Atletico Madrid at Real Sociedad

Updated

Atletico Madrid

37.9%29.5%32.6%
Atletico Madrid WinDrawReal Sociedad Win
1.13Projected Goals 1.02
2Final Score 0

Real Sociedad

Last 5 Games

Atletico Madrid
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Osasuna-300
W 3-0 at Getafe-140
W 0-1 vs Celta Vigo-260
W 1-0 at Mallorca+118
W 1-3 vs Athletic Club-110
Real Sociedad
Money Line
W 2-0 at Betis+145
W 0-1 vs Valencia-200
L 0-2 at Barcelona+405
W 0-2 vs Las Palmas-295
L 1-0 vs Real Madrid+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+195+174+170+177+169+177+177+186.8
Real Sociedad+140+163+160+163+162+163+163+172.3
Draw+240+238+240+240+232+240+240+252.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atletico Madrid+180-+175-+170+180+180+186.8
Real Sociedad+150-+158-+120+155+158+172.3
Draw+240-+232-+230+230+232+252.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +182 to +175
Real Sociedad ML moved from +145 to +139

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atletico Madrid: 20.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atletico Madrid: 0.0%
Real Sociedad: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atletico Madrid ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Real Sociedad ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½-113o2½-110o2½-112o2½-111o2½-112o2½-110o2½-102
Underu2½-110u2½-105u2½-110u2½-108u2½-109u2½-108u2½-105u2½+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-105o2½-113-o2½-110o2½-110o2½-105o2½-102
Underu2½-115u2½-115u2½-107-u2½-120u2½-110u2½-107u2½+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.2%
 
No56.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.69%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.34%
Exactly 61.59%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.10%
Exactly 319.26%
Exactly 54.44%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 032.45%
Exactly 136.52%
Exactly 220.55%
Exactly 37.71%
Exactly 42.17%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Sociedad
Exactly 036.04%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 36.39%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.02%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atletico Madrid
Exactly 059.39%
Exactly 130.95%
Exactly 28.06%
Exactly 31.40%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Sociedad
Exactly 062.34%
Exactly 129.46%
Exactly 26.96%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atletico Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals15.49%
Wins by 3+ goals4.81%
Wins by 4+ goals1.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 2+ goals12.28%
Wins by 3+ goals3.49%
Wins by 4+ goals0.76%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Atletico Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.31%
Wins by 2 goals10.68%
Wins by 3 goals3.67%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%
Real Sociedad
Wins by 1 goal20.24%
Wins by 2 goals8.78%
Wins by 3 goals2.74%
Wins by 4 goals0.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.31%11.69%
1.563.21%36.79%
2.536.28%63.72%
3.517.02%82.98%
4.56.68%93.32%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Atletico Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.55%32.45%
1.531.03%68.97%
2.510.48%89.52%
3.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Real Sociedad Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.96%36.04%
1.527.18%72.82%
2.58.41%91.59%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.98%37.02%
1.526.19%73.81%
2.57.91%92.09%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score012345
0
11.69%
11.93%
6.09%
2.07%
0.53%
0.11%
1
13.16%
13.43%
6.85%
2.33%
0.60%
0.12%
2
7.41%
7.56%
3.86%
1.31%
0.33%
0.07%
3
2.78%
2.84%
1.45%
0.49%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.78%
0.80%
0.41%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.18%
0.18%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-013.16%
2-07.41%
2-17.56%
3-02.78%
3-12.84%
3-21.45%
4-00.78%
4-10.80%
4-20.41%
4-30.14%
5-00.18%
5-10.18%
Draw
0-011.69%
1-113.43%
2-23.86%
3-30.49%
Real Sociedad
0-111.93%
0-26.09%
1-26.85%
0-32.07%
1-32.33%
2-31.31%
0-40.53%
1-40.60%
2-40.33%
3-40.13%
0-50.11%
1-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atletico Madrid
Real Sociedad
Score0123
0
37.02%
17.49%
4.13%
0.65%
1
19.29%
9.12%
2.15%
0.34%
2
5.03%
2.38%
0.56%
0.09%
3
0.87%
0.41%
0.10%
0.02%
4
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Atletico Madrid
1-019.29%
2-05.03%
2-12.38%
3-00.87%
3-10.41%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-037.02%
1-19.12%
2-20.56%
Real Sociedad
0-117.49%
0-24.13%
1-22.15%
0-30.65%
1-30.34%