.09%
1.521.49%78.51%
2.55.73%94.27%
3.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Dynamo Mosc Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.55%16.45%
1.553.86%46.14%
2.527.07%72.93%
3.510.95%89.05%
4.53.68%96.32%
5.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.96%29.04%
1.535.05%64.95%
2.512.85%87.15%
3.53.70%96.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Samara
Dynamo Mosc
Score012345
0
6.92%
12.50%
11.28%
6.79%
3.06%
1.11%
1
5.99%
10.81%
9.76%
5.87%
2.65%
0.96%
2
2.59%
4.68%
4.22%
2.54%
1.15%
0.41%
3
0.75%
1.35%
1.22%
0.73%
0.33%
0.12%
4
0.16%
0.29%
0.26%
0.16%
0.07%
0.03%
Samara
1-05.99%
2-02.59%
2-14.68%
3-00.75%
3-11.35%
3-21.22%
4-00.16%
4-10.29%
4-20.26%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-06.92%
1-110.81%
2-24.22%
3-30.73%
Dynamo Mosc
0-112.50%
0-211.28%
1-29.76%
0-36.79%
1-35.87%
2-32.54%
0-43.06%
1-42.65%
2-41.15%
3-40.33%
0-51.11%
1-50.96%
2-50.41%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Samara
Dynamo Mosc
Score01234
0
29.04%
24.27%
10.14%
2.83%
0.59%
1
11.64%
9.72%
4.06%
1.13%
0.24%
2
2.33%
1.95%
0.81%
0.23%
0.05%
3
0.31%
0.26%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Samara
1-011.64%
2-02.33%
2-11.95%
3-00.31%
3-10.26%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-029.04%
1-19.72%
2-20.81%
Dynamo Mosc
0-124.27%
0-210.14%
1-24.06%
0-32.83%
1-31.13%
2-30.23%
0-40.59%
1-40.24%